You can see the land for years than intense heat, and the higher weather experts – the patriots warn

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Get ready for several years Standard This pushes the Earth to the utmost deadliest, fiery and uncomfortable, expecting two of the best weather agencies in the world.

There is an opportunity by 80 percent that the world will break another annual temperature in the next five years, and it is more likely that the world again exceeds the international temperature threshold that was identified 10 years ago, according to five -year expectations on Wednesday by the World Meteorological Organization and the United Kingdom’s Meteorological Office.

“The higher high -top temperatures may seem abstract, but in real life translate into a higher chance of harsh weather: stronger hurricanes, precipitation, dehydration,” said Natalie Mahwald, the climate scientist at Cornell University, who was not part of the calculations. “Upper high temperatures are translated into more lost spirits.”

With every tenth degree, the world rises from human change caused by human “we will face higher frequency and more extreme events (especially thermal waves but also dehydration, floods, fires, hurricanes/hurricanes/hurricanes of human enhanced),” it was sent via email from Johan Rockstrom, director of the Potsdam Institute to search for climate in Germany. It was not part of the research.

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For the first time, there is an opportunity-and if it was slight-before the end of the decade, the annual temperature in the world will launch a target of the climate agreement in Paris of reducing the high temperature to 1.5 ° C (2.7f) and multiplying 2c (3.6f) of heating since the mid-nineteenth century.

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There is a chance of 86 percent that one of the next five years pass 1.5 degrees and the 70 percent opportunity for the five years to be more than this global landmark.

Expectations come from more than 200 expectations using computer simulations that are run by 10 global centers for scientists.


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Ten years ago, the same teams calculated that there is a similar opportunity – about 1 % – that one of the coming years will exceed that critical threshold by 1.5 degrees and then that last year happened. This year, the percentage of the degree degree over the previous industrial year enters the equivalent in a similar way, in which the United Kingdom meets from the office of long -term predictions Adam Skyv and the science scientist Lyon Hermanson called “shock”.

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Hermanson said: “This is not something that anyone wants to see, but this is what science tells us.” Two grades of warming are the secondary threshold, which is less likely to break, which was defined by the 2015 Paris Agreement.

Technically, although 2024 was warmer than before industry, the climate agreement threshold in Paris is for a period of 20 years, so it was not overlooked. In the past ten years and predicting during the next ten years, the world may now be about 1.4 ° C (2.5f) more hotter since the mid -nineteenth century, as Chris Hiite, director of the World Meteorological Organization services.


“The Next Five Years Forecast to Be More Than 1.5C Warmer Than Preindustical Levels on Average, this will put more people revolution at risk of sever heat waves, Bringing More Deaths and Severe Health Impacts Unless People Can Be Better Proteted from the Effects of Heat. Landscape, “Said Richard Betts, Head of Climate Impacts Research at the UK Met Office and A Professor at the University of Exter.

Hiite said that the snow in the Arctic – which will continue to heat 3.5 times faster than the rest of the world – will melt and the seas will end faster.

The scientists said that what tends to happen is that global temperatures rise like riding on Salem, with temporary and natural weather cycles in Nino that behave like jumps up or down on this elevator. But recently, after every jump from El Nino, adding warming to the globe, the planet is not much, at all.

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“The registration temperatures have become immediately the new natural,” said Rob Jackson, the climate scientist at Stanford University.

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