Iran threatens revenge in the wake of strikes. An expert breaks the potential goals of Tehran

Iran pledged on Monday to take revenge on the United States for the Trump administration Surprising bombings Among the three best nuclear sites for the Islamic Republic during the weekend. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Argchchi now said in Moscow to attend a meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin, that Iran “should respond.”

If Tehran continues its speech, potential moves may include attacking US military origins throughout the Middle East, with closing Hermoz StraitIt is a selected point for 20 % of oil in the world, and the implementation of the so -called asymmetric war that includes terrorist attacks and electronic attacks all over the world.

American military origins in the Middle East

the The United States is working Eight permanent military bases in many countries in the Middle East – QatarBahrain, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Jordan, Kuwait, Egypt and Iraq – with nearly ten military facilities throughout the region, according to the Council of Foreign Relations. Among these permanent rules in Qatar at Aldeid Air Force Base with about 10,000 service employees. Only west, Bahrain is home to an American naval base called marine maritime support with an estimated 9,000 soldiers. It ranges between 40,000 to 50,000 American soldiers stationed throughout the region.

“There is a set of options on the target deck in Iran,” Burku Ozlik Middle East. “Contrary to Iran’s targeting of Israel, which is more difficult geographically due to the distance, Iran’s storage or short -range ballistic missile arsenal makes American military facilities in the Gulf more at risk. They are more smooth targets in this sense.”

She said that Iraq, which shares the boundaries of nearly 100 miles with Iran to the east, “tends to be seen as the following front lines in the place where the conflict can escalate, due to” a number of paramilitary groups associated with Iran “that may act independently of the Iranian government. These groups attacked in the past. The American Air Force in Iraq and The American embassy in Baghdad.

US marine assets, which include aircraft carriers and associated destroyers, along with various amphibious support ships and other targets, are also possible targets. The Strike Aircraft Strike Aircraft Strike US Carl Vinson was published in the Arabian Sea, while President Trump re -directs the USS Nimitz aircraft carrier to the Middle East from the South China Sea. The USS Gerald R. Ford is also on the way. Many Missile’s guide in the United States are patrolling in the Red Sea, the Gulf and the eastern Mediterranean.

These dozens of ships provide potential targets for various forms of Iranian attacks, including “armed armed boats, short -range ballistic missiles, and broadcast specifications,” Ozcelik said, “” American or allied American vascular vascular can be targeted, similar to what the Houthis are practicing in the Red Sea.

Hormone Strait and 20 % of the World Oil

Regardless of the American military assets, Iran can cause economic pain and global energy by trying to strangle traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, through which approximately 20 % to 25 % of the world’s oil corridors, along with a similar percentage of natural texture. The decisive waterway links the Persian Gulf states rich in oil to the Gulf of Oman and then the world. In the narrowest point, it extends only 21 miles, with Iran to the north and the United Arab Emirates to the south.

The Iranian navy can put thousands of mines to damage ships trying to pass. Ozlik from Rossi said that this will symbolize the “last resort’s act” desperate, which means that Iran is “out of control and photography.”

“She said: “We can consider this one of the tactics of this suicide task, if Iran will go to this extent, then the retaliatory effects will be very expensive and will also face Iran’s interests regarding the capabilities of exporting oil as well as its relations with the Gulf … and its commercial relationship with oil with China.”

On Monday, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio called on Beijing to help prevent Iran from closing the strait. On Sunday, Iranian government press television reported that the Iranian parliament, the Council, approved a plan to close the Strait of Hormuz, but added the final decision will be with the Supreme National Security Council.

Oil analysts expect prices to jump from 50 to 60 % if the hormonal strait is closed. One barrel of oil is currently trading in the bonds of $ 70 a barrel. It can jump to $ 120. Whether the organization of the oil exporting countries, or OPEC, more oil for compensation will determine the length of any possible price shock.

“Even if it is in the short term and the Strait of Hormuz has been reopened later, or Iran does not maintain this level of threat for a long period of time,” Ozlick said. “Iran will still suffer from the consequences of this, both in terms of its status, its reliability with the Gulf, as well as the oil infrastructure in the region, which has effects on the oil trade in Iran.”

Terrorist and cyber attacks

Ozcelik said the long -term real threat lies in “the space of asymmetric war and terrorism that the state may sponsor.”

On Sunday, the consulting system for American national terrorism Warning against a “increasing threat environment” in the country. The bulletin did not cite any specific threats, but said, “The low level Electronic attacks Against American networks by pro -Iranian infiltrators, the Iranian electronic actors of the Iranian government may carry out attacks against American networks. “

The warning came after the Haktevist group supported Iran, known as “Team 313”, thanks to the short current of the current correspondence from President Trump on Saturday. At approximately 8 pm Easter, users who tried to log in a mistake said a mistake saying “The network failed” and “Please try again.” The platform is reserve and operation.

Throughout the world, Iran was involved in the attempt to terrorist attacks. Recently, in London in May, the British authorities arrested many Iranians who claim to be planning a terrorist conspiracy targeting the Israeli embassy. In 2023, in London also, an Iranian conspiracy was thwarted to kill two Iranian news broadcasters criticizing the regime. Other terrorist plots have been stopped in Cyprus, Germany, Turkey, the United States, Denmark, Belgium and France over the past decade.

The Trump administration has warned that any retaliatory measures from Iran, whether they are direct attacks on American assets or the closure of the strait, will call for a response from the United States, which may endanger the Iranian government survival.

Mr. Trump, after the announcement of the attacks on Saturday night, Iran warned of any revengeHe said: “There will be either peace, or there will be a tragedy for Iran much greater than what we have seen over the past eight days.”