The Swiss National Bank (SNB) in Bern, Switzerland, on Thursday, December 12, 2024.
Stephen Wrang Bloomberg Gety pictures
On Thursday, the National Bank of Swiss reduced interest rates by other basis to 0 % – which increases concerns about a possible return to negative prices.
It was widely expected to reduce through the markets before the decision, after traders provided an opportunity of about 81 % of a quarter-point reduction by 19 % of the 50-Basis reduction.
While other countries continue in the battle of inflation, Switzerland faces shrinkage, with Consumer prices Decreased by 0.1 % annual in May.
Low inflation levels are not unusual for Switzerland – the country witnessed several periods of contraction in 2010 and 2020s. The power of the country, the Swiss franc, is a major contributor in this direction.
“As a safe currency, the Swiss franc tends to estimate when there is pressure on global markets,” said Charlotte de Moneller, a great economist who covers France and Switzerland in Inge.
“This drives a decrease in the price of imported products. Switzerland is a small and open economy, and imports acquire a large percentage of inflation in the consumer price index.”
Amid high levels of global economic uncertainty, the franc continuously enhances in recent months, and is expected to be widely continuing in this path, indicating continuous challenges of SNB.
Since the franc power was the main engine of low Switzerland, SNB is now taking steps to restrict the currency rally by maintaining rates “systematically lower than anywhere.”
Negative rates?
Adrian Economics told CNBC before the interest rate decision on Thursday that he expected interest rates to -0.25 % this year, but he indicated that SNB may decrease.
He told CNBC: “There are risks that SNB will go further in the future if inflationary pressure does not start to increase, and the lowest policy rate may go -75 %, and the rate it reached in 2010.”
PretTejohn said that interest cuts affect currencies, which makes borrowing cheaper and encourage investment.
However, there are also some concerns and risks associated with negative rates, including savings, who can see any profit on their erasure savings, and for banks, which will work on less returns on their loans.
Inn Montpellier noticed that in the end, “financial markets are distorted, bank margin pressure, and increased concerns about long -term financial stability.”
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