There is a very big opportunity because one of the next five years will determine a new thermal record. It is also possible that the next five years will witness average temperatures higher than the minimum in the Paris Climate Change Agreement, and the United Nations weather agency predicted. The northern pole heats up more than three times the average global average.
The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) said on Wednesday that all of this would nourish the most extreme weather.
“Every additional part of the warming pays more than harmful heat waves, severe rainfall events, severe dehydration, melting ice panels, marine ice, ice rivers, ocean heating, and high sea levels,” she said in a statement.
From this year until the end of 2029, the average semi-surface temperature in the world is expected to range between 1.2 ° C and 1.9 ° C of pre-industry levels of 1850-1900. In a new report.
Scientists warn that this year may end 1.5 degrees Celsius more than before industry, bypassing the current record of 1.48 degrees Celsius only last year. Some experts now fear Donald Trump’s position less than a friend on climate change can make the crisis worse.
There is a chance of 80 percent because at least one of the next five years will witness standard heat, and the possibility of 70 percent of the average warming will exceed 1.5 ° C above pre -industrial levels.
Last year, the most important year of all, WMO reported the first violation of the goal of the Climate Agreement in the Lower Paris for the year 2015That adhered to the two countries “Follow up efforts” to reduce global warming to 1.5 ° CWhile “maintaining an increase in the average global temperature to much less than 2 ° C higher than the levels before industry.” However, these goals Based on the average temperature for 20 years. This means that the temperatures of measured and predicting are not officially violated to the minimum Paris Agreement.
What the Arctic and Amazon can expect
In the Arctic, the medium average warming in the North Pole and the northwest of the Pacific Ocean will speed up.
The WMO report said it was expected that the rise in the Arctic temperature was more than three times and a half times the global average, at 2.4 degrees Celsius higher than the average temperature during the 30 -year foundation period during the next five winter seasons.
This is possible, according to a new study published this week in Nature Communications. They say that the summer of the ice by 2027 is the worst scenario-but it can still change if we can reduce global warming to 1.5 degrees.
The report said that the total global temperatures will remain at record levels or near them until the end of the contract.
The rains are expected to be above the average in parts of the world, including Sahel, Northern Europe, Alaska and Northern Siberia, for the months between May and September between 2025 and 2029, while the most dry conditions of the average are expected this season on the Amazon, according to the weather agency.
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