Prediction markets expect the government to close more than two weeks will last

Traders in the Federal Internet Prediction Markets expect The government closing For more than two weeks, it indicates a decrease in confidence in the short -term deal with the negotiations in Washington remaining in full stopping.

Traders on the KalSHi Predictive Platform give a 64 % chance that the government will continue to be closed slightly over 21 days. The trading volume, or the total amount of the dollar that has been bet on this market, sits to the north with a little $ 2.5 million.

Meanwhile, 72 % of Polymarket traders expect that the closure will last at least, with about $ 1.5 million in the market.

Trump says that government closure “reaches” the Democrats as the confrontation continues

About 23 % of the market participants see the closure ends between October 10 and October 14, according to Polymarket trading data.

The federal government closed at 12:01 am on Wednesday, forcing the agencies to send domestic workers in unnecessary roles.

Trump says that government closure “reaches” the Democrats as the confrontation continues

These signals are temporary. Once Congress The confrontation resolves, usually employees return to work and get pay. As a result, previous government closure was more political theater than economic shock, with markets and Functions Speed ​​quickly.

This time, though, the Trump administration has warned that some of the subjected workers may not return, and have turned a routine disruption into a potential blow into a vulnerate. laboratory.

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Sunday, President Donald Trump Put the blame directly on Democrats to close the government.

Trump told reporters before riding the maritime ascending that the demobilization of workers on the horizon was “left to them”, referring to the Democrats who voted against a bill to finance government and avoid closing.