“The Trump model is not a free trade agreement, it is a …”: GTRI on the American commercial deal

India may soon conclude a bilateral trade agreement with the United States, as President Donald Trump has formed pressure on commercial partners by issuing official tariff notifications, according to a report issued by PTI, citing the Tank Global Research (GTRI) research initiative, on Tuesday.

“The Trump model is not a free trade agreement, it is the return of the revenge agreement on the American customs tariff,” GTRI said, and it highlights the position of the aggressive American president on commercial negotiations.

The United States extended the deadline for completing commercial deals from July 9 to August 1, which gave countries an additional three weeks before the new definitions of the country became.

This last trade batch began on April 2, when Trump announced that nearly 60 countries will face a new tariff unless they negotiate agreements in line with American interests. So far, the United Kingdom and Vietnam have only concluded deals, while a temporary truce still exists with China.

“Trump is now increasing, on July 7, official notifications signed 14 countries that explain in detail the definitions they will face from August 1 if the agreements are not reached,” said Ajay Srivastava, founder of GTRI.

According to the new tariff list, the United States imposed 25 % fees on Japan, South Korea, Kazakhstan, Malaysia and Tunisia; 30 % on South Africa, Bosnia and Herzegovina; 32 % on Indonesia; 35 % on Bangladesh and Serbia; 36 % on Cambodia and Thailand; And 40 % on Laos and Myanmar.

“These warnings, which the White House described as” final notifications, “the two countries firmly imagine: accepting American terms or facing much higher duties.

He warned that this customs tariff escalation could disrupt world trade patterns, raise consumer prices within the United States, and create great challenges to global supply chains.

According to what was reported, American imports from China decreased by 35 % in May 2025 compared to the same period in the previous year.

“With time running out, India is seen as a strong competition to announce a commercial deal in the coming days,” Srivastava note, while urging caution, noting that “New Delhi should take carefully.”

Given the last monochromatic commercial measures in Washington-there are specific warnings of the BRICS countries-GTRI confirmed that India should carefully weigh the long-term strategic consequences of any trade agreement that may prefer American interests strongly.