How can Iran after the United States decrease the strike in its nuclear program – national

Iran He spent decades in building multi -level military capabilities at home and across the region that was at least aimed at the United States to deter the United States from the United States Attack her. By entering Israel The war, the United States may have removed the last logical basis for their reserve contract.

This may mean a wave of attacks on American forces in the Middle East, an attempt to close the neck of the main bottle of global oil supplies or an outbreak to develop a nuclear weapon with the remainder of Iran’s disputed program after the American strikes on three main sites.

The decision to take revenge on the United States and its regional allies will give Iran a much more targeted bank, which allows it to use its missiles and drones. The United States and Israel have much superior capabilities, but these have not always established decisive in America’s history in modern military history in the region.

Since Israel began the war with a sudden bombing of Iranian military and nuclear sites on June 13, Iranian officials warned of the highest leader below the United States against staying abroad, saying that this would have severe consequences for the entire region.

It should be clear soon if these are empty threats or bleak expectations.

Here’s a look at what the next step may be for Iran.

Harmouz Strait targeting

The hormone strait is the narrow mouth of the Persian Gulf, through which about 20 percent of all aspects that are traded worldwide, and the most narrower are 33 km away. Any turmoil can send oil prices all over the world and strike American pocket books.

Iran is proud of a fleet of fast boats and thousands of marine mines that can make the strait not walking, at least for a while. The missiles can also be fired from the long Persian Gulf beach, as its allies did, the Houthi rebels in Yemen, in the Red Sea.

The United States has pledged, with its fifth fleet stationed in Bahrain, for a long time to support freedom of navigation in the strait and will respond to superior forces. But even a relatively short battle of fire can paralyze the movement of charging and distorting investors, causing high oil prices and generating international ceasefire.

We attack the rules and allies in the region

The United States has tens of thousands of forces stationed in the region, including permanent bases in Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates, and the Arab Gulf states across the Persian Gulf to Iran – and much closer to Israel.

These bases are characterized by the same types of advanced air defenses such as Israel, but will have a much less warning time before missile waves or swarms of armed drones. Even Israel, which is located several hundred kilometers away, was unable to stop all the fires.

Iran can also choose to attack the main oil and gas facilities in those countries with the aim of issued a higher price for the US participation in the war. Drona attack on two main oil sites in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia in 2019 – which the Houthis demand but blamed Iran on a large scale – in short oil production in the Kingdom to half.

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Activating regional allies

The so-called Iranian resistance axis-a network of militant groups in the Middle East, is what it was before the war that Hamas ignited on October 7, 2023, an attack on Israel from Gaza Strip – But he still has some enormous capabilities.

The Israeli war for 20 months in Gaza has greatly reduced the Palestinian Hamas and Islamic groups, and Israel has become Hezbollah in the past fall, killing most of its supreme leadership and destroying most of the southern Lebanon, which made its participation not possible.

But Iran can still invite the Houthis, who threatened to resume their attacks in the Red Sea if the United States enters the war, and the allied militias in Iraq. Both have the capabilities of drones and missiles that allow them to target the United States and its allies.

Iran can also seek to respond through hard -line attacks, as it is widely accused of carrying out it in the 1990s with an attack on a Jewish community center in Argentina who was blamed on Tehran and Hezbollah.

An enemy towards nuclear weapons

It may take days or weeks before the full effect of American strikes on Iranian nuclear sites is known.

But the experts have long warned that the American and Israeli strikes will only delay Iran’s ability to develop a weapon, not to eliminate it. This is because Iran has dispersed its program throughout the country to many sites, including underground solid facilities.

Iran is likely to fight to reform or reshape its nuclear program while Israeli warplanes and the United States are spinning. But it is still possible to completely end its cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency and to abandon the nuclear proliferation treaty.

North Korea announced its withdrawal from the treaty in 2003 and tested a nuclear weapon after three years, but it had the freedom to develop its program without punishing the air strikes.

Iran insists that its program is peaceful, although it is the only non -nuclear weapon country is an uranium enrichment of up to 60 percent, a short technical step away from 90 percent weapons levels. US intelligence agencies and the IAEA’s IAEA evaluation agencies have had no organized nuclear program since 2003.

It is widely believed that Israel is the only nuclear armed state in the Middle East, but it does not recognize the existence of such weapons.

And copied 2025 Canadian press