Junif is unparalleled

There are a lot of unfamiliar faces, and the crusher wears signs of names. The guest house in the Vatican for men is reserved outside the tower for choosing the next Pope. The daily Vatican meetings have taken theological dating sessions.

Cardinal Anders Errores of Sweden, who spent the last days in a lecture hall in the Vatican, said, listening to concerns and learning the names of the number of the record of the Cardinals, which will be chosen behind.

Cardinal Arburleus sat in a department dedicated to a small group of new arrivals from countries that had not had the Cardinals before. They included one of Mali, who “disappeared” after the first day, and from Laos, who, in several days in the meetings, “did not appear.” He himself said “lost all the time.”

However, he and dozens of other Cardinals will advance to the Sistin Church, which begins on Wednesday afternoon to vote for the next Pope under isolation and mural Michelangelo, in one of the oldest drama in the world.

All papal elections are unpredictable. But this range has a lot of unfamiliar faces with politics, priorities and unfamiliar fears so that it can be more divided than usual.

It also comes in a particularly fraught moment for the church that Francis left deeply divided, as the gradual factions lead to more inclusion and change, and the conservatives who seek to decline things, and often Under the curtain of the unit.

The first Pope in centuries outside Europe, Francis expanded the arrival of the world to the global church to better reflect the diversity of faith. The consecutive he chose 12 years ago, 115 Cardinal from 48 countries. This flavor is expected to have 133 Cardinals of voting age (those under the age of 80), and they represent about 70 countries. The new Pope will need at least 89 votes.

Some Cardinals quietly retain sessions in the back rooms of the churches and apartments lined with the book or under the decorative chandeliers of religious orders. Vatican officials, experts, informed, and waiters – and even the book of columns who usually specialize in socially behave – claim that they have an internal path on the dynamics of formations around clear and secrecy candidates, owners of Chatti, veteran operators, and young impressions.

In fact, no one knows who will appear on the balcony overlooking St. Peter’s Square after the white smoke signs chosen by the Cardinals.

Andrea Ricardi, founder of Saint Society, said a Catholic group close to Francis and some of the Italian Cardinals seen to become the Pope.

He said that the result is to divide alliances and more than the dynamics of assembly that “benefits the known” and allows more “moral pressure from, let’s invite them, the elderly.”

One of the most urgent questions before the Cardinals is whether it will go beyond the path that Francis referred to, or decide to bring the papacy to Europe.

Early preference reflects those tensions. Among the Cardinal Petro Parolin, 70, who was Italian, was the state secretary in the Vatican during the reign of Francis. He is seen as a person who may be able to interfere with moderate and more liberal camps, although he appears to be rejected on conservatives. In the days before the flavor, a right -wing Catholic publication from the United States criticized the rumors that he fainted in the hall. The Vatican said it was a lie.

Another compete-Hmented competitor is the Cardinal Luis Antonio Talal, 67, from the Philippines, who embodies the motive for progress from the worlds of the expanding church. Finally, the 60 -year -old Peratesta Bizabala is famous for the Italian Patriarch of Jerusalem, who resembles Francis with his pastoral sensitivity, but, again, Italian.

“There are three everyone know: Parolin, postponement and Bizabala.”

Beginners

Not everyone is happy to accelerate the geographical diversity and the new crop that he entrusted to decide the future of the Roman Catholic Church.

Cardinal Gerhard Ludwig Muller of Germany, a governor who was running the church office in the doctrine before Francis launched it from that job, recalled a meeting during the Francis meeting when one of the new players – “Cardinal consisting of 25 years on an island on the southern sea.”

“Three things said,” Cardinal Muller said. “First, I do not speak English. Second, I don’t know anything about theology. Third, I didn’t know why they made me Cardinal. Now he is a voter for the Pope.”

Conservatives complain that Francis is the college with the Cardinals on its usual members 120.

But it is not clear that all the Cardinals created by Francis in his form. In hot political issues dear to Western liberals, such as the inclusion of Catholics and gay women, they can be more conservative.

Some of the allies close to Francis were worried.

“You can find opposition figures in every country in which the Cardinals are made,” said Cardinal Michael Cherny, a Canadian and Enclious Progressive, who was a close adviser to Francis. “I don’t think he chooses people who disagree with him completely.”

Other Cardinals are concerned about the private sector that the new members of the college may develop large names or can be easily treated by the Vatican power players, which leads to a quick group of favorite.

On the other hand, new arrivals, who have not yet shouted alliances, can be difficult, and reduce the vote.

Italians

The Cardinal Errlius, the newcomer from Sweden, indicated that there is a feeling among some in the room “now we need the Italian Pope.” Other Cardinals, too, note that the Italians seem to suffer from the papal withdrawal.

“Since when did they not have the Pope?” Cardinal Juan Jose Omela of Barcelona said with a smile.

Answer: 47 years old. Forever, in Italian time.

After Adrian VI, the Pope of the Netherlands, died in 1523, the Italians carried a narrow grip on the papal salad for 455 years until John Paul II came out of Poland in 1978. Bear Bindock, the sixteenth of Germany, then Francis from Argentina.

Italian Cardinals, which are often broken due to ideological, personal and cultural conflicts, are not traditionally voting as a mass. Some supporters of non -Italian candidates argue that this is still the case.

But the low Italian ranks by Francis may lead to more cohesion than usual between the remaining 17 Italian Cardinals, says the insiders in the church.

With about 12 percent of the total votes, they remain the largest national group, and they have strong candidates and manufacturers of queens among them.

But some traditional in the church argues that belief and theology should exceed all other considerations. For them, the Italian voltage to bring the papal home is ridiculous.

“One of us,” said Cardinal Muller, mocking the cry of the Italian crowd. “It is childish.”

Unlimited allies

There is no shortage of possible coalitions.

Voting blocks may be formed around geography, ideology, language, or cultural sensitivities. Or on priorities such as financial transparency or ideological issues. They may even be formed around the process of expanding the old result or infection.

Some Vatican officials said that the Asian Cardinans were considered a good and coherent organizer, making themselves a strong bloc that could join more progressive Americans and southern Americans who do not want Italian, for example.

Instead, speculation can line up behind a person like Cardinal Tag in the Philippines.

To do this, they will have to overcome the potential objections to the conservatives who wrapped their eyes in the Cardinal, who was crying when he received the Red Cardinal Cat from Pope Benedict in 2012 or videos of a wide range of dance in the church and singing “imagined” by John Lennon.

“He cries,” the Cardinal Muller said, adding, adding that he considered the Filipinos “open.”

Conservatives appointed by former viewers consider a coherent group, even if they do not have decisive numbers. Some liberal Cardrogens are concerned that conservatives will search for a multiplication of power by looking at Africa.

Africa is home to one of the most Catholic population in the church, some of whom are the most conservative Cardinals, who strongly oppose LGBTQ.

The most martyred candidate from Africa is the Cardinal Friedoline Ambongo Bisongo, from the Democratic Republic of the Congo. Francis was preferred, who was estimated at the pastoral ratio.

But he opposed a changing rule that made Francis allow unions of the same sex. Instead, pay other priorities, such as pastoral care for polygamy devices.

Focus is not like European conservatives, and the question is whether they are ready to overlook it to enhance other priorities.

The anger of the liberals who call for more Catholics and LGBTQ also sparked the church, and who see a clear and double political standard.

“What is more prevalent? Multiple wives or homosexuality?” Priest James Martin, an American person who personally received an encouragement from Francis to his ministry to gay Catholics. “Why does one deserve pastoral attention and condemnation?”

Cardinal Ambongo is barely the most conservative African Cardinal. Cardinal Robert Sarah from Guinea led Francis resistance and feared by the liberals who see him as a person picking up the church back.

“I can think about some African Cardinals – they make me shive up,” said Cardinal noting me. In response to a question about whether the conservatives were gathering behind the African Pope as a Trojan hole to strengthen their agenda, Cardinal Chie said: “Certainly, certainly, for this reason,” It was very stupid, I said things like Africa’s time. “

Some progressors argue that, instead, the church should look east. Conservatives accuse the gradual prejudice against Africa may be behind the Axis of Asia.

“Asia!” Cardinal Muller said. “I think there are hidden biases that Africa has not evolved. No one will say, but in the depths of the heart, no?”