The promotion of local manufacturing is the main long -term goal of US President Donald Trump’s definitions, but there is little evidence that comprehensive import taxes will bring factory functions to American workers on a large scale.
Trump has offered multiple reasons for the launch of his country The highest tariff in nearly a centuryIncluding trafficking (relatively minimal) Ventanil from Canada And generate hundreds of billions of dollars American treasury revenues.
However, the most consistent stadium in Trump was that the customs tariff would lead to a new golden age in local manufacturing, forcing companies to build factories in the United States and create what he said would be “will be”.Millions and millions of jobs.“
The Americans who adopted their vote for Trump in 2024 must now promise to wait to see if it has been fulfilled. This waiting can be proven long without limits.
Philip Luck, the former Vice President of the US State Department, says the current tariff system is meaningless as a way to make the industry flourish.
Lake said that Trump’s strategy “will increase the costs, will reduce the American competitiveness and will make us worse.”
Sari entered the new American control, Donald Trump, has entered more than 90 countries worldwide.
But for one moment, Trump gave the benefit of doubt, and thought about a scenario where he slapped the high definitions on imports in fact companies with a strong arm to transfer production to the United States
Will this also convert manufacturing functions?
“Very few workers, very automatic”
The problem is that the growth in manufacturing in the United States is no longer equivalent to comparable growth in employment, and it is no longer for decades.
“We are doing (manufacturing) now with very few workers, we do it in a very automated way,” said Lak. “Even if we have increased manufacturing, I don’t know that we will make jobs with it.”
Consider these facts: The number of Americans working in manufacturing It reached its climax in 1979, and The value of the United States production Just have been going up to the top since then – always recover from the declines in the recession and even, with adaptation of inflation, and hitting a record in 2024.
Michael Hicks, Director of the Paul State Trade and Economic Research Center in Monsey, Indiana, no treasure of functions that appear as a result of Trump’s definitions.
“Trump entered an economy that was experiencing the largest manufacturing production in American history,” said Hicks.
“This is really a testament to the extent of American workers’ production, technology quality and capital investment in manufacturing.”
Hicks says that exciting gains in productivity are beyond the long -term decline in American manufacturing functions.
“This is better because of the skilled workers. It is better automation, it’s digitization,” he said. “It is easy to believe the narration that these jobs are abroad, although the data constantly indicates that this is a mistake.”
Trump aims to highlight his vision of manufacturing this week in his appearance with the CEO of Apple Tim Cook – an American company at the intersection of definitions.
Apple has announced an increase of $ 100 billion in local production plans, which raised the company’s promises of US investment to $ 600 billion over the next four years.
American companies and consumers feel the effects of US President Donald Trump’s tariff, as some financial reports highlight the additional costs that have a total of billions. Mike Crole of CBC says the cost of definitions is “emerging over the past few weeks.”
Trump told reporters at the White House on Wednesday that Apple’s plan “will bring factories and assembly lines throughout our country, all of which are roar in life.”
“Today’s announcement is one of the largest obligations in what has become among the greatest investment mutations in our nation’s history.”
But what will Apple’s commitment to $ 600 billion do to work? Company press release It is 20,000 new jobs over the next four years. This is exactly the number of Apple jobs He said in 2021 Its planned investments must plan $ 430 billion in the four years that followed.
The Wall Street Journal received Trump’s advertisement This tourThe industrial sector described it as “reckless” in 2025.
“The economic activity associated with manufacturing for most of Trump’s second state has decreased, the magazine said.
Two main statistics reserves this evaluation: five consecutive months of contraction in manufacturing, according to a major measurement it follows Supply Management Institute; And a net loss of 37,000 manufacturing jobs in the three months since May, according to Work Statistics Office.
(Trump immediately The office commissioner launched After the latest numbers came out.)
Will it take more time for a customs tariff to bring jobs? This is not what happened throughout the Trump tariff and aluminum in his first term.
In 2019, the US Federal Reserve founded that any increase in steel functions of the preventive impact of definitions was more than just compensating them through job losses in the manufacturing sector as a whole, driven by increasing the cost of tariffs.
“Our results indicate that the customs tariff was a traction on employment,” Their research He concludes.
Dennis Darby, CEO of Canadian Manufacturers and Exporters Company, says that automation is the only way to competitiveness in this industry and this is why any new production comes online in North America that uses fewer people.
“The functions in the manufacturing sector today are not the functions of the seventies, when the United States has many millions of people in manufacturing.” Darby said.
“These low -skills jobs have mostly gone,” he said. “This is the direction and will not change.”
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