Islamabad, Pakistan – As Pakistan remained involved in a War of words Through Archrival India – after a dramatic exchange of missiles and drones nearly two weeks ago – this week diplomatic efforts with other neighbors: China and Afghanistan, which could lead to an official appeal of diplomatic relations between Islamabad and Kabul after nearly four years.
At a “unofficial” triple meeting held in Beijing on May 21, the ministers of abroad held The last one met in May 2023.
This time, the main result of the meeting, according to Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi, was renewed by Pakistan and Afghanistan to restore diplomatic relations after increasing tensions in recent years.
“Afghanistan and Pakistan have expressed a clear readiness to raise diplomatic relations and in principle agreed to exchange ambassadors as soon as possible. China welcomed this and will continue to apply for improving relations between Afghanistan and Pakistan,” said Wang.
He added that the China-Pakistani Economic Corridor (CPEC)-a $ 62 billion Mega project within the frame of the Belt and Roads Initiative in China (BRI)-will be extended to Afghanistan.
A Pakistani diplomat with a direct knowledge of Al -Jazeera conversations told Al -Jazeera that the next round of triple meetings will be held “very soon”, within a few weeks, to build on the conveneve of Beijing.
“I am reasonably optimistic about the results. It was a big exercise to build confidence and confidence between the three countries,” said the official who talks about not revealing his identity about the Beijing meeting.
Tripartite diplomacy amid the Indian Pakistani tensions
The meeting came after a four -day confrontation between Pakistan and India, with both countries, in favor of “victory” and the launch of diplomatic attacks to confirm hegemony.
The conflict, from May 7 to May 10, followed Indian strikes about what was called “terrorist infrastructure” in Pakistan, in response to the Bahajam attack in Kashmir, the Indian director last month, which left 26 civilians. India blamed the Pakistan -based armed groups, a claim that denies Islamabad.
While China urged restraint on both sides, its support for Pakistan was clear on the front lines of the conflict, as the Pakistani army used Chinese combat aircraft, missiles and air defense systems.
On the other hand, Indian Foreign Minister S Jaishankar said on May 15 that he estimated “condemnation” of “condemnation” Paalgam, Acting Afghan, to represent the “condemnation” of Paalgam’s attack, in a conversation between the two. The Indian media also reported a visit to New Delhi by Chief Taliban, the personality and deputy of the Interior Minister, Ibrahim Sadr, in early May.
Mustafa Haider Sayed, Executive Director of the Pakistan Chinese Institute in Islamabad, was called the Beijing meeting “very important”, given the geopolitical sensitivity in Afghanistan.
to Pakistan and China“The conflict with India has strengthened strategic clarity” to the need to work closely with Afghanistan.
Political analyst on Kabul Timam Balm agreed.
He said: “This invitation between Muttaqi and Jaishankar indicates a major shift in Indian and chapical relations, which can raise concerns about Islamabad, amid a actually volatile regional climate.” “The timing of this triple meeting, and not only its content, reflects an urgent need for coordination between these three countries, as new geopolitical dynamics in South and Central Asia are formed.”
Deputy Prime Minister/Minister of Foreign Affairs, Senator Mohamed Ishaq Dar @ Mishaqdar50And a member of the CPC political office and the Foreign Minister of the People’s Republic of China, Wang Yi, Acting Minister of Foreign Affairs in Afghanistan, Amir Khan Moussa, holding an informal triple meeting in … pic.twitter.com/xbvcmudijd
– Ministry of Foreign Affairs – Pakistan (@FETIGNOFFICEPK) May 21, 2025
Rocky
When the Afghan Taliban returned to power in August 2021, many saw it as a victory for Pakistan, given its historical relations with the group. From 1996 to 2021, Pakistan was one of the main Taliban allies. Meanwhile, India looked at the Taliban, an agent of Pakistani intelligence agencies and refused to communicate with it.
However, relations between Pakistan and Derlban have deteriorated.
Pakistan has accused the Afghan Taliban of allowing groups such as Tehreek-E-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) of launching cross-border attacks, a claim that the Taliban strongly deny. TTP, formed in 2007, is the ideological roots with the Afghan Taliban but it works independently.
According to the Pak Institute of Peace Studies, Pakistan suffered 521 attacks in 2024 – an increase of 70 percent over the previous year – which led to nearly 1,000 deaths from security personnel.
But on a trip that was seen as a possible penetration in the tense relations, Pakistani Foreign Minister Isaac Dar Kabul visited On April 19, just a few days before Paalgam’s attack.
The two names of God, Tibo, a security analyst based in Islamabad, say that the renewed diplomatic communication in Pakistan for the priority in Afghanistan presents the main priority for the main concerns, as the precedence is the precedence over trade, border conflicts, and the closure of the borders, which is a feeling that China is also participating.
“To enhance the meaningful trade relations, security concerns must be addressed to Pakistan first,” Tipo told the island, warning that failure to do this can escalate tensions with armed conflict.
“But looking at China’s global influence and close relationships with both Pakistan and Afghanistan, Beijing can play a pivotal role as a guarantor of any obligations,” added Tebu, who participated in the founding of the security research portal in Khorasan’s diary.
Common security threats
While Pakistan continues to accuse the Afghan Taliban of harboring fighters attacking targets in Pakistan, many of these attacks were directed to Chinese citizens working on CPEC projects.
The Pakistani government numbers estimate that about 20,000 Chinese citizens live in the country. At least 20 attacks have been killed since 2021 in provinces such as Khyber Bakhtongua and Baluchistan. The groups, including TTP, have claimed responsibility.
China has also expressed concern about the Islamic movement in East Turkestan (ETIM), claiming that its fighters are using Afghan lands to organize attacks against China.
Syed from PCI confirmed that both Pakistan and China see security as “their primary interest” in Afghanistan.
“This is a common threat, and in the past, ETIM also had importance in Afghanistan. These armed networks are also associated with each other. This is a pre -cooperation to move forward, to first give these terrorist clothes, which seems to work freely and comfortably in Affoghanistan,” he said.
However, Bahis noted that since the Taliban returned to power, most regional countries, including China, have found the security situation within Afghanistan acceptable, allowing continuous economic participation.
He said: “The main exception is Pakistan, which still faces serious threats from Afghan soil. While Pakistan’s priority is to or contains TTP, Kabul focuses on trade, crossing and regional integration.”
This is where China can enter the pivotal role in the image, adding that the country is in a unique position to mediate by encouraging security cooperation with the progress of trade and crossing initiatives that benefit all three countries.
The links of India, Vigenan and Pakistan’s concerns
During the civil governments in Afghanistan from 2001 to 2021, India and Afghanistan Close relationships have been developedDespite many attacks on Indian diplomatic missions by the Taliban and its allies.
In recent months, there has been a growing interaction between New Delhi and Kabul officials, including the last Jaishankar-Muttaqi conversation.
Does this warning of relations raises alert in Islamabad? Master does not think that.
“Pakistan does not trust Kabul. But Pakistan has asked to take action. The rulers there need to walk in TTP and other terrorist clothes. I don’t think Beijing or Islamabad opposes that Kabul has positive relations with India, as long as he does not oppose the interests of Pakistan and China.”
However, Bahis said that New Delhi’s rapprochement with the Taliban could lead to fears in Pakistan and China, both of which had historically tense relations with India.
He said: “While India and recent calls are still in the early stages, their timing may raise concerns about Islamabad.”
“Afghanistan has the sovereign right to deal with any country, including India. But it must be carefully. The clear correspondence is essential to ensure that its growing relations with New Delhi are not interpreted as threats from other regional players.” “The balance between these complex relationships will require diplomacy, transparency and mutual respect.”
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