Maps for Ukraine scenarios and a ceasefire

Speculation has moved on whether the Trump Putin summit will lead to a changing map of Ukraine by force-mainly-.

Russia has submitted a demand for large parts of Ukraine since 2014, when President Vladimir Putin made his first step.

At that time, within a few months, Moscow carried out the relatively non -bloody occupation and annexed the Crimea.

But this was followed by a Russian-backed separatist movement in the eastern Donbas region-specifically the two regions, or “Olias”, known as Donetsk and Luhansk.

I boiled a war there for eight years.

Ukraine lost about 14,000 soldiers and civilians during this period.

But in February 2022, Putin fired his invasion on a large scale. Soon the Russian forces reached the outskirts of Kiev and seized severe areas of the south, including large pieces of two mosques, Zaporesvia and Khairson.

The war has receded and flowed since then. Russia is now controlling less than land – decreased from about 27 % in the spring of 2022 to about 20 % now. In the east, Russian forces are advancing, but very slowly and at great costs.

President Voludmir Zelinski of Ukraine says that there is no need for an unconditional ceasefire now. European allies also insist on stopping the fighting. US President Donald Trump says this is what he was trying to achieve.

But in the period that preceded the Alaska summit with Putin, Trump began talking, instead about regional bodies. This was sent shock waves via Kyiv and Europe.

It is not clear at all to what the Earth indicates Trump, or what these bodies can appear, given that all the lands concerned are legally belonging to Ukraine.

As of August 2025, Ukraine’s lands appear as follows:

Russia will prevail dearly to expand its control over Luhansk and Donitsk.

Some reports indicate that Putin is calling for the surrender of Ukraine the remaining lands that it controls in both smiles.

But this means that Kiev waived the places where tens of thousands of Ukrainian soldiers died in an attempt to protect them – cities such as Kamurorsk and Sloviansk, and a fortified line that protects Ukrainian lands to the north and west.

For Kev, such a privilege will be a bitter pill for swallowing. For Moscow, whose losses were more disastrous, it will be seen as victory.

Zelinski said on Tuesday that Ukraine “could not” leave Donbas, as Moscow will use the region as a starting point to attack the rest of the country.

In recent days, the Russian forces appear to be pushing strongly and making progress, near the city of Dubrobila. But it is not yet clear whether this represents a big strategic step or just an attempt to show Trump that Moscow has the upper hand.

What about Zaporizhzhia and Kheson, were arrested in 2022?

Here, it has been reported that Russia is offering to stop its offensive and freeze the lines.

But will Russia be ready to return any of them?

On Monday, Trump mysteriously talked about the “pre-property of oceans”-is supposed to be a reference to some of this coastal line, along the Azov Sea or the Black Sea.

But all of this is part of the vital land bridge in the strategic point of view that connects Russia to the occupied Crimea.

It is difficult to see the Russian leader agrees to give any of them. Like Donetsk and Luhansk, Putin considers these places as part of Russia, and raised them illegally three years ago in four referendums that are widely considered a trick.

For Ukraine and Europe, the regional implications-at this very early stage of talks-are not follow-up.

A discussion of the future borders may come in the end, but only when the war stopped and Ukraine security.