BBC verification

Russia has led more than the number of drones and missiles that fired towards Ukraine since President Donald Trump returned to the White House in January, and he found an analysis of the BBC, despite his call for a ceasefire.
The attacks were already rising during the era of former President Joe Biden in 2024, but it rose sharply after Trump’s electoral victory in November. Since his return to office in January, the registered air attacks from Moscow have reached the highest level of war.
Throughout his campaign, Trump pledged to end the fighting in only one day if he returns to his position. During his 2024 campaign, he claimed that Russia’s full invasion of Ukraine could have been avoided was a president that the Kremlin respected of his position.
However, in his efforts to achieve a ceasefire, he was charged with his preference by critics, and his administration stopped delivery of air defense munitions and other military supplies to Ukraine on two separate occasions.
The stops – which were announced in March and July and since the opposite of the President – have been steadily increased by the production of missiles and drones. According to the Ukrainian military intelligence, the building of ballistic missiles in Russia fell 66 % during the past year.
The data reviewed by the BBC showed the verification – based on the daily accident reports issued by the Ukrainian Air Force – that Russia launched 27,158 ammunition between January 20 – when Trump’s presidency and July 19 began, compared to 11,614 over the last six months of Biden State.
“This brutal war has succeeded in Joe Biden’s inefficiency, and it has continued for a very long time,” Anna Kelly, a member of the White House journalist, said in a statement to the BBC.
“President Trump wants to stop the killing, and for this reason he sells US -made weapons to NATO members and threatens Putin with definitions and biting penalties if he does not agree to a ceasefire.”
In the opening weeks of the new administration, the White House released a series of warm data that seems to be aimed at seduction of President Vladimir Putin towards a settlement. During this period, Russian attacks on Ukraine briefly fell compared to the last weeks of the Biden administration.
But by February, when US diplomats led by Foreign Minister Marco Rubio met the delegation of Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov at a summit in Riyadh, the attacks began to climb again.
The talks, which Rubio said was a starting point for an end to the war Discussions between Ukrainian and Russian officials In Türkiye.
It reached its climax at early last month, when Moscow fired 748 drones and missiles towards Ukraine on July 9, according to Ukrainian Air Force data. More than ten people were According to what was stated, he was wounded by the barrage and killed two.
While Trump expressed their anger at the escalating Russian attacks on several occasions, his escalating frustration did not have an impact on the Moscow strategy.
On May 25, Russia launched the largest registered barrage at the time, prompting Trump to ask angrily: “What happened to him against hell (Putin)?”
Since then, Russia has exceeded this number of launch operations for 14 occasions. Trump responded by demanding that The Kremlin reaches a peace agreement with Ukraine by August 8.
It seems that the number of Russian munitions that penetrate the Ukrainian air defenses are increasing, as explosions around the capital Kiev have become a daily part of life for the city’s residents.
“Every time you sleep, you don’t know if you will wake up the next morning, and this is not a normal way to live,” Dasha Falk, a journalist who lives in the city, told the BBC.
“Every time you hear an explosion or a missile that flies over your head, many ideas pass in my mind – I will die now, things like that.”
Ukraine is “weak” for air attacks
Senator Chris Konz, a senior democracy in the US Senate Foreign Relations Committee, told BBC that Trump’s decision to suspend arms supplies on two occasions, and his broader approach to Russian relations may have persuaded the Kremlin that he had been freedom to increase attacks.
He said: “It is clear that Putin feels triumphs due to Trump’s weakness and increased his evil assault on the Ukrainian people, and attacked hospitals and maternity wings over and over again, the Ukrainian network, and other civilian sites.”
The growing attacks renewed calls to the United States to send new supplies from Patriot anti -air batteries to Ukraine. Nationalists are the most capable and expensive air defense systems that Ukraine has. Each Patriot battery costs about one billion dollars (800 million pounds), and each missile costs about 4 million dollars.
Trump has canceled the suspension of the previous suspension and agreed to sell weapons to NATO members, who in turn will provide them with a condition. Trump appears to mean that the deal will include fresh supplies of Patriot batteries.
Justin Bronk, an analyst who focuses on the Russian army at the RUSI Services Institute (Rusi), said the restrictions imposed on the supply of military equipment imposed by the White House have made Ukraine “vulnerable” to missile attacks and drones.
But he also indicated that Russia has increased missile production and so-called drones such as Graan-2-a locally produced version of Iranian drones. Mr. Bronk said that the increase in Russia’s stocks, along with “large discounts” in the supplies of American missile missiles, encouraged Moscow to escalate its air campaign.

The Military Intelligence Agency in Ukraine recently told local media that Russia is now producing up to 85 ballistic missiles per month, up from 44 in April 2024.
According to Russia, Russia produces 170 Geran Prons aircraft daily, as it established a huge manufacturing facility in Alabuga in the south of the country.
In an interview with him recently with Russian military television, the director of the facility proudly boasted that Alabuga became “the largest martial drone production plant in the world”, adding that his workers produce nine units more than expected at first.
Satellite photos show that the facility has expanded significantly since mid -2014, with a number of new warehouses built on the site.
Other structures, including what appears to be expansions of workers, are under construction.
Senator Konz warned that the increase in production means that Washington must make it clear that it is not preparing to stay away from the conflict, as some administration officials threatened that he could do it, while emphasizing that peace can only be achieved through “increasing security assistance.”
He added that President Trump should explain Russia that “it is not possible to simply try to excel the West.”
“In order to do this, it needs to maintain a consistent and sustainable position in the war.”
Meanwhile, Mrs. Falk said that the Russian campaign continues every day and the Ukrainian objections continue in the general morale.
“People are tired because of these attacks, they really influence our lives,” she said.
“We know what we fight for, but it becomes more difficult every year because everyone is exhausted. This is the reality.”

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