UK reform and Plaid Cymru compete for gains in the stronghold of Wales

In the next two weeks, the UK reform leader Nigel Faraj will travel to a town that has not been revealed in Wales Valley to shoot his pistol in his endeavor to end the Historical Labor Party grip in the nation’s policy.

exhaustion It has maintained power in Parliament in the Senate in Cardiff for 25 years, since the beginning of the Welsh transfer, and has emerged as the largest Wales Party in every election since 1922.

But its dominant influence in the legislative elections is scheduled to end in May next year, thanks to the PINCER movement from Plaid Cymru to its left and reform on its right. A Yougov poll in the Labor Party may only put 18 percent of votes, with reform on 25 percent and a Blud square by 30 percent and is likely to obtain an authorization to form the next government.

Falling support in Wells For the Sir Kerr Starmer party, it indicates the impact of a set of policies that have proven to be very uncomplicated, including discounts in fuel payments in the winter and deficit benefits, and high inheritance tax on agricultural lands.

The Prime Minister has announced a turn of supporting winter fuel and officials are looking to reduce controversial luxury reforms, while Chancellor Rachel Reeves is expected to announce the targeted infrastructure investments throughout Wales in the spending review on June 11.

“There are challenges about what Westminster is doing,” said David Reese, a member of the Senate at Abrafon Company, which includes Port Talbot, who closed the historic Steel of Stells last year after London chose to invest in billions at work.

“People wanted to change (when they voted in favor of the Past Workers Party) and they did not see that … they saw decisions in their minds that had harmful to people.”

For the popular Farage Party, which picked up the falling conservative support, the question is whether the new left’s tilt can beat the supporters of traditional workers or attract enough voters for the first time to challenge both the Labor Party and Cymru.

If Yougov’s expectations are good within 12 months, Plaid will secure 35 seats and reform will win 30, with the Labor Party in 19 – no party leaves enough seats to form a government.

Plaid Rhun Ap iorwert leader said that the decisions made by Starmer had led to a “a working party that people cannot recognize”, adding that Wales’s assumption of the agency that voters would always support them “have retracted them.”

Iorwert excluded work with reform to form a government and stressed that the alliance between Plaid and Labor was not inevitable if his party won the largest seats. “There must be cooperation, but do not assume that there should be an alliance.”

The Senate elections, which must be held by May 7, 2026, will be the first time that voters in Wales have gone to the polls in a new “proportional list” system, where all seats will be allocated based on the share of the votes that each party obtained.

The new system will expand the mobile room from 60 to 96 members, and it is widely expected to benefit the small parties.

Since his replacement of this bodies, who resigned after losing confidence in June of last year, the first Minister of Bariona, Baroneh Morgan, sought to influence the voters that the Welsh Labor Party is distinguished from work in the United Kingdom.

In a speech in Cardiff this month before the rotation of Starmer, it broke rows to urge the Prime Minister to “rethink” to cancel the fuel allowance in the winter and pledged that the party will draw the “red Welsh its”.

The purpose of the slogan was aimed at resonating the “clear red water” mode developed by former commander Rodri Morgan in the 2000s to distinguish the Welsh Labor Party from the new work project in Tony Blair.

But maintaining this separation has become more difficult since July last year, when the Dawing Street Labor Party entered a decade of conservative rule.

“The Labor Party for many years cannot bear responsibility for the failures of the transferred services because it was a cash problem mainly. It seems that this argument has run out of the way,” said Richard Win Jones, Professor of Welsh Policy at Cardiff University.

In LLANLLI, the Welsh seat was the closest to winning the general elections, and hate towards Starmer and his government was clear.

In an internal market in the heart of the market city, retired Michael Clement said that it would turn into a carved next year after the Labor Party has proven “completely horrific” in power.

He said: “The greatest deception was what they did with the retirees, with the disabled, they have been very badly badly,” adding that the Welsh Party put only a few opposition to the National Party. “My fear is that the reform will benefit.”

Another man, who refused to give his name, said that he would vote for the Farraj Party because the Labor Party and Starmer were “a waste of space”; His grandson nodded by agreement.

Gareth Bear, who stood for reform in Llalllli in the general elections, said that people were resorting to the party in Wales because of the terrible lack of economic prospects and weak public services.

He referred to 7,000 people awaiting the homes of the council in the local authority in Carrmithinsheer in the city – the axis of the reform campaign, which sought to link the lack of housing available to the arrival of asylum seekers.

“We do not get the hostility or the reaction that we are used to, as people were bringing you back as if it were Cryptonte.” “People love to jump on a successful train.”

Most academics and polls believe that the data shows the support of reform-which is expected to come second to the Scottish National Party in sub-elections on Thursday for the Scottish parliamentary seat for Hilmlton, Larkhoul and Stonenhaus-that does not come from people voting the Labor Party in the general elections.

Jack Larner’s analysis, a policy lecturer at Cardiff University, indicates that only 4 percent of people throughout Wales who support reform voted the Labor Party last July, compared to 33 percent of the engrave.

Instead, 27 percent of the former conservative Party voters turn into reform, according to its analysis, which also indicates that the rebel party attracts a large number of people who have never voted.

“Given the areas that are now voting, they are the same areas that have always voted to work, and it is very easy to make a logical error to assume that the same people do that. This is not what we see,” Larner said.

For Rice, who represented the Senate Labor Party since 2011, the Labor Party can manage its fortunes in Wales if it shows that it is fighting the government in Westminster on important policies, such as investing in local infrastructure and social welfare – and winning these battles.

But he realizes that such efforts will take some time, and to compare governments with “super criminals, you cannot turn them in a second.”

He added: “There will always be a group of voters that support reform and Nigel Farage, but it is about returning these other people to the margin.” “Twelve months are better than nothing.”