Donald Trump makes a risky bet by reviving his trade war with the European Union

Donald Trump loves to make deals. It may be calculated that its sudden escalation of the definitions of the European Union will pressure Brussels in making great concessions as it opens a new front in its global trade war.

But it is a risky bet. Although the trade talks between the United States and the European Union were moving slowly, Trump’s threat to his situation 50 % tariff On all imports of the bloc as of June 1, economic and diplomatic risks greatly sparked.

This step threatens to threaten a recent recovery in the global stock prices resulting from Trump’s tilt towards making deals and canceling escalation with other commercial partners, including UK and China. It can also increase the damage of relationships via Atlantic.

Gambling reflects the president’s frustration and senior officials with what they consider obstructing the European Union in negotiations – and the belief that Brussels will be waived first or suffer more than the United States if there is no deal.

“It is a classic Trump’s bullying tactic, this is what he does. If he does not get what he wants, he retracts and makes more threats, then is waiting to know what is happening,” said Bill Rinsh, a commercial policy expert at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington.

He added: “It is supposed to make the Europeans retreat – my reading of them is that they will not do that.”

In the oval office on Friday afternoon, Trump He insisted that he was not looking for a rapid agreement with Brussels, and pledged that the 50 percent tariff would become valid on June 1 as planned. He said: “This is the case.”

US Treasury Secretary Scott Pessens told Fox News that the purpose of the planned definitions is “lighting a fire under the European Union” – which indicates a deadline for negotiations before or after the deadline.

But the edge of the abyss creates uncertainty, and warns economists. “The proposed definitions of the European Union highlight the main risk of prediction, as the customs tariff remains an ongoing tool that the Trump administration can exercise whenever negotiations hit an obstacle. The threats of repeated tariffs will continue and decline in uncertainty in politics.”

Washington’s accurate demands for Brussels are unclear. In his position on social media on Friday, Trump shook his dissatisfaction with many aspects of the European Union tax and the organizational and commercial policy that it will be difficult to address quickly.

Trade experts in Washington say that the administration is frustrated because the European Union offers are not different from those that it presented to the United States in the past.

“The natural methods of diplomacy and traditional curricula in commercial negotiations did not lead to a trade agreement for the United States by any administration. So I am not surprised by the president’s vision that takes a completely different group with the European Union,” said Kelly Ann Show, a former White House official during the first period of Trump and a partner in the international trade policy at AKAN GOMP.

She added: “These threats related to high definitions create a significant event for the procedure, as the two sides will reach an agreement or not.”

“The American view is that the Europeans do not understand that this time is different, and it is not traditional negotiations,” said Rinsh in CSIS.

On Friday, European Union Trade Commissioner Marus Ofovivi spoke with US Trade Minister Howard Lottenic and Trade Representative, Jameson Jarir, but it seems that there is no penetration.

“The European Union’s trade-the United States is unparalleled and must be guided by mutual respect, not threats. We are ready to defend our interests.” books On X after discussions.

European Union officials fluctuate Trump’s demands, and they wonder why the world’s largest trading bloc should make unilateral concessions.

They argue that there are about 1 different percentage between the European Union and the American definitions and say that the value -added tax is almost equal to the American sales tax.

Brussels also hesitates to give US market access to other countries, which would violate the rules of the World Trade Organization.

Officials also indicate that although the European Commission takes over commercial policy, many of the US -facing barriers with it are national problems.

“The European Union negotiators must keep their nerves. It certainly indicates Washington funds and is impatient to obtain a deal,” said George Rikilis, assistant director at the European Policy Center in Brussels.

Richelis urged the European Union to copy Canada and China by revenge strongly. “If the European Union is ready to respond, bullying and eventually escalating the extent that you can enter the deal area.”

However, countries like Ireland and Italy, which depend on American exports, have strongly pressured strong counter measures – and Trump will rely on the splits inside the bloc to force the European Union.

But Michael Smart, a former commercial lawyer in Congress at Rock Creek Global Advisors, a consulting group in Washington, warned of “if Trump’s plan divides the mass, it is possible that it has a opposite effect.”

Most member states have so far supported the committee’s approach to engaging but eating time up, believing that Trump will eventually decline due to the damage that his definitions will cause to the American economy. They have indicated that Brussels had been thinking about standing.

One of the European Union diplomats said: “One of the reasons that made the markets has calmed down is that it has already consisted of more concessions from Trump,” said one of the European Union diplomats.

Another said: “We do not make political decisions based on tweets, at least not on this aspect of the Atlantic Ocean.”