The newly -elected Prime Minister will meet in Canada soon with US President Donald Trump. Access to a deal with him? This is another issue.
Trump He said on Wednesday that Carne The White House will visit within about a week and that the Prime Minister wants to make a deal.
But Carney has three main steps to reach the comprehensive Trade and Security Agreement He seeks. They are the three PS: employees, operation and politics.
See this meeting – expected in the “near future” according to the Prime Minister (PMO) – to obtain early evidence about how these negotiations work. Which people will lead it? What is the process that they will follow? What are the policies on the table?
It is clear that the ultimate goal is a more functional relationship with the United States, including a 25 percent reduction of Trump’s tariff on steel, aluminum and some other products.
An analyst says in a uniquely good position that Carney’s idea is to pack a new tariff with the broader security conversation.
US President Donald Trump, speaking at the Cabinet meeting on Wednesday, presented comments on the Canadian elections and the views of the main party leaders – and said he expected Prime Minister Mark Carney to come to the White House “next week, or less.”
Brian Chloe managed our PMO relations in Justin Trudeau and said that the position was dealing with one by -one threat after another.
“Carney has an opportunity to reset the relationship here,” said Chloe, who did not participate in the current government.
“I choose to be optimistic at this stage that we will get real results.”
But first, there is step 1, as Zhao says: collecting a team and identifying the main people in Canada – such as who will carry the relevant cabinet roles, who will lead the process, and will there be a major negotiator whose name is?
One negotiation process? Or two?
Step 2 includes the process. What is the mechanism that these talks will reveal? There is another slow: the scheduled review of the Canada-USA Convention (CUSMA), which is supposed to start next year.
But this process will only take months to start. Under the lawThe United States must perform 270 days of consultation with the general public and Congress before starting conversations with Canada and Mexico.
Another option is an informal arrangement – a handshake deal.
The third possibility is a mixture of both – initial conversations, followed by the official process after months.
One of the senior Canadian officials says it will include two separate groups of conversations, but the specified process has not yet been released.
Usually a few trade experts in Washington are usually happy to talk about the process that he admitted that this is before this one when contacting him by CBC News.
Trump’s commercial policy, in a lower phrase, was a more touch wrong From Washington Accustom To, bypass natural procedures.
One of the Canadians known that commercial and security talks will not occur through the slower and more formal track.
“Not through CUSMA,” said Erine Outol, the former federal conservative leader and his newly appointed colleague at the Washington -based research center.
Trump has a lot of conversations planned already on the definitions, with many countries, to depict talks with Canada that occur through the most circulating process.
This leads us to the article: What are the issues that will be on the table?
It is clear what will be the maximum priority in Canada – the end of definitions. Ideally, this will include new American laws that limit how to use them, but this is a long snapshot in the best conditions and require Congress, this means in a quick deal with the president.
The United States, at the same time, is very transparent about a number of its demands. It even publishes Annual menu. Her latest invitations to changes in the dairy system in Canada and digital service tax.
Trump also complained about the military spending and spending regulations in Canada. Perhaps above all, its team wants a fewer foreign parts, in general, specifically the Chinese parts, in automatic supply chains.
Caesar Trade in the first term of Trump This is mentioned In a modern forum in Ottawa. Robert Lezer said cars are “the biggest thing.” “I hope we will strive more.”
The way you see Outol, Canada can link this entire conversation together under a wide package: rebuilding Democratic arsenal.
The United States fears that Delicious ability to manufacture Things have become a threat to national security, in everything from ships, to industrial parts, to weapons designed with critical minerals.
O Atoole envisions a wide agreement in which Canada corresponds to the US targets over cars, ensuring some access to critical minerals including uranium, enhances military cooperation in the Arctic, and apparently hand over as a great victory for Trump-guaranteed supplies of a certain volume of oil, at a reduced price, for example, for example, for example.
Spoiler Alert: Canada already sells this oil to the United States with a discount. However, o’Toole numbers will look great in a press release.
“Leave (Trump) says he wins,” said Oltol. Say, “This deal worth $ 40 billion over 20 years” … On the other hand, Canada wins because we are drawing our integrated defense and … manufacturing. “
All this depends on Trump’s tariff, Outol says. He says Trump may not remove them all, but even remove some, or reduce them to a more management rate, will help.
He adds that this will put a tone for the CUSMA more productive process next year.
Perhaps the biggest challenge in these talks is to rebuild confidence.
Even some American legislators asked about the reason for other countries’ interest in concluding a deal with the United States, knowing that the president may impose a tariff on a whim.
After all, Canada had already done a lot of what the United States requested. She reviewed the old Nava. Then slap DefinitionsRestrictions and Penalties On various Chinese goods and Investments In Canada.
Chloe recalls that during the phone call to Trump, after Trump’s re -election, Trudeau mentioned Canadian definitions It has imposed On China.
“It seemed that President is happy with that,” Chloe recalls.
A few days later, the customs tariff threatened everything from Canada and Mexico. Shortly after that, Trudeau visited Trump in Mar Lago. Trump praised this meeting in the name of “Very fruitful“But he started immediately talking about the inclusion of Canada. Finally, he imposed definitions, but he reduced many of them.
Will these definitions only continue? Or is there any opportunity for Trump that some may comment on building good faith during negotiations?
It is clear that Canada will aim for the previous one, says Chloe. The Carney team will clearly argue with a quick removal as part of the relationship reset.
“But I will not be optimistic that this will happen directly from the gate,” said Chloe. “Then the goal is to remove it at the point of any deal.”
And this, he agreed, can take some time.
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