Gulf allies vibrate by Trump’s strikes, Iran

Donald Trump’s decision to join Israel’s military campaign against Iran has shook the Gulf capitals, which just weeks were launched and urged him to remove him.

while Gulf leaders last month collected Trump Thanks to the investment pledges in the competition and the trillion dollars pledges, behind the scenes, the properties pressed him to abide by diplomacy with Tehran and avoid a regional war that they believe will threaten its security and stability.

Iran has always been a major political and military competitor to the largest Gulf economies – the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates – but they sought to build bridges in recent years and a new volatile explosion The conflict in the Middle East The oil -rich countries disturbed.

Gulf waters that separate Iran from its Arab neighbors are narrow – only 200 miles at its widest point and less than 50 miles in its narrowest. Well, accessible to Iran’s short -range missiles, and hosting the major American military bases, the Gulf states strongly want to avoid clouds to conflict.

But Gulf leaders also fear that the prolonged conflict will enhance Iran’s stability, a multi -ethnic situation that includes about 90 million people, or pushing its rulers to take more severe measures, such as searching for a nuclear weapon. Both of them will leave the Gulf-who has spent recent years canceling Iranian tensions with Iran and improving relations-to deal after a chaotic war they did not start or support.

“The chaos of the chaos that followed the empowerment of Iran, and the inflamed sectarian tensions in the region and led to the birth of the Sunni jihadist group ISIS.

Although the Chukwari is wise on the fall of the direct Iranian regime as unlikely, he referred to the experience of the massacre caused by the attempt to collapse the regime in the broader Middle East. He added that for the Gulf, “this is closer.”

The initial reaction to American strikes was distinguished by anxiety and fear. Iyad Alves, a faculty member of the Department of Political Science at King Abdulaziz University in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, said that on Sunday morning, citizens felt “a mixture of shock and anxiety.”

He added: “Social media platforms are immersed in urgent discussions,” as people expressed concern about the escalation. “The weather is accused of emotions.”

In Kuwait, the closest state of Bay to Iran physically, people’s reaction to “Spectrum”, as the Kuwaiti advisor said, “One of those who deny that anything will come to those who suffer from complete alcohol panic.” The state’s Ministry of Finance assured the employees that its complex has shelters equipped to suit 900 people.

like British Airways has become the latest Western flight to suspend flights For Dubai and Doha, two expatriate workers in Qatar said they heard about parents who prevent children from school from school while some families left for the summer holidays early.

While Nuclear observers all over the region told the public that there is no change in radiation levels, Bahrain sent 70 percent of civil service employees, stimulating learning distance to schools and urged car drivers to avoid main roads.

The campaign against Iran confirms how Israel’s military operations throughout the region frustrate the Gulf’s desire to focus on its economic development.

Gulf analysts argue that Israel’s ambitions extend beyond Iran. “Look at what they are doing today in their direct environment,” Badr Saif, assistant professor at Kuwait University, said, listed in Israel in Israel, Syria and Iraq.

“What if they come out victorious with Iran? They will fill the offer in the region and we cannot accept this.”

Over the course of last week, the leaders of the region condemned the Israeli attack on their opponent a long time ago, remained in close contact with Tehran, and called for a return to talks between Iran and the Trump administration.

The Gulf kings prevented the United States from launching attacks on Iran from bases on their beaches. Diplomats and analysts say that they have strongly advised Washington not to this step, which led to annoyance that it would increase regional tensions and even leave the Gulf states as goals of Iranian revenge.

The Gulf powers of Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates had a stormy relationship with Iran’s regional competitor. After Trump raised the pressure on Iran during his first term, officials in Tehran to caution They will harm the economy of the United Arab Emirates and choose expatriate workers. Iran was blamed for attacks on oil tankers in the Gulf Sea and energy infrastructure in Saudi Arabia in 2019.

However, the attacks raised what the Gulf considered a fading response, as it sows doubt about the steadfastness of the American security commitment, which pushed several states to search for rapprochement with Tehran.

After several years of defusing tension, “the relationship between the Arab side and the Iranians at its best,” said alshaateri.

Hassan Al -Hasan, a senior colleague in Bahrain for the Middle East Policy at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, said that for all calls for an urgent dialogue, the diplomatic impact of the Gulf states was limited in this crisis.

Al -Hasan said: “The best thing that the Gulf states can do is prepare it, and to indicate not preparing for Iran and maintaining mediation offer on the table.”

A clear lack of influence on Trump’s decisions comes despite the efforts of the Gulf states to correct their relationship with the United States since his return to power.

Analysts argue that the American Gulf relations are still strong, and the statements on Sunday by the Gulf states were keen not to criticize Trump’s intervention explicitly. The only exception was Oman, and it is the facilitator of the American -Iranian nuclear talks, which criticized the strikes as “illegal”.