The US discussion about whether Iran will be bombed, remembering the pain of the Iraq war

In 2016, Donald Trump described Iraq’s invasion as a “big fat error”, as a result of a deliberate deception by American intelligence.

“They lied!” And he said during a fully primary debate in February of that year. “They said that there were weapons of mass destruction. There was nothing. They knew that there was nothing.”

Now Trump is in the White House, the military intervention weighs in a war This is a strange similarity with the Iraqi freedom process – a campaign that he said was a waste of 2 Terry.

Then, as now, the logical basis for war is to stop getting a country Nuclear weapons Thus, remove an existential threat to one of America’s closest allies – Israel.

Then, as now, some port doubts that the threat of WMD is real.

“Intelligence indicates that although Iran has a nuclear program, it has not followed weapons,” said Rosemary Kielnik, director of the program in the Middle East in the priorities of the defense, a research center.

Some have gone further. Taker Karlson, the right -wing media figure who is strongly opposed to any American involvement in the other Middle East war, said that the Iranian is close to building a nuclear bomb, “Lie”, which was toured by the advocates of regime change long ago in Tehran.

In fact, there is no reliable intelligence indicating that Iran is located anywhere near the construction of a bomb, or has plans.

Rush to War critics cite the latest annual assessment of the threat of US intelligence, which he presented to Congress in March by the Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard – a former democratic and doubtful military interventions abroad.

While she admitted that Iran’s in stock of enriched uranium was at its highest level, she insisted that Tehran was not building an atomic bomb.

But Trump rejected this evaluation. He said on Tuesday when he was asked about Gabbard’s point of view: “I don’t care what I said.” As far as it was worried, Iran was “very close” to the presence of A. Nuclear weapon.

Trump is not the only skeptical of the threat evaluation 2025. Elliot Abrams, a falconry in foreign policy that worked as a special actor in Iran and Venezuela during the first period of Trump: “It is a very fool.” “No country has ever enriched uranium to 60 percent of purity (as Iran has done) without continuing to build nuclear weapons.”

He also pointed to the concerns expressed by the International Atomic Energy Agency, the United Nations Nuclear Agency, about Iran’s failure to cooperate adequately with its inspectors. The International Atomic Energy Agency recently announced the Islamic Republic in violating its obligations other than the first time in nearly 20 years.

David Petraeus, retired general and former CIA director who fought in Iraq and once again led the US Central Command that it was clear that Tehran was “worrying closely” to be able to build a nuclear bomb. “It is closer to all before,” he said – even if the country’s leadership did not decide to make one.

“We have always said that we will not allow them to obtain a nuclear weapon, and we think we will know whether they are enriching the degree of weapons,” he told the Financial Times. “But this is not something you want to rely on the best assumptions. You must be the worst case.”

Others have a similar view.

“Since the beginning of this crisis, which dates back to 2002, Iran has built in terms of fertilization on the scale of industrial, all the distinctive features of a program dedicated to military purposes, not for civil structure and energy production,” said Susan Malone, a former adviser to the US State Department of Iran.

However, Trump’s insistence that Tehran was “a few weeks” from obtaining a nuclear weapon, surprising the experts in the area.

Malone said: “What worries him … is that the president has jumped a few steps away from what we know is a fact and took an unreasonable conclusion, but he also did not support him intelligence.”

This impression was doubled by the informal policy of the White House in Trump. She said: “It seems that the president is making decisions based on his intestine instead of the best advice for the familiar advisers.”

Some analysts fear that Trump is very vulnerable to the influence of Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli Prime Minister, who insisted that Iran has a secret plan for the uranium weapon.

The skeptics also ask whether the president has accurately ruled the mood among American voters, many of whom acknowledged his promise to end the “Forever Wars” of America.

“Wars in Iraq and Afghanistan are definitely warning tales,” Petraeus said.

The debate about the supposed WMD program in Iraq came just two years after the September 11 attacks, when the Americans were more aggressive behind the need to return to the enemies of the country. The opinion about the wisdom of foreign military contracts is more divided now.

Chienik said in the defense priorities that then President George W. Bush “went to the American people for 18 months to clarify the issue of war, and he went to Congress to obtain permission. The big difference is now just the speed that all this is revealed.”

This rush to military action also revealed continuous tensions between Trump and more isolation followers in the Maga camp, the most important of which is Karlson.

some Fans before From the president, he accused him of betraying his principles “America first” by seriously deviating from the “new” foreign policy of unconditional support for Israel, following up on the change of regime in hostilities and unilateral acts in the world to defend American strategic interests.

Tensions erupted in a viral Carlson interview this week with Ted Cruz, Republican Senator and Trump, who said the United States should support Israel in its war with Iran.

“I want to stop madly wanting to kill us from obtaining nuclear weapons that could kill millions of Americans,” Carlson told Carlson. “You say I cannot see how America benefits anyway. This is strange … isolation.”

Carlson responded with the irony of the Cruz Foreign Policy accreditation and said he “knows nothing about the country that his government wants to topple.”

While some in Trump’s coalition are concerned about the president Turn in the direction on IranOthers said it was wrong to indicate that he suddenly became a new conservative.

“If you go back nearly 10 years, June 6, 2015, when he came down to the elevator and announced his candidacy. He said that Iran could not have a nuclear weapon,” Abrams said. “It was completely consistent with this.”