In an invitation with Trump, Putin acknowledges a little on Ukraine

When the Kremlin released its summary to invite President Vladimir F. Putin on Tuesday with President Trump, there was one unambiguous thing: the Russian leader has not retracted his maximum goals in Ukraine and until now he has not recognized a little.

Many of what Mr. Putin agreed during the call-including a limited stop for 30 days of energy infrastructure strikes by both sides, and the exchange of prisoners and talking about security in the Black Sea-was cultivated as a privilege for Mr. Trump in the conversation summaries issued by Moscow and Washington.

But all of them were the goals that the Kremlin followed and considered it useful in the past. Russia and Ukraine previously reached an implicit joint agreement to refrain from energy infrastructure strikes, which have Pain For both Moscow and Kiev. Russia has long been conducted Exchange of prisoners with Ukraine, Seeing the return of its soldiers as a major interest in Carmlin. The trade without interruption in the Black Sea is crucial to the Russian economy.

Mr. Putin’s demands appeared on Ukraine without change. During the call, according to the Kremlin, Mr. Putin Repetition requirements for a comprehensive stop for 30 days He knows that they are not supported by Ukraine. According to Karmlin, he claimed that the Ukrainians had delayed and violated agreements in the past, Ukraine was accused of committing “barbaric terrorist crimes” in Kursk region in Russia.

Mr. Putin said, as the Kremlin said, as he identified his “main case” to settle the conflict on a broader scale: a complete stop to support the military and external intelligence, Kiev. Such a result, as analysts say, will make Ukraine, a country, much smaller than Russia, Permanently hostage Moscow’s overwhelming military superiority and fiery forever in the Kremlin orbit, without any budget supporters.

The Kremlin may have hoped to walk Washington before walking in Washington from Ukraine during the negotiation period, and he is already walking from Ukraine forever, and Mr. Putin is free to continue his war while creating relations separately with the United States. Russia may also depend on the possibility of Kiev, who faces an increasing image on the battlefield and the loss of its largest supporter, in the end to the erosion of its sovereignty that benefits the Kremlin.

“The best result of Putin is the result in which he achieves his goals in Ukraine and can normalize relations with the United States,” said Andrea Kendall Taylor, a former US intelligence official and is now an analyst at a new American security center in Washington. “So Putin wants to link Trump to give him enough to see if he can achieve it.”

Ms. Kendall Taylor added that Mr. Putin will feel that he has little to lose, believing that Mr. Trump, who did not hide from his dim view of Ukraine and Washington’s European allies, “will not be really ready to pressure Russia or abide by Europe.”

“There are a lot of incentives to participate in the Russian, and play with every opportunity to use this building in their maximum interest,” said Ms. Kendall Taylor.

Mr. Putin also has great advantages in the battlefield. His forces Reza lands of return. The largest and most important supporters in Ukraine, the United States Public itch to give up KyivAnd as well as Europe on a broader scale. Europe, which suddenly realized its danger without our support, was arrested How to secure her defense Not to mention Ukraine.

“In Russian diplomatic performance, negotiations are often just tools for winning and depriving their balance,” said Andrass Rasz, a senior research colleague at the German Foreign Relations Council.

Mr. Racz said that Washington The declared desire to reach a quick solution To the conflict gives a specific advantage to Moscow, which “is not in a hurry.”

After the dissolution of the Soviet Union, Washington’s strength in Europe grew greatly, as many countries that once answered Moscow answered NATO and at the end of the West. Mr. Putin has never accepted this result, making him keen to hold broader discussions on European security with the Trump administration. His apparent hope is that Washington will not only agree to an arrangement that puts Ukraine in the orbit of Russia, but also will give up wider We reduce the influence on the continent.

Russia, while giving little to Ukraine, began to lure Washington with the fruits of rapprochement. He was Russian officials Description of their wide reserves of rare ground mineralsSaying that they will be happy to exploit them with American companies, and conclude possible deals for American investors in the Russian energy sector.

Mr. Putin and Mr. Trump spent a part of the debate on Tuesday talking about what the Kremlin called “a wide range of areas where our countries can create”, including ideas on cooperation in the energy sector. The Russian leader, according to Karmlin, won the agreement of Mr. Trump to hold hockey tournaments with Russian professional and American players facing each other.

Alexander Gabov, director of the Carnegie Russia Center, said that the Kremlin hopes to obtain the United States to restore relations without predicting renewable relations at the end of the fighting in Ukraine. For this reason, he added that the Kremlin carries a discussion with all the potential benefits of the United States from a renewed relationship with Russia.

“The impression is that they have a very good reading of Trump,” said Mr. Gabev’s Kremlin. “They know the place of weakness, and they know how to massage the ego.