Gulf kings held Iran’s close competition as the conflict destroyed Israel

Arab monarchies seek to stay close to their regional rival, where they are trying to fiercely to avoid overwhelming the war on the other side of the Gulf and heading to the potential Iranian missile attacks.

Donald Trump also considers us our strikes on Iran, the leaders of Arab countries regularly spoke to their counterparts in the Iranian capital.

They are afraid that our involvement would put the Gulf states that host the American bases in the fire line, and can strangle oil and gas exports if Iran takes revenge on. Hermoz Strait.

Since Israel launched its attack last week, the rulers of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates – the largest economy of the region – spoke with the Iranian president Masoud Bezishian To express solidarity, Israel’s attacks have repeatedly condemned.

The Emir of Qatar spoke with Pezeshkian and received a message from him; The Sultan of Oman received an invitation with the Iranian president, while foreign ministers spoke from the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar and Kuwait with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Aragashi.

“The worst scenario is in fact.”

Abdel -Kali Abdullah, his colleague in Dubai at Harvard Kennedy School, said that the Gulf allies in the United States “must be guilty of the association if America faced Iran.”

Gulf states are led by the efforts made to the intermediary talks. An Arab diplomat said that Qatar and Oman had conveyed a message from Tehran to Washington – that it is likely to speak if the Israeli attacks stopped.

The Gulf states also called for talks, a ceasefire, and a return to the USA’s negotiations on Tehran’s nuclear program.

Qatar and Oman are the Gulf states with closest relations to Iran, but the forces in the Gulf – the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia – have a charged relationship with Tehran. They have long criticized the Islamic Republic as a destabilization force and initially supported the so -called “maximum” penal campaign.

Gulf rulers have strong relations with Trump, and his visit to the region last month was a success. The US President made an applause in Riyadh when he swings in the past “building players” in the United States and “new deputies” for their failed interventions in the Middle East.

Shortly after the first Israeli attack, Trump spoke with the Emir of Qatar, who hosts the largest American military base in the region, and the ruler of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman.

But the kings in the region are concerned about the inability to predict the American leader, and they are concerned that the United States will not be fully committed to protecting them if they are dragged into war. since Hamas attack October 7 in 2023The Gulf states told the United States not to use its bases to strike Iran for fear of revenge.

An Arab diplomat said that Iran is unlikely to attack the states of the Gulf unless they or the United States are involved in the war.

While the major cities like Dubai and its views felt a great influence away from the last conflict, the area is tense; The Kuwaiti saw the missiles in the sky of the region and Bahrain tested emergency sirens on Tuesday.

Some observers do not believe that Iran will risk more isolation and revenge by causing pain in the Gulf states. The Tehran army was poorly weakened by Israel’s attacks.

But the Gulf states are still afraid that the American military action will exacerbate an actually burning area and place in Iran with Iran.

if The United States strikes Iran“We have no choice but to take revenge wherever we find the goals needed to dispose of them.”

Source closer to Iran than Israel, the Gulf can hit Iranian missiles, shorter, with a much less time to respond.

Saudi and Emirati forces fought against Iran Houthi rebels in YemenThe Houthis launched missiles and drones in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia until 2022.

In 2019, Iran was blamed on A. Missile attack and drones at the heart of the oil infrastructure in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia Which temporarily knocked on half of the raw output. The attack was seen as in response to the campaign of “maximum pressure” of Trump against the Islamic Republic, and the Gulf leaders were frustrated with what they saw as a response to the United States.

Feeling that the United States’ defense’s commitment was defeated, the Gulf moved to defuse regional tensions.

The authoritarian countries were still quietly pleased with the vision of the Iranian -backed armed groups, including Hezbollah in Lebanon, to be degraded by Israel during the past year. “Iran, Iran’s nuclear armed Iran, is an existential threat.”

But while the Gulf states were regaining to Israel – with the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain alike Normalization agreements With the Jewish state in 2020 – they view Israel that were not verified as deeply destabilizing. They were strongly criticizing Israel’s behavior of its 20 -month war against Hamas in Gaza, and its strikes in Syria as a new government are seeking the stability of the country.

While absolute ownership may be cautious about nuclear armed Iran, this “is not at the expense of an Israeli domination that disturbs the balance of power,” Saif said.

Abdullah said: “The Gulf is considered Israel and Iran as sources of instability:” One of them is about to eliminate it, but the other feels courageous … Israel’s imperial, is it good for the region? I don’t think so. “