US President Donald Trump raises a fist as he set out from the first air force upon arrival at Calgary International Airport, before the start of the 7 Group Summit in Alberta, Canada, June 15, 2025.
Dave Chidli AFP | Gety pictures
The instability of trade and turmoil in Ukraine and the Middle East will dominate the conversations, as the leaders of the largest advanced economic forces in the world meet in Canada for the SEVEN (G7) group for this year.
With uncertainty about these major emerging issues of the White House’s economic and external policy, the allies are likely to ask whether US President Donald Trump stands with them, or against them in the main geopolitical points.
The Group of Seven includes the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, France, Germany, Italy and Japan, as well as representatives of the European Union and other guest participants. The leaders of Australia, Brazil, Mexico, Indonesia, Ukraine, South Africa and South Korea were also invited to this year.
These summits aim to facilitate the consensus on the largest economic and global biological challenges and coordinate procedures to address them.
The group problem this year comes from the inside, with Trump group of commercial definitions A possible global trade war waves on the horizon as live threats – with the exception of the United Kingdom, Which signed a commercial deal with Washington in May.
The summit takes place while Trump stops for a period of 90 days on the “mutual” definitions is still valid, as Japan and the European Union are looking to distribute a deal before the deadline on July 9, when the higher commercial fees-to 10 % by Trump in the Dinger to allow negotiations on deals-can return with revenge.
Canada was exposed to 25 % tariffs on Cars and 50 % duty on steel and aluminum importsAlthough goods that are not covered by the USMCA trade agreement, which include Mexico, are also subject to duties. Canada revenge With a 25 % tariff on US importsAlthough she was suspended from some to protect local industries.
Commercial conversations on the margin
Bilateral meetings are expected to take place between Trump and the leaders who are looking for a commercial deal at the Group of Seven summit in the next few days, but the possibilities of any major deals in the explosions are unconfirmed.
The Canada host is definitely looking to avoid any clear signs of separation, after abandoning the usual statement issued at the end of the seven summits on how the group plans to work together to face common challenges.
This may seek to avoid repeating the next conclusion to the previous summit in Canada again in 2018 when Trump fell, during his first term in his post, to support the United States for the joint statement. The summit in France in 2019 was the last gathering attended by Trump.
President Donald Trump arrives at a press conference at the end of the 7 Group Summit in Pierres, France, August 26, 2019.
Carlos Baria Reuters
“The Group of Seven has been formed fifty years ago, so the advanced democracies in the world can be compatible with the common economic and geopolitical challenges. But what happens when the reason for instability comes from within the Group of Seven? This is the question facing leaders in the council that precedes them to gather this week in Kananaskis,”
He added: “Trump will try to coordinate the G7 against the economic coercion of China. But the rest of the leaders may return to Trump and say that this type of coordination, which is at the heart of the reason for the work of the G7, will be easier if it does not impose a tariff on its allies.”
Other elephants in the room
There is also the issue of thorny support for Ukraine – or the rehabilitation of Russia, with Trump on the fence on more sanctions on Moscow – as well as the escalating crisis in the Middle East, where it is new. The attacks between Israel and Iran have left hundreds of dead Greedy Fears about the global economy.
Israel’s strong ally of the United States intervened to help to shoot down Iranian missiles, while other world leaders called for tensions.
Analysts say that the background of definitions and conflict can lead to fireworks at the June summit in Canada, given the contradictory and merciful nature of Trump often.
Analysts at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in the analysis said before the meeting: “The last time that Trump attended the summit of the leaders of the Group of Seven in Canada, in 2018, his dealings with a realistic TV program,” said analysts at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in the analysis before the meeting.
“With Trump’s introductory warfare war and targeting other present countries, this meeting can be more controversial than his last visit.” To avoid another catastrophic end of the Group of Seven Summit, CSIS said that global leaders need to recognize Trump’s concerns “American global leadership.”
“In previous meetings, the members of the Group have made clear their interest in addressing technological developments, public health, major wars, and other issues that go beyond the group’s traditional mandate. With many international institutions today, paralysis by geopolitical competitions, the world needs a coordinated work now more than ever,” they noticed.
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