Carney goes to Mexico in search of an ally – and chances

On Thursday, Prime Minister Mark Carney will go to Mexico with separate but relevant goals.

The first is to find ways to work with Mexico to maintain free trade at the level of North America, or at least what can be saved from the most protective American administration in a century.

The second is the development of a bilateral trade relationship with Mexico that works independently of the White House’s whims, and can escape any fate that is hidden in the Canada and Mexico Convention (CUSMA) when it occurs recently.

The trip is expected to clarify an agreement on a new comprehensive partnership in Canada and Mexico and a security dialogue that focuses on issues such as national crime and drug therapy.

“We are focusing on raising our partnerships in trade, trade, security and energy,” Carney said in a written statement before his departure to Mexico City. “Together, we will build stronger supply chains, create new opportunities for workers and offer more prosperity and certainty for both Canadians and Mexicans.”

But there were also some disturbances in the relationship, as there was during the first period of US President Donald Trump, and the trip is an attempt to build confidence between the two partners who will not lead the other under the bus.

Fix fences with Mexico

The Mexicans may have a better reason to feel anxious than embracing Canadian.

“There were concerns in Mexico about Data Made by Prime Minister Doug Ford and Daniel Smith“We will be better without Mexico” shortly after Trump’s re -election.

But it seems that Canadian leaders, federal and local, have dropped the idea that Canada could escape from Trump’s scenes by pushing Mexico abroad.

In August, Smith He visited Mexico And it seems to do some fence. Finance Minister Francois-Philippe Shampagane and Foreign Affairs visited Anit Anand Mexico in the same month and met with Mexican President Claudia Shinbom, based on Carney’s bilateral talks at the Group Summit.

“I think now, about eight months after Trump, it has become clear that Canada is not better without Mexico,” said McDonald.

She said, “We really need to work with our partners, our allies, and Mexicans,” given the inability to predict Trump definitions and other moves. “Go to it separately from the Mexicans will only weaken us.”

Bilateral trade grows

The commercial relationship with Mexico has grown in recent years, although most growth was in Mexican imports to Canada.

Canadian direct investment diversified in Mexico, which is always large in the mining sector, with its expansion.

For the first time this summer, new cars in Canada from Mexico entered more than the United States, to a large extent a function of car manufacturers such as GM and Volkswagen that define cars from their Mexican plants to avoid Canadian counter -spirits that apply to American vehicles, but not Mexican.

“Donald Trump tried to put a wedge between us. We took the bait.”

He said that “the friends of the auto industry” were quick to say that they did not need Mexico in an attempt to defend Canada’s economy.

He said: “Well, the truth is that we need to be a prosperous Mexico as we were,” referring to Canadian auto parts in Mexico.

“When we talk to the Mexican government and Mexican interests, we speak as Mexican investors and Mexican employers.”

Various approach, similar results

In the early days of the Trump administration, Shinbom was Humans by some international observers As a leader, he seemed to break the law to deal with the President of the United States.

Trump was always talking to Shinbom, as much as he had Carney, in a sharp contradiction with his humiliating accent towards former Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.

Mexico’s strategic decision not to take revenge on the American definitions allows a direct comparison. Before Canada fell many of its counter tools, the White House devoted Canada and China as the only countries that have declined.

But it is difficult to see how Mexico has gained any real feature with this approach.

“I think we are in the same boat,” he said.

“Hamid’s neglect”

Both sides often talked about the expansion of free trade outside CUSMA, but neither of them did much to enhance the idea, says Carlo Daddy of the Canada West Foundation, a member of the Mexican Council of Foreign Relations (says (Kossi).

“There is a basic line of benign negligence,” he said. “We do not benefit from the opportunities, but we do not cause problems. I would like to distinguish it because this is the place we went back to, after the Prime Minister from Alberta and Ontario, to be honest here, and we threw Mexico under the bus.”

DADE said that even inside CUSMA, Mexico or Canada did not benefit completely from the entire agreement.

Talking about a new commercial corridor in Canada and Mexican was not exceeding the inspiring stage. One of the Mexican officials who spoke to CBC news on the background said that Mexico has doubts about the ability of Canadian infrastructure to deal with trade that, by definition, should often go by sea around the United States.

Mexico contains many ports on every coast, especially Manzanilo and Lazaro Cardinas on the Pacific Ocean, Ferkerruz and Altamira on the Gulf. Manzanillo is subject to a large expansion that allows it to deal with the equivalent of five million containers annually by 2030 – twice the volume of the folder that moves through the Montreal and Vancouver ports combined.

Mexican officials are keen to discuss the expansion of these Canadian competitors (one of them Carney Main Projects List) And the potential construction of the facilities designated to support the Canada and Mexico trade in goods such as minerals and parts used in the construction of electric cars.

DADE says there are opportunities for countries to join together in the production of goods to grow Asian and South American markets-a competitive advantage over the United States to do this as members of the comprehensive and progressive agreement of the Pacific Partnership.

“It has nothing to do with Donald Trump, it has nothing to do with the United States, which we can actually work in the Pacific Ocean, however we did not,” he said.

But Dead warned that they needed to be conservative to do so; There is no use in spitting in the Eye of the Trump administration.

“What we do not want to see is to deal with working together or data on how to assemble us together on the United States,” he said.

“We have to work quietly together, but we can not be proud of it publicly.”