Russian drone in Poland will test NATO solution

On Wednesday morning in the field of drones in the Polish air field, the aircraft was strengthened, a meeting of the emergency government – and anxiety that Europe and NATO against Moscow may not be at the test level.

Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk said that the Polish air field has violated 19 times and that at least three drones were shot down by Warsaw aircraft, with the help of the Dutch F-35S and an Italian early warning plane.

Russia has pushed back against accusations that the incursion was intentional – although it also did not stop depriving it of drones on the Polish sovereign airspace.

“No things were targeted on Polish lands,” said Moscow.

But European officials have hit the suggestions strongly, as the act may be unintended.

“There is absolutely no evidence that this amount of drones is on this road on this road … by chance,” said Boris Pisorius, Germany’s Minister of Defense.

Although Poland has witnessed many violations of its air field since Russia, neighboring Russia, was attacked by Russia in February 2022, this recent incursion – great and depth of Polish lands – has sparked real nervousness in Warsaw.

Task warned that Poland was as soon as possible to the open conflict since World War II. He also asked to summon Article 4 of the NATO treaty, which allows member countries to start a discussion with allies about threats for their security.

Some experts and analysts are divided into the motives of Russia.

For some, the drones – some of which flew towards the Rzeszow Airport, a major logistical center for defense supplies and humanitarian aid to Ukraine – reconnaissance purposes, with bad directions, led to the identification of the transverse airspace.

“There is a problem in proving the intention,” said Dr. Marina Mirun, a defense researcher at Kings College College in London.

It believes that the doctors ’engine may be responsible for crossing drones in the Polish air field and warned against extracting conclusions based on excerpts of information. Dr. Mirun added: “The (accident) can appear as something that is not.”

However, many others believe that the relatively large number of drones that are transported to the Polish air area clearly indicates that the attack was deliberate.

“The previous incursions were individually or very small, which were more easily explained by a dysfunction in the guidance system,” Justin Bronk from Daban thought in the defense of the BBC told the BBC.

Justin Chrome, CEO of the risk and intelligence company Ciblin. He said that drones seem to be a cheap and long -range Russian drone, which can be used as months to disperse the defenses as part of the “growing gray area actions against NATO”.

Mr. Krumb added that the lack of warheads on the Jerbras aircraft, which works on Wednesday, makes them look less threatening and allow Russia to reduce work.

Poland will now need to review the accident and share the results with its allies.

Whether it is intentional or not, the unprecedented accident will provide valuable information for Moscow about the type of response that you can expect from the West if you decide to launch an attack on NATO countries, as many European leaders said they expect to do in the near future.

“It is a test for Europe and NATO regardless of Russia’s intention,” said Kiir Giles, an older colleague in the Russia and Eurasia program in Chatham House.

“Russia will learn from European torque, specifically Poland’s ability to withstand attacks of this kind.”

Mr. Gayls added that the expressions of condemnation instead of strong response will be encouraging to Russia if this is an accident as if it was a deliberate provocation.

He said that the shield of the sky to protect the airspace on Ukraine will prove to Russia that the West is serious about ensuring that the weather threats intercepted.

But such a plan – which includes European countries deploying fighter planes and pilots – has led to fears of a cross confrontation with the Russians and has not passed despite their floating since 2023.

The United States’ reaction to the accident will also be waiting for the accident in Poland – and it is closely followed up.

Some American lawmakers in both democratic camps and the republic condemned the attack shortly after it occurred.

However, as of Wednesday evening, US President Donald Trump has not recognized events in Poland through a post on social media. “What does Russia violate the airspace of Poland with drones? Here we go!” He wrote without explaining more.

The hidden publication was in line with his mysterious relationship with Russia and its President Vladimir Putin.

Over the course of last month, Trump launched the red carpet of the Russian president and threatened sanctions against Moscow if it failed to reach peace with Kiev.

These threats have not yet been fulfilled, and even the unlimited “consequences” warnings of Russia’s aggression in Ukraine seem to have fallen on the side of the road.

While its leaders are scrambling to assemble a offer of unity and strength, Europe – which was concerned about the American commitment to the continent’s security since the beginning of Trump’s second term – will monitor the next step in the United States like Russia.

“The sign of weakness and failure to impose costs and consequences will assure Moscow that they can continue to escalate without fear of the result.”

Participated in additional reports from Matt Murphy and Paul Brown