Artificial intelligence may not steal many functions as you think. Here’s what is in his way

A decade ago, everyone who was online to the Obama administration had the same proposal for young people looking for a stable and long -term professional path: Learn the code. Today, due to a large part of it AI TolideThis advice was turned on her head. Do not learn the code. Perhaps you are trained to be a nurse.

Software engineers and other jobs with tasks dominated by mathematics and computer jobs are more likely to be automated and displaced by artificial intelligence, according to a survey issued on Thursday by SHRM, an organization representing human resources specialists. SHRM has surveyed more than 20,000 American workers to know the percentage of tasks already the mechanism across many different functions. I also looked at what non -technical barriers depend on the path of automation, such as customer preferences and organizational requirements.

The results show important discrimination. Only because a lot of tasks can be done by machines It does not mean that the job is in danger Whoever takes or the judiciary. The survey estimated that 15.1 % of the jobs occupied by American workers (23.2 million jobs) are at least 50 %, and that 7.8 % (12 million) are accomplished at least 50 % by artificial intelligence. However, only about 6 % of American jobs (9.2 million) are weak because they are suitable for these descriptions.

In fact, the share of the roles at risk is much lower than the predictions than making artificial intelligence. Anthropier CEO Dario Amani He said earlier this year Artificial intelligence can erase half of the white collars in the coming years, pushing unemployment between 10 % and 20 %. Instead of the huge or sudden deterioration in the labor market, we can see artificial intelligence pays a more gradual reshaping of the workplace.

“It is a tremendous technique that will definitely change the way we all look at work, but it may not lead to the types of functionality that some propose,” James Atkinson, Vice President of Thought in SNET.

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What stands on the path of job automation?

Fears about Amnesty International’s assumption are well documented, with multiple public opinion polls. For example, a survey at the Pew Research Center earlier this year found that 64 % of Americans Less expected jobs In the next twenty years due to artificial intelligence.

The SHRM survey focused more specifically on individual workers and their jobs. One of the reasons for the survey of many people is that he wants samples of the largest possible number of job categories. “We really wanted to get the perspective of people who do work day after day,” said Atkinson.

Read more: Amnesty International: 29 ways you can make the Gen AI operating for you, according to our experts

Actual wiping provides a deeper understanding of the actual causes that make automation may not replace a completely specific function. SHRM defines “non -technical barriers” as things that prevent artificial intelligence from carrying out work, but not because artificial intelligence lacks technological ability to do so.

The largest non -technical barrier was the customer’s preference. Atkinson used the example of pilots. Computers may actually be able to fly, but no passenger wants to take a look at the fabricated cockpit without a person.

Another non -technical barrier includes legal and regulatory barriers, such as union contracts, although regulations may change when artificial intelligence becomes more advanced. Finally, there is a cost effective issue. Self -verification can be financially logical in a large profitable series like Walmart, but less in an independent corner store needs the Human Created Secretary.

What are the most likely and less automatic functions

Work, computers and mathematics are highly vulnerable to the risk of displacement. The report found that about 12.8 % of these functions have at least 50 % of their automatic tasks, not non -technical barriers. Other high -risk professions (such as architecture, engineering or management) have similar problems, while some (such as production) is largely automated in ways that do not include artificial intelligence.

The lowest fields are likely to have a mechanism that has a great interaction from person to human being. Regarding healthcare practitioners, for example, SHRM found that only 3 % of jobs have at least 50 % automation and there are no non -technical barriers. Personal care and social services functions were similar.

“The healthcare industry is one of the only industries that still witness job gains month after a month,” said Atkinson. “It is an industry that grows, and will continue to grow with our population progress, as it is the type of occupation that tends to be less likely to displace.”

Atkinson said the survey results show the need for workers who have people’s skills instead of just technical skills. What can the Truffitian IQ to do?

“We see that the organizations say we need people who can solve public problems,” he said.