The President of France, Emmanuel Macron, is speaking to the press at the end of the seventh European political community (EPC) at the Bella Center in Copenhagen, Denmark on October 2, 2025.
Ludovic Marin | AFP | Gety pictures
French President Emmanuel Macron faces another huge political headache yet The resignation of shock From Prime Minister Sebastian Lecorno – just 27 days after his position.
The former Minister of Defense and his ally resigned a long time ago on Monday before setting up his emerging government plans, saying that he was unable to lead the government of the right of the center of the center after the talks with competing parties indicated that he did not want to settle its budget and the demands of politics.
“Every political party behaves as if they had their majority in Parliament,” Likorno said, and “has not been fulfilled” to stay in office, according to the comments translated by France 24.
The France crisis finds itself to a large extent made by Macron, as the President dissolves Parliament last year with confidence in order to bring “clarity” to the National Assembly divided into France.
The uninterrupted elections that followed anything but nothing butWith all of the right and right consecutive voting rounds, which led to the struggle of power and political retirement that has since continued. Macron, unwilling to give up government leadership on either side, appointed loyalists to lead minority governments, but these things have proven vulnerable to suggestions without confidence from the competing parties.
The short -term Likorno government was the third that failed after the fateful Michelle Barnier administrations and Francois Bayro. What they share is that they all fought to reach agreements with other parties on the state budget, especially on spending discounts and tax height that is seen as necessary to curb the France budget deficit of 5.8 % of its GDP in 2024.
In a sudden development on Monday evening, Macron Lecorno gave another 48 hours to “final discussions” with competing parties to try to break the impasse. Licoreno wrote to X that he would report to the president on Wednesday evening on any possible breakthrough “so that he can extract all the necessary conclusions.”
What comes after that?
Macron is now facing the indiscriminate task of determining what to do then without any option that is likely to be attractive to the besieged president, who has repeatedly said that he will not resign, a step that would lead to new presidential elections that are not currently being held until 2027.
The President of France, Emmanuel Macron, talks during the United Nations Summit about the Palestinians at the United Nations headquarters during the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) in New York on September 22, 2025.
Angela Weiss AFP | Gety pictures
He can choose another prime minister – the sixth of France in less than two years – but one choice not from his political stable will be an uncomfortable and uncomfortable possibility of Macon, who chose the loyalists over and over the leadership of the government last year.
Or it can dissolve Parliament and hold the new parliamentary elections. This option will not be resumed either because the National Anti -Immigration Party from Marine Le Pen is currently leading Voter pollsWith about 32 % of the sounds compared to 25 % of the votes kept by the left -wing coalition, the new Popular Front.
Analysts say Macron is unlikely to choose the resignation. “It is very dangerous for him to do the right thing and is unwilling, of course, to step down from power,” Douglas Yates, a professor of political science at ENID.
“The only thing I can say with security today is that Macron will not announce his own resignation, so it seems that the easiest thing to do is naming another prime minister, which is what he does like shirts, and if the new prime minister has not last for a long time, it may be called to play his institutional interest.”
Yates did not think that Macron would be called the new elections “because the last time he did it was very disastrous” and any new polls will again reflect the polarized nature of politics in France, with a gap between the left and right voters. “People were abandoning his party and voting with their hearts, either the left or the right,” Yetz added.
Left, or right?
There is speculation that Macron can drown and nominate the Prime Minister, who is not an ally of the central political political courtyard, with the choice of the Socialist Party in the center.
There are few opportunities that Macron chooses a candidate from the left -left France party or the right -wing national gathering, as the two parties called on Monday to dismiss Macron.
The head of the Parliamentary Parliamentary Parliamentary Group is deals with Marine Le Pen, upon arrival at his party’s headquarters in Paris, on October 6, 2025.
Thomas Samson AFP | Gety pictures
“Until now, the person has chosen the mistake, and the choice of people from the center, who has tried the left and the right,” said Yates.
“I think it will be better by throwing some fresh meat on the middle left that can help him form a government and may avoid blaming, so I think socialism may be the most acceptable, or even one of the vegetables candidates,” said Yates.
And the budget?
While political paralysis continues in Paris, the 2026 budget is still in a state of forgetfulness, and economists say it is likely that the budget of this year will be transferred to next year as a stopping measure.
Yacine Rouimi of Deutsche Bank said on Monday that if the government collapses, as it happened, France is likely to operate under a special law, “keeping spending near the 2025 framework, when the deficit reached about 5.0 – 5.4 % of GDP.”
“It is not impossible to see new elections soon,” Ruimi said.
If Macron chooses to choose a new prime minister from a different party, such as the Socialist Party, this may mean reforms or spending discounts provided by previous departments, which have failed, can be cut and reduced.
Macron may be appointed “Prime Minister from the left (or even the far right). However, this door is likely to open to some of the painful repercussions of his previously growing structural reforms (such as an increase in retirement age) and financial slippage”, Salomon Fiedler, the economy at Berenberg Bank, in the comments via e -mail.
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