One record for all chair analysts. Each of you. The Canadians spent months in the debate about what US President Donald Trump wanted exactly. Is it just some border reforms, or broader economic changes?
As it turned out, both are true.
A psychological tariff has ended for months of announcing Canada and re -abandoning a set of measures aimed at borders and drug tracking.
Now, it’s next. Trump to threaten To restore customs tariffs in 30 days, he could not reach a new economic deal with Canada: “fairness for all”, posted on the Internet, in all hats.
It is somewhat early to predict the bottom extract in the next round of conversations, but he was talking about dairy, car parts, military spending, and now, banking regulations.
But wait, there is more!
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said on Monday that US President Donald Trump will stop imposing customs duties on Canada for at least 30 days.
Definitions as a negotiating tactic
Trump was issued simultaneously a An official announcement This indicates a different goal during the next thirty days. He will also monitor progress on the Canadian border, otherwise, he will reside after that.
I have been correctly guessed: more definitions. This means that, and when, Trump threatens the economic pain again, we can all resume the debate about whether the borders or anything else.
What is clear is that a new burning element has been added to the already hot political expectations in Canada in the coming months, where Canadians will get a new prime minister, then they may represent public elections, amid Trump threats.
He talks about a temporary suspension of 30 days on customs duties-and this means early March. His team also threatens Definitions in AprilAfter ending Studies on foreign trade practices.
They speak Three different reasons For definitions – to correct unfair trade, increase revenues and negotiate with other countries. It seems that the drama that we have just seen was driven by goal 3 – negotiation.
Republicans praise Trump
The Republicans greeted the acumen of their leader’s bargaining on Monday.
Josh Holmes, one of the former Senate Assistants Lamc McConnell, Telecom and PodCaster Advisor on the X.
“It is no longer appropriate to ignore American interests.”
Trump critics were fast in the rain on the president’s procession. Most of what Canada had already announced on Monday was announced in December. until Feeling a festive reaction At that time from the Trump team.
To give the president his dues, the new elements that were announced on Monday include a Mysterious reference For new Canadian intelligence directions, which Ottawa has not clarified. Canada’s struggle to use intelligence information to prosecute gangs is a long -term matter source to complaint.
All this plays under the continuous DrumbEat from Trump’s hints that he has a more dramatic hidden motivation: annexing Canada.
About this thing 51 state …
People in Washington are often assumed that he is joking. Senator Ted Cruz called it a podcast, “epic dwarf”; He said that he was fair, “Yanking (Trudeau’s).
If so, it is completely committed.
Like, in the Oval Office on Monday, a Bloomberg correspondent asked what he wanted to see from Canada, and he spoke in a little more granular language about the difficulty in including Canada.
Trump answered, then suggested that the Americans would need to accept some disturbances to achieve this.
“Some people say this will be a long time. If people want to play the game properly, it will certainly be 100 percent that they will become a country. But many people do not like playing the game because” T has a threshold of pain.
Here’s more good news for Canadians who want to keep their country, according to VotingIt is an overwhelming majority.
Appendix also terribly in the United States, and has no place close to the support that he will need to reach the US Congress – which faces sufficient problem in passing the popular things.
He was asked in the Oval Office if Canada could do anything that would stop the customs tariff, as happened with Mexico, US President Donald Trump reiterated comments on the desire to become Canada is the state of 51. Trump was speaking before a planned call with a president Ministers Justin Trudeau at 3 pm
Talking about American public opinion, he is sympathetic to Canada about the definitions. various Investigative studies show only the minority support for these definitions, even when the survey It includes China.
The American media and stock markets seemed to surprise the imminent threat.
This was the main component of many American news bulletins on Monday, as it achieved 11 minutes in the NBC’s Today Show, and produced stories over it in the New York Times and Washington Post Wall Street Journal.
All this in a country, in a moderate phrase, a lot to last major Things It happens in Two weeks Since Trump was opened.
With Trump enjoying a small ghee in public opinion, a CNN polls may be his first unpopular step.
“Trump made some somewhat common things in his first weeks in his position. This is not one of them – no, no, no, terrible, terrible, terrible,” said Harry Intein, from a big tariff in Canada and Mexico.
The market sends a message
More importantly, the Americans took. This was not given. The Americans tend to pay great attention to international trade as the Canadians do NCAA, and perhaps less.
It may be understood because trade represents a much smaller share of the economy in the United States from Canada, where commercial clamp operations are often the upper story.
However, this week, Google is looking for definitions It rose to its highest historical levels In the United States
“You know that people pay attention when there are more Google’s search operations for those included in Taylor Swift,” Einden said. “I didn’t think I would see it, but the American people are really interested in definitions.”
So it is the stock market, as it turned out.
There has been nothing to say how the market reaction would be, and whether the tariff news reflects the prosperous mood in Wall Street in recent months.
Some analysts have seen this – the market reaction – is the only handrail against Trump. Because it is unlikely that the courts or Congress will stop the tariff.
It turned out that Dow Jones had decreased about two points from the moment that appeared last Friday when Trump promised the definitions that were coming-half a point on Friday, and more three times on Monday morning.
A speech appeared about the cessation of customs tariffs, at first with Mexico, immediately sent the bounce markets and the restoration of hundreds of billions of stock value.
One of the Canadians involved said this is the other positive ready -made meals of this episode.
“We went to the edge of the abyss, and we learned some things,” said Flavio Volby, head of the car parts lobby in Canada and Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. The Council of Relations between Canada and the United States.
“The tariff plan was not well taken by capital markets. Before that was a theory.”
It is now clear that the markets will punish definitions throughout North America. It is also clear that Canada may also get some important support.
Folp, specifically, mentioned the veteran Iowa Senator Chuck Grassley, who He appealed to potash exemptionsAnd that he referred to will be terrible for farmers in Iowa; Even American manufacturers hall Opposition Wide tariff.
Trump announced to be unaware of the market manipulation, when he saw correspondents at the Oval Office on Monday.
“How is the market?” He asked the president.
“I don’t know,” he added. “I don’t think about it.”
Maybe he was deceived. Or maybe not. Welcome to our new reality, as we will ask ourselves this question over and over again, and perhaps, perhaps, about 30 days.
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