What are you looking for?

Good morning. For a weird minority of us, the local elections revolve around determining who we believe will represent our best interests locally. But for most people who vote on it, they are an opportunity to express a view on today’s government in a safe environment under control.

Whatever happens in today’s elections, it is not a prediction or a guarantee about how the parties are thrown into the elections within four to five years, but it is a healthy examination, something for them either they feel joy or alert. Some ideas about a few things to search for, as the results take place in the next few days.

Great expectations

Do not focus much on the winners

When, when, in every survey of the sub -elections and the conversation he conducted with the voters, the voters suggest at the national level, there are three to five parties about the equivalent force for power, the system of the first appearance in the UK becomes the basis for a metal currency in the first place.

Everyone expects conservatives to do very badly, and they will surely do-but given the assembly of multi-party policy and our electoral model, they can really do much better than expected when it comes to the main results.

As already, everyone expects the Labor Party to do badly, and perhaps it will do so, but it can be much better than expected because, similarly, when everyone is voting in the low -twenties, anything can happen.

Instead, monitor the health of the blocks

In both the election of Kiir Starmer as the leader of the Labor Party and in the general elections last year, it was amazing to see the willingness of work, liberal democracy and green voters (liberal democratic voters in particular) to treat the three parties as mainly selection. As Paula Derridge’s excellent scheme (also on Paula Bluezki here(Offers, work, liberal democratic and green voters in England, all of them “loved” the three parties with the same amounts.

This is part of what lies behind some of the huge fluctuations of the three parties and for this reason the conservatives lost very badly.

Much of what Downing Street has done on the idea that the left or progressive group of three parties will meet thanks to the fear of Kimi Padnouch or repair. The Downing Street has done a lot to disturb her and irritate the voters in this bloc, but on the equal footing of Badnouch and Najel Farraj they have done a lot to intimidate them. Therefore, let’s see how much left -wing voters are ready to continue to treat these three parties as being negotiable after one of them is in the government and two of them are not.

Now try this

I am now reading and enjoying the 2017 Joshua Cohen novel The transfer of kings. Max Liu The review is here to raise your appetite.

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