Pressure on Donald Trump, where the customs tariff intends to deeper into American manufacturing

While Mark Carney goes to Washington, there is clear and clear pressure on the prime minister to secure a kind of deal. But the pressure grows on the Trump administration as well.

American farmers demand rescue operations, Bourbon’s producers are pressuring to relief the tariff, and car manufacturers request their own break.

Meanwhile, the new polling shows an increasing share of the American public believes that the economy is on the wrong path.

The Trump administration knows that the costs of the trade war will become more clear as it continues. Therefore, some experts suggested that the president has now concluded a deal before things get worse.

“My hypothesis was that the USMCA truce would conclude politically before the middle of the conditions in November 2026,” said Chris Sands, director of the Canadian Center at Johns Hopkins University, in reference to the United States and Konada Convention, which replaced Nava.

“The trade war will end with the largest American commercial partners, settle for prices and create conditions for business investment.”

But Sands says he is not convinced that the Republicans are ready for that. Therefore, industries that reach more than the customs tariff will be left to press more.

At the top of that list, the auto industry is located, which has been defined on parts.

Ford’s quarterly profits indicated that it will pay two billion dollars in the United States at tariff costs during the first half of this year.

“It is frustrating because we are the most American auto company, and we are exporting more than others, however, we have this two billion dollars in opposite winds, which prevents me from investing more in the United States,” Jim Farley, CEO of Ford said at a conference in Detroit last week.

It was not long before, Reuters reported that Trump’s main ally was preparing a “large” tariff for auto manufacturers.

Senator Bernie Moreno said that companies with a “final association” in the United States will be rewarded.

“For Toyota, for Honda, for Tesla, for General Motors, these are – almost one of the five most important local content producers – they will rise Be fortified with definitions. “

It is still unclear how this introductory relief will look like and whether it will include exemptions for Canadian or Canadian steel parts. CBC News mentioned that Partial comfort of steel definitions It is the humble expectation of the Canada delegation.

Meanwhile, the cost of rescue operations for sectors that reach more than that is caused by the trade war quickly.

China has targeted American soy farmers, as this trade war continues. Beijing imposed a 20 percent tariff on soybean exports from the United States, which effectively close American farmers from the profitable Chinese market.

Trump He said last week on the social truth Customs tariff revenues will be used to assist soybeans.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessin He said later CNBC “The great comfort of our farmers, especially soybeans”, should come as soon as possible this week.

CNN said this package will be at least $ 10 billion. Politico stated that it could reach $ 50 billion.

This type of government spending attracts pressure groups in large numbers. An investigation in Bloomberg found that pressure on customs duties and other issues related to trade amounted to the highest level ever in the first half of 2025. The total spending of more than $ 900 million has been recorded this year.

This, in turn, drew the anger of the traditional conservative allies. Perhaps the most obvious, from the Wall Street Journal.

“The failure of the farm confirms another fact about the customs tariff, which is that it expands what Mr. Trump used to call” the quagmire. ” that

Meanwhile, trade experts say there are more troubles on the next road. The more the trade war continues, the more the actual costs of definitions appear.

To date, many companies have been cautious about passing the increasing costs. The companies ranging from Ford to Apple have reported billions of dollars in tariff costs, but have so far been retracted from the increase in US consumers.

Experts say this will not last.

“If you think this will be rooted in the structure of your business cost, you cannot take these additional costs for a long time, you should transfer it to your customers,” said Jeffrey Shot, an older colleague at the Peterson International Economy Institute in Washington.

He says there is an increasing consensus that there will be “greater passage in the coming months and in the next year.” In other words, the costs will soon increase for consumers who buy imported products in the United States

So, yes, of course, the pressure on Mark Carney to conclude a deal. But this meeting, from increased costs, to large rescue operations, highlights how trade is in the interest of the United States as well.

Although this is exactly the type of argument that may have won today in previous departments (or even during the first Trump presidency), its experts warn, it may not be sufficient in the current climate.

“There are some signs of pressure on the American side,” said Clark Pakard, a research colleague at the Kato Institute, a Washington -based research center.

“The Trump administration is clearly looking for ways to alleviate the damage to the reprisals targeting American farms exports, for example. Likewise, I think the car industry struggles have become more clear and the administration appears to be open to accommodate some strings.”

These points and other points are expected to be discussion topics when both leaders meet on Tuesday.