Suggested external aid discounts can lead to millions of HIV deaths and study estimates

Suggested discounts for global foreign aidand Including programs to reduce programs in the United States, it can lead to millions of HIV deaths and high infection rates around the world in the coming years, according to a new study.

Posted on Wednesday in Lancet HIV Magazine, the study of modeling, estimates that by 2030, there may be between 4.4 million to 10.8 million new HIV infections in low and medium -income countries and 770,000 to 2.9 million deaths associated with HIV in children and adults. To estimate the effects, the authors examined 26 countries that used external aid to HIV resources, including Albania, Cambodia, Colombia, Cote d’Ivoire, South Africa and Sri Lanka.

They pointed out that international financing was crucial to the limit The largest shareholder. The United States committed $ 5.71 billion in 2023, or about 73 % of the total donor financing, according to KFF analysisNon -Party Health Policy Organization.

But from February, the authors report, donor countries announced discounts between 8 % and 70 % between 2025 and 2026. Trump administration Foreign aid freezes Spend, including financing HIV/AIDS programsSoon after assuming his position, and the Ministry of Governmental efficiency, or DodgeHe leads Main discounts.

“The United States was historically the largest contributor to global efforts to treat HIV and prevent UsaidThe study author, Dibera Tin Brenk of the Burant Institute in Australia, said in a press statement: “The programs supported already disrupted access to basic HIV services, including anti -virus and HIV prevention.”

The authors of the study said that the ongoing disturbances have retracted decades of progress to end HIV/AIDS as a threat to public health.

Ten Brink said: “If we look in the future, if other donor countries reduce funding, contracts of HIV may be detected and prohibited. It is necessary to secure sustainable financing and avoid the return of HIV, which can have severe consequences, not only in areas of sub -Saharan Africa, but worldwide.”

Pepfar, or the President’s Emergency Emergency Plan, was launched under the then President George W. Bush in 2003 and invested more than $ 100 billion in the response of HIV/global AIDS over the years. According to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the program saved life 26 million people since it started – But his financing stopped after Foreign Minister Marco Rubio ordered A pause on external aid Earlier this year.

“Pepfar is the biggest commitment by any country to address one disease in history, enabling it by strong support from the two parties through ten American conferences and four presidential departments, and through the generosity of the American people,” the government’s position on the web Hiv.gov reads. “Pepfar explains the strength of what is possible through emotional and effective assistance in terms of cost, accountability, transparent and transparent.

Others have already warned of the destruction that these cuts could bring to those who depend on them. Earlier this week, Head of the American Diseases Department to deposit He warned that without financing, millions will die and the global AIDS would return.

“It is reasonable for the United States to want to reduce its financing over time, but the sudden clouds to support life rescue have a devastating effect,” UNIDS CEO of Winnie Pianima told reporters in Geneva. “We urge to review and urgent restoration of services – life rescue services.”

Associated Press

He contributed to this report.