Will Putin Trump play or Trump plays us?

Russian sanctions under President Biden were great, but they were not sufficient and exclusively, and military deliveries were often late. However, the administration’s speech and procedures were consistent with Ukraine’s support. It is concerned, despite the difficult talk from Trump We have revived us During the past eight months, it seems unwilling to practice any actual influence on Putin. Trump had all the cards and dropped the deck, as Putin’s explosive economy left Russia out of being an economic superpower. Other world leaders are now wondering whether all barking is not bitten.

Again, Trump’s senior officials are Condemnation As “terrible” and that they “threaten peace” followed by Trump, but Trump refuses to take any fundamental action to pressure Putin to stop or punish Putin for his transgression. Trump must definitely know that the sparkle slap is unlikely to stop the Russian dictator. Likewise, before the Alaska summit, Trump was Threaten And definitions on Russia if Putin does not agree to end the war in Ukraine, but no sanctions and tariff definitions have been imposed since then. Where are the sanctions and definitions that have emerged for a long time?

Likewise, Trump is sometimes affected verbally from strengthening support for Ukraine – such as when it is when It was published on the social truthTo predict whether Ukraine should be deeply beaten inside Russia – but his actions are constantly failing to match his speech, as the United States was exposed to aid to Ukraine down and Europe is increasingly the draft law.

There is an amazing separation between what Trump says and what he is doing – and every time, Trump does not match his rhetorical properties with any actual procedure or pressure on Putin, as Putin continues unabated.

Will Putin Trump play a promising progress in a peace deal that will never come to buy more time to hit Ukraine? Or is Trump playing with us, and hanging from mysterious assurances while Putin is allowing to stay away from?

The biggest winner

Regardless, it is clear who is the biggest winner of Trump’s inability to connect the peace agreement that he has long promised: Putin’s victory, and everyone loses. Every day the war continues, Russia continues to win more lands and kill more Ukrainians, with the help of the fact that American assistance to Ukraine is diminishing with Ukraine’s decrease in ammunition. As a former American ambassador in Russia Mike McFoul indicatedThere is no doubt that “since President Trump was in the White House, Putin has become more aggressive. There were more attacks on Ukrainian civilians, and the number of drones and missile attacks increased.”

There is a lot that Trump can do to pressure Putin if he chooses to do so – which a lot threatened or abandoned, but he failed to act on him. Perhaps it is more effective Economic pressure tightening On Putin through penalties and definitions. While the recently imposed secondary definitions on India to buy Russian oil are a good first step, this is just a tip of the iceberg, with countries like China, Turkey and others in buying abundant Russian oil Providing surprise revenues Putin. By tightening the screws on the already deteriorating economic card house, Putin can run out very soon – perhaps even by the end of the year. There is a large traction in Congress for this, including “”The Penal Code of Russia for 2025Legislation under the auspices of Senator Lindsey Graham and Richard Blumentel, which imposes a tariff and secondary sanctions on countries that continue to finance the Russian war machine.

You will return to Trump’s tightening

Trump will find that American Companies stand behind behind himWith the presence of major American companies, Zero, keen to return to Russia after withdrawing in the largest stampede in history in 2022, with 1,200 companies left overnight. Help us supervise These collectors come out and continue to hear this from the CEOs who are nothing Interested in returning Given the unstable collapsed nature of the Russian economy, the difficulty of doing business there, the danger of executive life, the Putin’s rush to private companies, the ease of replacement of raw materials in Russia in similar commodity prices, in other places, and 1 % to 2 % of Spanish revenues that Russia represents mostly multi -business. Some felt anxious about the reports that Mediterranean employees In Exxon, I participated in Backchannel discussions with Rosneft. This was a slightly more failed diplomatic trick than Putin’s cosmetic moves to an infinite possibility of “natural” relations with the United States after the war ended. Putin saw through this American tactic not honest.

The truth is, as Exon Lee emphasized, that Exxon has a little appetite for Russian oil that is not trusted. Exxon has no incentive to become a hostage of Putin’s mercury whims with the huge global risks in a good reputation that does not carry a little call. that it Energy clearly For digging in the Russian Arctic circle, with a The high cost of marginal production is much higher from Petroleum fields are much cheaper and more reliable In Guaana, the Middle East and the amphibians in the United States

The American business in Alaska was Trump’s cosmetic cosmetic for Russian conversations to give Putin’s character – or deception of the public. In fact, they no longer need this added supply and cannot afford the costs of drilling in the circle in the Arctic. He has proven that he was unrealized during the reign of Rex Tillerson, but the Ukrainian invasion gave them an excuse to withdraw – along with BP and coincidence. Russia periodically threatened to litigate, and even a lawsuit against its former partner Exxon because American technology is vital to helping the ineffective Russian extract systems that cost twice as much as OPEC+ other countries.

Exxon produces approximately 4.5 million barrels per day with 1.5 million (one third of its production) comes very efficiently from Guyana, as it was not even in the semi -capacity yet. A third of the output from the Middle East (ARAMCO) and the last third from the United States, where he also made proven reserves. with Crude oil prices decreased To $ 63 a barrel (WTI)/$ 66 a barrel, there is no great interest in expanding the offer from ineffective Russian sources. Trump’s chants from “Baby, Drilling” are not a talisman for any oil company. The oil barons are groaning while Trump embraces himself with such ignorance of their real agenda. “All Hat, No Cattle” is the phrase that the original cowboy has the TEXAS for City Slickers like Trump who wear rhinestones and pretend they are difficult and knowledgeable when they do not have an idea of ​​what they are talking about.

Who committed suicide by shooting himself five times?

As an additional kick, it is stimulating, if not amazing, dealing with a group of constantly changing interlocutors, with successive waves of senior executives in Russian energy companies in some way suicide during the Putin period. This includes the numbers in Gazpromand closingTransneft and Rosneft who have mysterious circumstances I fell from the windowsSomehow committed suicide Shooting themselves five times in the backOr by mistake Get running Cars.

At the same time, Trump must fortify military assistance to Ukraine. Really, there The growing momentum In Congress, including the Republican Party’s allies in Trump, to obtain another major military assistance package to help Ukraine, despite misleading cries of isolation that exceeds its number, is no longer like JD Vance to support Ukraine anymore. Indeed, there is a suggestion from the two parties in the Senate to obtain a new package of $ 54.6 billion from new aid to Ukraine, which will be the largest assistance package for Ukraine so far.

Despite Trump’s difficult talk, he constantly failed to match his speech lines with a real procedure to pressure Putin. Trump, who usually enjoys the maximum amount of leverage for himself, seems to be strange or unable to challenge Putin behind verbal words. Where is the “dire consequences” against Putin that Trump often threatened, but not implemented?

It is not too late to change that – if things continue at this rate, it will be difficult to determine whether Putin is playing Trump, or that Trump is playing us. Either way, the United States, the European Union and Ukraine are all worse in light of Trump’s confusing cheese.

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