India maintains the fastest major economic brand despite the expectations of GDP to 6.2 %: GOVT Economic Review

The Indian economy is expected to expand by 6.2 % in the fiscal year 2025-26, which reflects a slight decrease of 30 basis points from the previous projection submitted in January 2025, according to the monthly economic review issued by the Ministry of Finance.

However, despite this amendment, India continues to preserve its position as the growing main economy at the international level, as it offers the lowest decrease compared to other prominent economies amid global uncertainty and increased trade tensions.

Despite the escalation of global doubts, the Indian economy showed remarkable flexibility in April 2025, the monthly economic review stated. The main economic indicators such as commodity and services tax groups, project managers in manufacturing and services, and generating electronic bills, all reach the highest historical or almost standard levels, indicating a continuous momentum in industrial and commercial activity.

Retail enlargement decreased to 3.16 % in April, the lowest level since July 2019, driven by a sharp decrease in inflation, which decreased to 1.8 %, the lowest level since November 2021. This decrease was supported by strong gossip harvest, increased summer crop spaces, and sufficient food spaces. The expectations of the Indian Monsilitation Ministry of Natural winds enhance stable price expectations.

On the commercial front, the total exports in India grew by 12.7 % on an annual basis, challenging the global slowdown concerns, while the rupee appeared as one of the best major currencies. The MORNGSTAR DBRS agency promoted India’s rating to BBB (stable), noting total economic stability, continuous investment of infrastructure, and a flexible financial sector.

Special investments also showed signs of recovery. A survey of the Ministry of Statistics showed a 66.3 % increase in the total CAPEX between FY22 and FY25, and the new private investment ads issue 14.4 rupees in the fourth quarter of the fiscal year 25 – the highest level ever.

Meanwhile, the stock market in India outperformed global indicators in April, as NIFTy gained 50 5.04 %, supported by strong local basics and reducing risk installments on government bonds.

The labor market trends were equally optimistic. White collar was recovered strongly in April, when the Naukri Jobspeak index increased by 9 % on an annual basis, and EPFO ​​data showed 14.6 net additions to Cham in March, most of them are young job seekers for the first time.

While the risks remain – especially due to global trade tensions and the threat of renewing the customs tariff for Indian exports – the report emphasizes that the economic basics in India, the stability of politics, and local consumption are still in its position as a prominent performance between the main economies.