Europe may pay the high prices of oil after the United States attacks Iran

He was the president She was publicly vague About whether he would take a military action, but in a familiar pattern now from the Oval Office, the international media surprised by confirming that the warplanes were Set three separate goals.

In response, Iran warned of the consequences of “eternity”.

While Trump previously said that he would not harm Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, despite the knowledge of his whereabouts, the president now suggested the overthrow of the Iranian regime.

he He wrote on his websiteThe social truth: “It is not politically correct to use the term,“ change the system ”, but if the current Iranian regime is unable to make Iran great again, why will there be a change in the system ???

Once Trump submitted the proposal of his cabinet members I started surrounding the opposite. Defense Minister Beit Hessaqal told reporters that the mission “was not, and it was not, about the change of the system” while the vice president JD Vance denied that the United States was in war with Iran. “We are in war with the Iranian nuclear program,” I explained.

Questions to Voters and analysts inevitably turn to Iran’s “eternal” response It can be.

Since Western countries were weighing the possibility of Tehran’s work to disrupt their economies, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Aragshi also announced after the strikes that he would travel to Moscow to meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin.

Speaking in Istanbul, Aragchchi told the correspondents that Iran has a “strategic partnership” with Russia, adding: “We are always consulting with each other and coordinating our positions.”

Closer to the house, the Iranian parliament also agreed to plans to close the Hormuz Strait, which transports about a fifth of the world’s global oil production.

This is the most urgent concern for analysts, who saw with the high oil prices to the highest level in five months when the markets in Asia opened Monday morning, before it fell with Brent crude sitting about $ 79 a barrel.

But analysts also notice that nations – and indeed consumers – that may have drew a short straw in the conflict can be those who did not participate directly in the end of this week.

Jim Reed from Deutsche Bank also notes, the United States has turned into a net energy source over the past few years, so “so any negative impact will be through the deterioration of financial conditions or through the highest rates of longer rates as the Federal Reserve has another reason to delay the discounts.”

“For Europe, the effect is likely to be more dangerous. Every increase of $ 10 in oil has the ability to add a quarter of a percent to HICP (coordinated indicator of consumer prices used by the European Union) within a quarter, and if it continues, 0.4p within one year.

“Growth can be reduced by about 0.25PP if this increase is supported.”

Beware of Deckchair generals

With the genius drawing an uncertain road in the coming days, economists have warned investors of any knee reactions.

As Paul Donovan of UBS said on a note I saw luck This morning: “We live in a world of political polarization and vocal economy. This encourages excitement.

He continued: “The exclusion of President Trump may be attacks in the short term before the attack tactically, but their proposal to change the regime in opposition to official American policy causes uncertainty. This raises confidence -related issues related to commercial negotiations.

“Even modest increases in oil prices will raise gasoline prices in the United States just as commercial tariffs rise in other prices, and it may add to the inflation led by profits as well.”

However, analysts at JPMorgan said that investors should increase for prolonged fluctuations.

In a note I saw luck This morning, Mislav Matejka wrote from JPMorgan’s conflicting data on whether the weekend strike will be the only procedure or the beginning of a series of attacks that brought “little certainty”.

“Moreover, we do not see a clear way to a political settlement of the military conflict, which makes us believe that the conflict, like the conflict in Gaza, may last longer than many investors believe,” he added. “Moreover, Iran is much greater than Gaza, Syria or Lebanon, and unlike the other three regions that Israel attacked during the past 18 months, it is located on the Strait of Hormuz.

“In our opinion, the global economy/global investors cannot ignore the risks of conflict in Iran the way they can in Lebanon, Syria or Gaza, and they cannot ignore 10 % jumping in global energy prices,” Matejka adds.