Reefal Tarsinski, the Liberal Mayor of Warsaw, is progressing after the first round

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Adam Eston

BBC Warsaw correspondent

The mayor of Warsaw Rafale Tzinski, the presidential candidate for the civil coalition, interacts with a survey of the first round of the presidential elections of Poland, in the Sanmers, Poland, May 18, 2025.Reuters

The mayor of Warsaw Rafale Tzarskovsky was slightly advanced to his conservative rival, according to a poll issued upon the end of the vote.

Liberal Warsaw Mayor Rafale Tarsinski won a narrow victory in Poland’s presidential elections, according to a survey, but conservative historian Carol Noruki will be asked to determine the next president in the country.

According to the poll, at the end of the vote, Trzaskowski, Deputy Prime Minister Donald Tusk, won 30.8 % of the votes.

Noruki came second with 29.1 % of the votes.

If the poll is confirmed by the final official-expected official result until the late TRZASKOWSKI and Nawrocki, they will compete in the second round on June 1, when none of the 13 candidates won more than 50 % of the votes.

Trzaskowski told his supporters in a gathering in Sandomierz, southern Poland: “We will win”. But he said that there is a lot of work and “great design”.

“I am convinced that all Poland will win,” he said.

He pledged to cooperate with the Prime Minister Tusk alliance to liberate the country’s strict abortion law and accelerate the reform of the Polish judiciary, which was widely seen as politicized by the previous government led by PIS.

Trzaskowski performed worse than the polls that predicted before voting, which prompted him between 4 % to 6 % on Noruki.

The President of Poland has a large -scale festive powers, but he or she is able to veto the government legislation. TUSK coalition does not have a large parliamentary majority enough to cancel the presidential veto.

Task has failed to make many promises to his campaign, partly because the current conservative president Andzig Doda has taken into account his government’s legislation, but also because of the divisions in the alliance on issues such as abortion and civil partnerships.

The victory of Trzaskowski will remove the veto, but Nawrocki is likely to be a more strict obed by Duda.

Noruki told his supporters in Gdansk that TUSK should be stopped from winning the total power in Poland.

Supple supporters called for the right -wing candidates, Slawomir Mentzen, who ranked third and won 15.4 %, and Grzegorz Braun, who finished fourth and won 6.2 %, to save Poland from Tusk.

Getty Images Karol Nawrocki, a non -partisan presidential candidate with the support of the right wing law and the Justice Party, whose vote during the presidential elections on May 18, 2025 in GDANSK, PolandGety pictures

Carole Nouoki, a conservative historian, came second with 29.1 % of the votes, according to the exit survey

A lot will depend on any candidate who can fill voters in the second round.

Noruki was not known at the national level before he was chosen by law and justice (PIS) as his candidate. But it has improved the job, and PIS is traditionally good in obtaining their vote.

Trzaskowski will need to win the votes of his midfield supporters, as well as those who support the coalition partners, the left, the left (Magdalena Biejat) and the third conservative method (SZYMON HOLOWINIA).

There is another concern for Trzaskowski is the best result of right -wing candidates because many of their supporters will not vote for him.

Mentzen’s result was a strong offer and continued to improve the right -wing union party since entering Parliament in 2019.

Who will be done by young voters, in the surface flow?

Many may support Noruki for its Catholic views directed towards the family, but they hate the left -wing economic policy of PIS of the generous benefits of the state.

Mentzen is an anti -Foundation candidate, and some supporters may not want to vote in favor of Noruki or Trzaskowski, who represent the two parties who controlled Polish policy for two decades.

The right -wing Grzegorz Braun was a bad surprise for liberal voters in Poland.

Brown topped the headlines in 2023 when it was directed by the candles on a Jewish Menora in the Polish Parliament with a fire extinguisher after a party for the Hanoka Festival.

Brown called the festival “demonic”. During a presidential debate last month, he said: “The Jews have a lot of saying in Polish affairs.”



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