The shades of US and India links

In February, US President Donald Trump and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi exchanged warm greetings EmbraceAnd pledged to follow up Early Trade Agreement.

Now, six months later, these good intentions were strained. Trump describes India “the king of tariffs”, ” It threatens the high lever within 24 hoursAnd accuse him The Russian war in Ukraine is nourished through oil purchases.

This shift raises questions: Will India surrender to us, or pushed back and risky by stress Partnership for two decades?

The former Singapore Diploma, Bilhary Kossican, told CNBC that India will always give the priorities of its national interests. “India (a) is a country with a deep feeling as an independent actor,” he said, adding that “he will never play a deputy for any sheriff.”

On Wednesday, Trump pledged to raise “largely” definitions on Indian exports, after a 25 % increase and sanctions threats to Russian oil and weapons purchases.

This is a flagrant reflection of early optimism, when Moody and Trump It aims to double bilateral trade to $ 500 billion by 2030.

Vice President JD Vance He agreed to the terms of a commercial deal, and the Minister of Trade Biosh Joyal The expected “preference” definitions Just a few days before height.

But Kosikan, who was also a former secretary of external service in Singapore, said that “it is absurd that just because New Delhi was shocked by Trump’s tariff, and his humiliating description of the Indian economy as” dead “and playing for Pakistan, India will swing to China or Russia at the expense of the United States.”

He was referring to Trump After social mediaThe economies of India and Russia called “dead”.

India bowed towards the Soviet Union during the Cold War, but after the collapse of the Soviet Union, India deepened relations with the United States, especially under presidents George W. Bush and Barack Obama.

“What gathered India and the United States was a common concern about China,” Kusikan pointed out. “This anxiety will not disappear.”

Today, the two countries raised their partnership to a A comprehensive and global strategic partnership With cooperation in Defense, technology and clean energy. India was appointed as a “major defense partner” by the United States in 2016.

However, Ivan Veginum, Vice President of Studies, Heba Carnegie for International Peace, Be careful in the two comment Trump’s actions can reveal more than two decades of progress.

Speaking of cnbc’s “Squawk box asia“Although there are points of disagreement in its bilateral relationship – such as India’s relations with Russia and the United States’ relations with Pakistan -” they have never allowed third -party relations or fears to the bilateral relationship in ways that were very finished. “

“All the bets are now stopped,” he added.

India Ministry of Foreign Affairs He severely responded to criticism about Russian oil purchases on Tuesday, describing it as “unjustified and unreasonable.” The Ministry also indicated that the western countries that criticize India continue to trade with Russia.

Feigenbauum said that India sees it “hypocritical” and “blame the blame”, saying that the failure of the collective West to stop the war is now fastened in India. He also pointed out that New Delhi is uncomfortable because the United States communicates to China.

The former American ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Halley The administration urged not to “burn a relationship with a strong ally like India”, with a highlight that China, the best oil buyer in Russia, received a 90 -day tariff in May.

Former Indian Finance Minister Sophash Grag chanted these feelings on CNBC’sInside IndiaTuesday: “Our positions are so different that there is a very small possibility for reconciliation. “

He suggested that India absorb the exports strike and diversify it to the local or alternative markets. “If there is an American request, they will buy and allow (American consumers and importers to pay the customs tariff. Let them bear it.”

However, former Indian Labor Minister Sumita Dawa expressed her caution with CNBC on Wednesday. She said that India hoped for “positive results” of commercial talks later in August.

She said that although customs tariffs may have an impact on exports, the domestic demand for India is “very high”, and indicates other trade agreements highlighted by the country, such as the Free Trade Agreement in India, the US Agency and the OIN style agency is British in India, which is expected to deduce negotiations from it later this year.

“We are looking for a fair and useful deal for both parties,” said Dara. “I’m sure our negotiation will do a great job.”