Netanyahu’s ruling alliance is a break. What does Gaza mean? – My country

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin NetanyahuThe rulers’ government was hit on Tuesday when the Orthodox Party announced that it was holding the coalition.

Although this does not immediately threaten Netanyahu’s rule, it may require the disappearance of his government, although this may still be months away. It can also be held efforts to stop the conflict in Gaza.

The Jewish Jewish factions said that they are leaving the government because of the differences over a proposed law that would end widespread exemptions for religious students from recruitment to the army.

Military service is mandatory for most Jewish Israelis, and the issue of exemptions has long been divided by the country. This rift has expanded only since the beginning of the conflict in Gaza with the growth of the demand for the military workforce and the killing of hundreds of soldiers.

Choke Friedman, Vice President of the Jewish People’s Policy Institute, a research reservoir in Jerusalem, said the government’s threat “seems more dangerous than ever.”

Netanyahu can trial due to the alleged corruption, and critics say he wants to stick to power so that he can use his office as a pulpit for the fatwa to mobilize supporters and leave against prosecutors and judges. This makes him more vulnerable to the whims of his alliance allies.

Below is a look at the political predicament of Netanyahu and some possible scenarios:

Netanyahu, the tallest leader in Israel, has long been relied on the extremist Orthodox parties to support his governments.

Without UTJ, his coalition holds only 61 seats out of 120 seats for parliament. This means that Netanyahu will be more likely to pressure than other elements within his government, especially the extreme right -wing parties that are strongly opposed to ending the conflict in Gaza.

Political shaking is unlikely to be completely hindered by infiltration talks, but Netanyahu’s flexibility may be flexible in his concessions to Hamas.

The second super chat party is also studying the government’s inhibition of the issue of the case. This would give Netanyahu a minority in Parliament and make the rule almost impossible.

For decades, the Prime Minister of Israel was granted hundreds of exemptions from young men from the mandatory Israeli service. Over the years, these exemptions have joined thousands and established deep sections in Israel.

The extremist Hordox says their men are serving the country by studying the Holy Jewish texts and maintaining the tradition of ancient centuries. They are afraid that compulsory recruitment will reduce the connection of the followers of faith.

But most of the Jewish Israelis believe that the exemption is unfair, as well as the generous government salaries granted to many super Orthodox men who study instead of working throughout adulthood. That bitterness has worsened only in nearly two years of conflict.

The strong political parties have always had a great influence in the fragmented political system of Israel and used this situation to extract great concessions to its components.

However, the court of last year ruled that the Netanyahu government must recruit the super Orthodoxy as long as there is no new law that is not limited to exemptions.

Netanyahu’s coalition is trying to find a way forward in a new law. But its base is largely opposed to the granting of a draft comprehensive exemptions, and the main legislator stood in the way of giving the super Orthodox law that they can obtain, prompting their exit.

The resignations are not valid for 48 hours, so Netanyahu is likely to spend the next two days searching for a compromise. But this will not be easy because the Supreme Court said that the old system of exemptions amounts to discrimination against the secular majority.

This does not mean that the government will collapse.

Netanyahu’s opponents cannot submit an application to dissolve parliament until the end of the year for procedural reasons. With the start of the summer vacation in Parliament later this month, the parties can use this time to find a compromise and return to the government.

The Minister of Ministers, Mickey Zohar, of the Likud party in Netanyahu, said he hoped that the religious party will return to the coalition. He said: “God is ready, everything will be fine.” A Likud spokesman did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Once the departure becomes official, Netanyahu will have a high -ranking. The right -wing parties may threaten them to leave the coalition, which weakens it, if it suits many Hamas demands.

Hamas wants a permanent end of the conflict as part of any ceasefire deal. Netanyahu’s solid line partners are open to a temporary truce, but they say that the conflict cannot end until Hamas is destroyed.

If they leave or any other party the alliance, Netanyahu will have a minority government, and it will make it almost impossible to rule and most likely lead to its collapse. But he can still find ways to agree to the ceasefire deal, including support from political opposition.

Netanyahu can seek to obtain his alliance by appeaseing the extreme right and agreeing to now just a partial endowment for Hamas, and his ruling partners promised that he could still resume the conflict once it expires.

But Netanyahu balances these political restrictions with pressure from the Trump administration, which pressures Israel to end the conflict.

Gayel Talcher, a political scientist at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem, said that she expects that during those 1960s, Netanyahu will work to transform the narration away from the draft exemptions and conflict in Gaza, towards something that can give him an electoral batch-such as the expansion of American discrimination offers between referring to countries or series.

Once the ceasefire increased for 60 days, Netanyahu can bow to us to end the conflict and bring the remaining hostages in Gaza-a step that most Israelis support.

The elections are currently scheduled for October 2026. But if Netanyahu feels that he has improved his political position, he may want to call the elections before that.

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