The fragile ceasefire in India and Pakistan is only the first step to address deep conflict and integration

When the world waited for modest breathing, the ceasefire between India and Pakistan-two two nuclear guns seemed to be increasingly ready to engage in an all-out war-holding them on Sunday.

This is despite the beginning of the shaky truce in which the United States mediated, which witnessed that the explosions and warnings flow on the cities in Kashmir, which were disputed just hours after the ceasefire was announced on Saturday, where senior officials from both India and Pakistan accused each other of violating the terms of the agreement.

Indian Foreign Minister Vikram Missri warned late on Saturday that his army had ordered “dealing strongly” with any violations, while the Pakistani Foreign Ministry said it would do the same, but it was “committed to” to stop in military attacks.

But the nature of four days is tense of wide clashes and military strikes across the border, as well as a rapid escalation in the use of new technology that allows each side to go deep into the lands of the other party, shows the difficulty of the ceasefire.

The same applies to the level of hostility between the two countries, with the religious nationalism in which the deadly deadly attack was afflicted, in which 25 Hindu and evidence tourists were executed, which sparked this conflict.

India has accused Pakistan for attacking and strengthening terrorism in the region, which is a claim that Islamabad has repeatedly denied.

The disputed borders separating the Indian and Pakistan departments managed by the Indian and Pakistan departments run by the Indian and Pakistan departments run by the Indian and Pakistan departments run by Pakistan in Kashmir.

Indian officials said more than twenty people were killed in their lands.

Angry speech, modern war technology

The struggle was revealed in a cloud of misleading information, demands and counter -allegations, which are fueled by social media, which made it difficult to decide what was happening on Earth. The days were full of angry discourse and accusation on both sides, while the nights were dominated by explosions, laser guided missiles and heavy artillery fire.

But the worst military confrontation in decades between competitors in South Asia was also its first conflict, as drones took the center of the forefront, making the result unpredictable.

Uninhabited drones-such as munitions full of remote control, which are famous for their ability to stop air and wait target-were flooded in a competitive area and pushed the conflict to a full war bus.

The punishment for non -military tactics has been canceled tensions between the two countries and has the ability to increase the enhancement of a fragile ceasefire.

Last month, India suspended a decisive treaty that regulates how water shares in the Indian subcontinent, a step in which the armistice agreement did not change this week.

Pakistan desperately needs water from closed places, which is located on the source in India, compared to 80 percent of its agricultural production and a third of electrical energy.

The treaty has not been touched by the previous wars and the glow between India and Pakistan, but not this time-another sign of the danger of the conflict over Kashmir.

India is currently not the ability to convert water, but Pakistan sees the suspension of the treaty and the threat of depriving Pakistan of decisive water supplies as a “war of war”.

80 years of conflict over Kashmir

Some analysts say that the conflicts drawn in Ukraine and Gaza have natched the world with war, which allowed violence to lead in this confrontation between India and Pakistan.

The outbreak of the war is “a daily truth and expanded the worlds of imagination for the falcons of the hawks in the hot points all over the world”, Samir Puri, from the London -based Chatham House Center, Tell the trustee.

India and Pakistan fought bitterly on the Kashmir strategic area in the Himalayas for nearly 80 years, including two official wars and a dangerous conflict in 1999.

India and Pakistan Kashmir are completely claimed, but each of them controls part of it, divided into the control line, which is a border by military reality. China also runs a smaller section to the east.

Previous clarifications were contained in 2016 and 2019 and tensions are inserted, indicating the fact that each country has nuclear graphics as a major deterrent.

“If you look at the history of the relationship between India and Pakistani … you will see a certain amount of responsibility, a certain amount of control over escalation even at the height of (previous) wars,” Disarmmon Associated expert told CBC News.

American participation

With the approaching of the easiest to spread and the most accurate modern war technology than hitting strategic military sites, with all the blame on each side of both sides and rhetoric that strikes a temperature, the ceasefire has been announced.

Once again, it was international diplomacy that played an important role in achieving a ceasefire between the two nuclear powers.

The United States initially suggested that it believed that the conflict in fermentation was not the problem of America.

Two days before the truce was announced, Vice President JD Vance Fox News told the United States that the United States could not “control these countries” and that the confrontation “is mainly none of our actions.”

The United States believes that India is a partner and a major friend, as a combat of Chinese aggression in the Indian Pacific Ocean, while the importance of Pakistan has declined since Washington’s withdrawal from neighboring Afghanistan.

The comfortable approach disturbed analysts, including Aisha Siddiqi, an older colleague in King Collidge London.

And she wrote in A, “The loud boys have been left to fight alone, with the lack of the school principal for their march to their corners,” she wrote in A. The opening of the Financial Times newspaper.

Some say that Washington has been forced into a deep fear of nuclear work, given an increasing speech from Indian, Pakistani officials and disturbing intelligence received by American agencies.

Fans and Foreign Minister Marco Rubio worked on phones, where they reached the country’s leaders and influential army head in Pakistan, General Asim Monir.

Pakistani Prime Minister Shaybaz Sharif made a point to thank the US President for “his leadership and pre -emptive peace in the region.”

Reduce New Delhi.

Historically, India has been reluctant to participate in international Kashmir conflict, and welcomed and encouraged Pakistan.

Türkiye and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, as well as the United Kingdom, also played major roles in the diplomatic batch of ceasefire – a sign of the amount of geopolitical interest in South Asia.

Difficulty

The mediation in climbing both India and Pakistan is always difficult. Each of them is keen to draw every military action, and they get the last word, even when they are invited to not declare.

On Sunday, India has turned into a brave about its military strikes. In a virtual speech to open a faster missile manufacturer, Defense Minister Rajnath Singh indicated that “the Hadir of the Indian forces reached Rawalbandi”, where the headquarters of the Pakistani army is located.

But contrary to what Indian officials wished, the increasing economic power did not appear decisively that its army was superior to its opponent, analysts said.

“While the total national authority in Pakistan has grown for India, the military gap remains very small for Delhi to impose its will on Rawalbende or deterring it from supporting terrorism across the border,” analyst Raja Mohan Books at Indian Express.

India was clearly calm and did not provide any comment after the Pakistani forces claimed that they had dropped several Indian fighter planes when the clashes erupted at the beginning.

Senior military commanders from both countries are scheduled to speak on Monday.

Years have gone through high-level negotiations between countries around Kashmir-Hind, resistant to the idea.

But the hopes remain high, even with the newly installed Pope Liu, that he hopes that “the upcoming negotiations may soon lead to a permanent agreement.”

Rubio said negotiations on a wide range of issues, which are supposed to include Kashmir, will be held in a neutral location.

But it is not yet clear where, or even if – these conversations will continue.