Trump’s sanctions in Russia may explode to 120 dollars, and the fuel bill may explode in India

Brent is expected to touch crude oil from 80 to 82 dollars a barrel by the end of the year, with analysts warning of new fluctuations, as US President Donald Trump threatens to impose comprehensive sanctions on Russia-which can be rippled across global markets and pay prices to triple numbers.

The oil market analysts have told the escalation of geopolitical tension, especially Trump’s warning to Russia during the Ukrainian war, may provide the shock of the offer with long -term consequences. “Oct’25) has a short -term goal of $ 76, with access to $ 82 by the end of 2015, which prevents a sharp drop to the support level of $ 69. WTI (SEP’25) is expected to rise from $ 69.65 to $ 76-79.

The market’s interest from Trump’s announcement of new sanctions and 100 % secondary definitions stems from the countries that continue to trade with Russia – the audits that will directly affect the main buyers of Russian crude.

Narendra Taniga, chief energy analyst, warned that “Russia exports 5 million barrels per day in the global system. If this flow is disrupted, crude may be $ 100-120 a barrel.” He said that India will not face a shortage of supply – thanks to obtaining sources from more than 40 countries – but consumer prices will rise.

Indian refineries remain dependent on the reduced Russian barrels, which have helped achieve a balance between local inflation since 2022. If they are forced to transfer quickly, they will need to pay in addition to alternative supplies, or face a higher tariff in export markets.

The global market is also restricted by limited reserve production capacity. Even with the intervention of OPEC+ or Saudi Arabia, it is likely to be delayed. Experts say that continuous high prices can be followed in 2026.

Although President Trump’s declared goal is to reduce oil prices, any increase in US production faces time and resource obstacles. The infrastructure, employment lack and capital costs will delay relief.

The commercial deal for the United States, American music and American music added some stability, but analysts remain careful. Inventory levels and the upcoming average decisions of the Federal Reserve in the United States are closely monitored, with the addition of dollars the most powerful pressure on oil prices.