Trump’s law in the forest means that American commercial deals do not deserve the paper that was printed on them

50 % tax on goods Revenge was for the visualization of “The charming chase“Against his political ally, Gear Bolsanaro, whose supporters Coup Two years ago.

This administration returns the jungle law to international trade, according to the trade expert Christine HoplelAnd time is running out to save the remains of the post -war regime from trade, which has strengthened stability and prosperity all over the world.

“Trump is a negotiating partner completely unreliable,” she says, she says luck. “Any deal you strike with the administration does not deserve the paper on which it is written.”

As if I had to do the house on this point, the news started Show On Thursday that Vietnam has caught Trump Prematurely The duty of 20 % on all goods that enter the United States from Southeast Asian country. Vietnamese officials are said to be still hoping to get a number to half of that.

no The customs tariff rate appears to have a rhyme or logic. On Wednesday, when he was asked how he calculated his various duties for import Use “A form of proper instinct”, reflecting “how we dealt with us.”

“He can simply return later to more.

This is because the president has already removed the cornerstone that supports global trade during his first administration six years ago when he prevented all appointments to what the Supreme Court of World Trade (Appeal Organization) – Appeal Authority.

“The World Trade Organization is unique among international organizations in that its bases are legally binding in the states. They have teeth,” said Hobwell. Or rather that king teeth.

Kicking the United States

Since the Biden Administration has continued its policy of preventing dates to fill in vacant jobs, there is now no legal quorum to eliminate commercial conflicts, which has no longer a little incentive to adhere to the bases anymore. Quite the opposite, they can break them without impunity.

President Trump’s message to the Federal Republic of Brazil pic.twitter.com/g8jatxgrqiFast response 47 (@rapidresponse47) July 9, 2025

The United States does not always prefer to dismantle these handrails.

More than a decade ago, the country has led the country a number of major partners, including Japan and the European Union, to pressure their rights against China when it tried to restrict the export of critical minerals, including rare land.

In 2015, they later won the Appeals Authority, forcing Beijing to retreat.

Thanks to Trump, this enforcement mechanism is no longer working.

In January 2020, a few weeks after the World Trade Organization Appeal was stopped, Indonesia moved to impose a ban on raw nickel exports.

Since it contains one of the largest deposits of this vital component of electric vehicle batteries and stainless steel, it is believed that it can be forced to create a local stream industry for processing and raw ore.

Other countries have argued against the World Trade Organization that they violate the rules beat– Or at least they thought they had.

Indonesia She practiced her right to submit an official call to the Appeals Authority, knowing very well that the ruling that controls the dispute was impossible.

“By resuming the vacuum, it can continue the illegal export restrictions in Nickel’s export and actually expand them to other goods,” says Hobwell. “Other countries now mimic Indonesia and make a similar prohibition on metal exports.”

Hobewail believes that the moment of bold work has arrived. In a column Politico This week, the international community should consider expelling the United States from the World Trade Organization to revive the paralyzed appeal body.

She told luck.

A deep economic shock to the United States

This position, says Hobwell, is not a coincidence. Trump has long sought to undermine the World Trade Organization in favor of bilateral deals, as the United States has more lifting.

She said, “Trump is following the gap and oppression strategy.” “He knows that the United States is stronger when it negotiates one.”

By agreeing to bilateral talks, she says, foreign governments that hope to protect local industries are undermining themselves. “They are playing in the hands of Trump.”

I called before luckThe Secretariat of the World Trade Organization said it does not comment on the behavior of member states. The White House refused to respond.

For many Americans, Trump’s cost -free trade position may seem. But the repercussions have not yet reached consumers, in part, because industries such as AutOS store inventory before new duties.

“It will take some time before feeling the effects of tariffs on high prices,” said Hobwell. “But when it strikes, it will be a deep economic shock to the United States.”