Scientists warn of the heat records fed by climate change, stronger storms, but they are confirmed over the next five years

Washington -Prepare for several years of heat that breaks the records that drive the land to More lethal, fiery and uncomfortable maximumYou expect two of the best weather agencies in the world.

There is an 80 % opportunity Another annual temperature record In the next five years, it is more likely that the world will again exceed the international temperature threshold that was identified 10 years ago, according to five -year expectations issued on Wednesday by the World Meteorological Organization and the Meteorological Office in the United Kingdom.

Last year’s record was the latest in a decade heatWith every year since 2015, the rank is among the 10, the most important of which is registered ever.

Natalie Mahwald, the climate scientist at Cornell University, who was not part of the accounts, but they said they are logical: “The higher global high medium temperatures may seem abstract, but it translates into real life into a higher opportunity for harsh weather: strongest hurricanes, rain, drought,” “even high global high temperatures translate into more missing lives.”

With each degree of temperature, the world retracts the human being Climate ChangE “We will face the highest frequency and the most extreme events (especially thermal waves, but also droughts, floods, fires, hurricanes/hurricanes/hurricanes that humans are playing,” via email Johann Roxterom, director of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Report Research in Germany. It was not part of the research.

For the first time there is an opportunity – albeit slight – before the end of the contract, the annual temperature in the past world will be launched The goal of the Paris Climate Agreement is to reduce warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) and hitting more anxious degrees 2 ° C (3.6 ° F) of heating since the mid -nineteenth century, the two closters said.

There is an 86 % chance that one of the next five years pass 1.5 degrees and the 70 % opportunity for the five years to be more than this global landmark, and they are considered.

Expectations come from more than 200 expectations using computer simulations that are run by 10 global centers for scientists.

“We have just seen ten more warmer years ever. Unfortunately, the WMO report does not provide any sign of comfort over the coming years, and this means that there will be a growing negative impact on our economies, daily life, environmental systems and our planet,” said WMO Ko Barrett.

She said: “The continuous monitoring and prediction of the climate is necessary to provide decision makers with science and information based on us to help us adapt.”

Fears of repetition

Ten years ago, the same teams calculated that there is a similar opportunity from a distance – about 1 % – that one of the coming years will exceed that critical threshold 1.5 degrees and then occurred last year. This year, a Celsius higher than two years older than the pre -industrial year is similar to a similar way, which was met in the United Kingdom longer in long -term predictions Adam Skyv and science scientist Lyon Hermanson “shock.”

Hermanson said: “This is not something that anyone wants to see, but this is what science tells us.” Two grades of warming are the secondary threshold, which is less likely to break, which was defined by the 2015 Paris Agreement.

Technically, although 2024 was 1.5 degrees Celsius more warmer than before the industrial quarter, the climate agreement threshold in Paris is for a period of 20 years, so it has not been overlooked. In the past ten years and predicting during the next ten years, the world may now be about 1.4 ° C (2.5 degrees Fahrenheit) more hotter since the mid -nineteenth century, and the Meteorological Meteorological Services Director, Chris Hewitt, has presented.

“With the Next Five Years Forecast to Be More Than 1.5C warmer Than PreindULIAL Levels on Average, this will put more people Than Ever at Risk of Severe Heat Waves, Bringing More Deaths and Severe Health Impacts Unless People Can Be Better Proteted from the Effects of Heat. Landscape, “Said Richard Betts, Head of Climate Impacts Research at the UK Met Office and A Professor at the University of Exter.

Hiite said that the snow in the Arctic – which will continue to heat 3.5 times faster than the rest of the world – will melt and the seas will decrease faster.

The scientists said that what tends to happen is that global temperatures rise like riding on Salem, with temporary and natural weather cycles in Nino that behave like jumps up or down on this elevator. But recently, after every jump from El Nino, adding warming to the globe, the planet is not much, at all.

“The registration temperatures have become immediately the new natural,” said Rob Jackson, the climate scientist at Stanford University.