Party member Saint Takaychi speaks to the surface flow elections during the Liberal Democratic Party leadership elections on September 27, 2024 in Tokyo, Japan.
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With Japanese Prime Minister Shigro Ishiba Express his intention to resign, The race was thrown to become the coming leader in the country wide open.
Various names have been recruited to find out who will succeed Ishiba, but two prominent names appeared: former Economic Security Minister Sanai Takaishi and current Minister of Agriculture Shingero Koizumi.
None of them officially announced the tour, but the group of political consultations of the Eurasia Group is expected to enter both in the competition to replace Ishiba.
Nikki’s opinion poll Last month, Takaychi showed 23 % leadership, while Cuizumi was 22 %. If elected, Takaichi will be the first woman to win the fourth largest economy in the world.
When asked if Japan was ready for a female prime minister, Tomohiko Tanigucci, former Special Adviser to the Council of Ministers during the era of the late Prime Minister Shinzo Abe told CNBC’s.Squawk box asia“The voters are more ready for the female leader than many.
He pointed out that “the time has come for Japan to have the first prime minister, and I believe that she is in line with the changes that have occurred over the past ten or 15 years,” adding that “the participation of women’s workers in Japan is greater than the number in the United States.”
About 85 % of Japanese women between the ages of 25 and 54 were working, compared to 78 % in the United States, according to the latest data from the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development.
Takaishi ran against Ishiba last year Liberal Democratic Party leadership race And he was led in the first round before losing in the surface flow.
He later distanced itself from the Ishiba government, and did not play any role in the cabinet Reject it The President of the General Council LDP.
The end of the period (short)
At a press conference on Sunday, Ishiba said that He was resigned to take responsibility for a series of election losses.
His departure comes at a time when Japan faces a living crisis Rice prices They reach the highest rate of increase in more than 50 years in June.
Ishiba also referred to The completion of a commercial deal With the United States, which set a 15 % foundation tariff for all Japanese exports to the United States, including the auto sector.
“With Japan signing the Trade Agreement and the President’s signing of the executive order, we have passed a major obstacle,” Ishiba said. According to Reuters. “I would like to transfer the stick to the next generation.”
His resignation also ends with a short mission. The ruling LDP party and the coalition partner Komeito lost their majority in Japan. Alevi and Lower homes Parliament.
Takaicha vs kiazumi
Takaichi is a “Apipene of Apineumix”, according to the Eurasia Group, in reference to ABE’s economic policies, which adopted monetary policy on a large scale, financial spending and structural reforms.
The observation added: “You will see the investors closely the Takaichi electoral prospects for its previous criticism of the plans of the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates, and its support for the largest financial incentive.”
BOJ ended the negative interest rate system in March 2024 and recently The rates reserved at 0.5 %. However, before the Democratic Party leadership competition last October, Takaishi said that BOJ’s height was “very early”.
It also supports a review of the Japanese High Constitution, especially Article 9, which gave up the right of Japan to wage war.
Japanese Minister of Agriculture, Cengero Koizumi, at the APEC 2025 Food Security Ministers meeting in Songsu Convenues, Intech, South Korea, on August 10, 2025.
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In contrast, Koizumi was less explicit about politics, but the son of former Japanese leader Junichiro Koizumi rose to the lead after assuming the farm minister and Managing the rice crisis in Japan.
Takaichi has “strong political ideas, and most importantly, a strong team of” perpetrators “from within both LDP and elite bureaucracy.”
Cole, who described her ideas as “radical”, said, while the prevailing National Democratic Party may not like her ideas, she records well among the Democratic Democratic Party elite who admire her to possess, her desire to participate, argue and accomplish matters.
In contrast, Cole, Koizumi, said a safe husband from the hands. “Since that he is mainly wrong in politics, the old Democratic Party guard feels confident that he will not put his established agenda, for example, agricultural policy or protect rural interests.”
He can also build a compromise with opposition parties at the bottom home for their support to be the Prime Minister.
Or another person?
Although LDP-komeito is the ruling Japan alliance, the winner of the liberal Democratic Party leadership may not become prime minister automatically because the House of Representatives chooses the final option.
Since the Democratic Democratic Party has its majority in the room, all opposition legislators, if they unite behind one candidate, can choose the following prime minister.
LDP and Komeito contains 220 seats at the bottom of 465 seats. But this scenario is unlikely, Eurasian analysts said, given that the Democratic Democratic Party, with its 196 -year -old seats, is still the largest vote bloc in the House of Representatives.
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