Global geopolitical tensions are somewhat diminished after the fragile ceasefire between Iran and Israel. While global markets breathed a sigh of relief, some defense shares have understood understandablely.
However, I think global geopolitical tensions are now a structural story, as the United States continues to watch Russia and China closely. Looking at expectations, I find LEMT stocks good purchase. The arrow is a play on global defense high spending, traded with reasonable evaluations, and its profits return increased to approximately 3 % after clouds in the arrows. Let’s discuss in detail.
Global defense spending is expected to increase significantly over the next decade, with NATO members (with the exception of Spain) to invest 5 % of GDP in defense over the next ten years. While nine members of NATO did not meet the 2 % goal set by the coalition in 2014, there may be a sense of urgency now, given the increasing threat from Russia.
Although the collective goal of a 5 % may still be missed, we can be reasonably sure that the defensive spending of the coalition will be much higher in the next ten years than it was in the past. It is still too early to determine the amount of high spending that will be directed to American companies, but it is an opportunity for players like Lockheed Martin. US allies in the Middle East also intensify defensive spending.
Elsewhere, India, which is among the major arms importers worldwide, may arise its defensive spending after the recent clashes with Pakistan. Defense spending in the country has decreased as a percentage of GDP to less than 2 % and may need to increase spending because it faces threats from China and Pakistan. Historically, the country bought the largest part of the defense equipment from Russia (and its predecessor, the Soviet Union), but it was a pivotal for Western suppliers. Although the country does not buy much of the defense equipment from the United States yet, President Donald Trump may push it to do so to address the surplus of trade.
If we look at the United States, while Lockheed Martin was absent from the American Air Force’s next generation, which was granted to Baong, the company is a strong competition for the golden missile defense program. The company determines its portfolio for the new era, and in February, a system was unveiled to confront unmanned air systems.
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