In the days before his journey abroad, US President Donald Trump quickly moved to a long list of potential deviations that could overwhelm his important visit to the Middle East.
The mediator helped the ceasefire between the nuclear forces India and Pakistan. Check.
A plan to feed Gaza is defined hunger, although international humanitarian groups have been considered unprecedented and insufficient. Check.
And I get a promise from the Houthi militants to stop attacking Western shipping in the Red Sea, despite the continued firing of missiles against Israel. Check.
Looking at the chaotic nature of his presidency and the surreal speed that the global events seem to move with Trump, the White House official, it may be the quick victory that he is looking for.
However, Trump is about to reach the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia on Tuesday on the first large international trip from his second term in both the time fraught with risks and preserved.
About two million people in Gaza in The risk of hunger Because of the Israeli blockade for three months from the region; Sectarian violence in Syria has left this country to swing; The ghost of a big war between Israel and Iran is waving on the horizon in the region.
However, Trump appears to be bent on parking – at least on this trip – some of these issues, instead it is preferable to focus on management and investment rooms in the region instead of its battlefields.
Along with stopping in Riyadh, Trump will also visit two other wealthy countries in the Gulf: Qatar and the United Arab Emirates. He will attend business clusters, assume that ink contracts and try to refine large dollars in an area that has money to spend.
“These are deals, deals,” said Nile Killiam from Chatham House, a London -based research center.
The United States and Great Britain announced plans for a commercial agreement on Thursday, which are expected to reduce the financial burden on the United Kingdom for US President Donald Trump. The deal, which has not yet been completed, will address everything from the UK and steel to the American beef.
“It seems that he is aware of the three Gulf states … as major partners of the United States and created very strong personal ties, especially with (the Saudi Crown Prince and his actual leader) Mohammed bin Salman.”
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, or MBS, as it is known, Previously said His kingdom is ready to invest more than 600 billion US dollars in the United States during Trump as president.
Also, other Gulf countries have given the obsessed president to give an irresistible possibility to be proud to land more than one trillion dollars in new works.
No Israel
It is worth noting that Trump chose to overcome Israel on his journey.
It is a great negligence given the position of the Jewish state as one of the most important strategic allies of the United States – and may also indicate the deepening of the animation between Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
On Thursday, the Office of the United Nations Human Rights Committee was placed Burning statementHe demands the most powerful country in the world to intervene in Gaza, accusing that he must end “the genocide that is revealed or sees, life ends in Gaza.”
In the past, Israel has refuted the accusations of genocide, and the United Nations was grabbed as an anti -entertainment institution and claimed that its army was not deliberately targeting civilians.
Through a solution proposal – establishment Food centers in Gaza run by American contractors – Trump may be hoping, if only temporary, publishes a large problem spot with his Gulf hosts.
Its previous reflections on converting Gaza into the dream of real estate developers “Riviera” – what resembles some human rights defenders to ethnic cleansing – with disgust throughout the Arab world.
When Trump continued that the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia could abandon a part of its desert to create a new Palestinian homeland, Prince Muhammad officials released TERSE phrases Say any way, never.
“I understand that in the public space, there will be no conversation about this,” Killiam said of the Israeli war in Gaza or the future of the Palestinians.
“All over the Arab world, it is the first issue. But I do not see them (Trump and Prince Muhammad) head or reach any clear or common understanding. I think the focus of this visit will be economical.”
Powerful motives
Both the United States and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia have strong motives to maintain the focus on money directly.
During the reign of Prince Muhammad, the country is carrying out a severe shift.
The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia has a horrific reputation on human rights in the West.
Public head cut – There were 128 in 2024 – And 2018, the crime of murder and dismantling the critic in Crown Prince Jamal Khashogji by Saudi security forces, is just two of the many examples that human rights holders save.
But others emphasize social transformations in the Kingdom in recent years that they see as positive.
Women are no longer closed from jobs and public life. The mixing between men and women in public places is now common. Wearing head or face covers for women is optional, not mandatory.
Prince Muhammad is also trying to place his country as a power of stability in the region and the world by reforming the walls with his long -standing rival and trying to mediate a peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia.
But with the efforts of the Crown Prince to transfer his country away from oil to a more diverse economy, the Saudis may need more help than others.
Many future projects, Prince Muhammad, are expensive, such as the city of sleep in the desert, pressing Saudi revenues.
NEOM was initially placed as an American project worth $ 500 million, but the first stage is expected to cost more than $ 1.2 trillion, with the final bill for the massive linear glass city that is likely to reach 8 trillion dollars.
So, safer bets lined up, such as joint projects with the United States Critical mineralsNow in the Saudi shopping list to visit Trump.
No to normalization
Just as the two leaders are not likely to be much for Gaza, they are also likely to talk about normalization with Israel.
Even after Hamas’s attack on Israel on October 7, 2023, US officials at the time of President Joe Biden continued to urge the Saudis to accept a big deal with Israel-diplomatic recognition in exchange for economic opportunities.
It is no longer, though.
“The Israeli -Sudanese peace agreement is certainly in the foreseeable future,” the Royal United Services Institute He wrote recently.
He said: “Riyadh knows that Israel’s position between Saudis, Arabs and Muslims worldwide has struck the bottom of the rocks. The embrace of Israel now will be a self -political act.”
Besides, the United States appears Dungeon Her objections to a Saudi civil nuclear program, which led to the removal of one of the largest bargaining chips in the United States to obtain Prince Muhammad to conclude a deal with Israel.
The Middle East played an unusually major role in the first weeks and months of Trump’s presidency, given the intense focus on making deals in Gaza, Iran and the Arabs.
But in New reportThe Washington -based Middle East Institute said that Trump’s “winding style”,,, “, Mixed messages And the use of customs tariffs as a tool for coercion has all merged to create a tremendous jamming of goals in the United States in the region.
For example, the institute says that Trump had initially spent a large energy on Hamas and Israel to accept the ceasefire – but Trump did not succeed in pressuring Israel to stop its war since Netanyahu broke the ceasefire three months ago.
The group gave Trump’s policy of Israel “Wow”
She says Trump was better in restarting nuclear talks with Iran (degree “B”), but by promoting non -application plans, such as “Gaza Rivera”, the United States has risked its weak influence in the region at a critical time.
However, Trump may have some surprises.
The new president of Syria, Ahmed Al -Sharra, also occurs in the region and there are hints that the two men may meet while it could be a historic meeting.
For Trump, who appreciates more ingenuity in most of all, it may be a very good chance to pass it.
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