Israel may make Iran’s strikes more rated on the nuclear program Nuclear weapons news

Israel’s attacks on Iranian nuclear and military sites represented a major escalation in regional tensions, and may reshape the Calculipomia and Nuclear Integration account in Tehran.

Coordinated strikes were killed by many senior military and security officials, including the head of the Iranian army Muhammad BaghriAnd the head of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), Hussein Salami.

“One of the concerns of attacking nuclear sites is that setbacks can lead Iran to reshape its operations with a more modern effort to obtain a nuclear deterrent,” said Ali Fayez, an expert in Iran in the International Crisis Group (ICG.

Shamnted to verify health

A long time ago, Iran has held an internal discussion between reformists and militants on whether an agreement with the United States was reached on its nuclear program.

“The attacks) will confirm the strict and militant militants’ position and militants who said that Iran was wasted at the time to try to negotiate with the West … they said that Iran could never negotiate the position of weakness and consumption in the field of reports and recognition of peace,” Riza Hubari, an analyst in Iran and North Africa at the Institute of War.

The talks between Iran and the United States have suffered a major confidence deficit after President Donald Trump withdrew from one side of the nuclear deal between Iran and many Western countries, known as the JCPOA, during his first term in 2018.

JCPOA was organized by Trump Barack Obama and supported by the United Nations Security Council in 2015.

It aims to monitor the Iranian nuclear program to ensure that it does not deal with weapons levels. On the other hand, some sanctions were lifted from Iran.

While the deal was praised as a diplomatic achievement, Israel refused from JCPOA. Ten years later, the United States and Iran seemed interested in distributing another similar deal.

The previous one did not want to obtain a regional war where tensions were installed across the Middle East, while the latter was once again looking for the relief that was needed.

but Israel’s strikes on IranAkbar said in the short term, which was reported to have been planned months before the approval of the United States, who encouraged any diplomatic solution in the short term.

“It is difficult to imagine that someone in the shoes of Iran’s supreme leader (Ali Khawni) does not take the side of the militants after that,” he told the island forces.

There are no other options

In response to Israel’s strikes, Iran launched drones and ballistic missiles in Israel, with some targets on the ground.

In the past, Iran’s deterrence against the external aggression was primarily dependent on the self -described “axis of resistance”.

The axis consists of strong armed groups throughout the region, such as the Lebanese Hezbollah, as well as Syria during the era of former President Bashar al -Assad.

However, Hezbollah The capabilities have been dramatically During the height of its last war with Israel, which lasted from September to late November last year.

Assad decreased in December, culminating in a civil war of more than a decade in Syria, which led to the exposure of Iran’s ability to re -supply Hezbollah through Syria, as it was.

Michael Stevens, an expert in the regional response to the Iranian nuclear program with the Royal United Service Institute (RUSI), a defensive research tank, said Trump is now taking advantage of Iran’s weakness by urging it to surrender to a deal that would see its nuclear program.

On Friday, Trump published on the social truth that Iran should make a deal before there is a “remaining thing” for the country and that the following Israeli attacks will be “more brutal”.

Later, Israel has carried out more air strikes on Iranian military sites and nuclear facilities.

“There are not really good options for (Iran),” Stevens said.

“Either my raw … orders his negotiations to waive the nuclear file or … he carries more sites and more targeted sites of high -level officials are shown,” he said to Al -Jazeera.

He added: “In both cases, if Iran decides to run towards a bomb, it will be very difficult to do so now.”

The last position

Despite Iran’s military weakness compared to the United States and Israel, it warned against abandoning its nuclear program.

Niger Mortgafi, an expert in Iran at the International Policy Center (CIP), said that Iranian officials have long indicated the fate of the former Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi, Who agreed to give up the nuclear weapons program for him In exchange for relief from penalties in 2003.

The deal came after US President George W. Bush launched the so -called “war on terror” after September 11, 2001, attacks, which led to the prolonged invasion and occupation of Iraq and Afghanistan.

At that time, Bush warned his partners and enemies in the region that they were “with us or against us.”

Eight years after Gaddafi abandoned his nuclear program, the United States supported a pro -democracy uprising in Libya, which went up to an armed rebellion and led to the overthrow of Gaddafi and its death in the end.

“The (Libya) scenario is something that Iran has noticed, and they do not want to walk this path,” Motazafi explained.

She added that Iran may probably withdraw from JCPOA and try to expand its nuclear program quickly in response to the continuous attack of Israel.

“To what extent and how quickly Iran will expand its nuclear program is unclear,” Motazavi told Al Jazerara: