Artificial intelligence is likely to do some of your business tasks. This does not mean that it can perform your work

Executive officials behind them artificial intelligence The companies rush to claim their products will replace large numbers of workers. man Dario Amodei headlines in May, saying it can erase artificial intelligence Half of the functions of white collars for beginners In the next few years. Meta CEO META He said in April He wants artificial intelligence to write half of the company icon next year. And the Americans believe this – a modern Piu survey I found 64 % of Americans expecting less function thanks to artificial intelligence.

In this environment, it is easy to see research on AI-Vulnerable functions and start panic. When Microsoft researchers put a report In July with a list of jobs with tasks that most of them overlap and the least with the tasks that can be performed by Gen AI panic Among those whose functions were at the top of the scheme. But a little deeper drilling is less than translators, historians and others to worry about whether artificial intelligence will replace them – unless human employers, who feel distress from the noise of artificial intelligence, decide.

Daril M. said. West, an older colleague at the Brukinsian Foundation, for CNET: “I think it is useful for people to focus on tasks instead of jobs.” “There may be many full functions that are eliminated. There will definitely be a lot of tasks that will be eliminated.”

Microsoft’s research that classifies professions from AI has made this point exactly, even if the main point is not releasing the headlines.

The authors wrote: “It is tempting to conclude that professions that interfere greatly with the activities performed by Amnesty International will be a mechanism and thus the experience of job or wages … This will be wrong, because our data does not include the effects of business for new technology, which are difficult to predict and often intuitive.”

Even the biggest names in the artificial intelligence, if pushed, recognize the uncertainty. Openai Sam Altman, CEO, speaks with Theo von in A. The appearance of the last podcastHe said not long ago, it was difficult to imagine that people could have the jobs of the CEO of AI and PodCaster. “I think it is very difficult to predict how exactly how something develops or predicts exactly what the functions of the future will be,” German said.

There are risks to thinking about artificial intelligence can do what he could not really. Below is a look at the function of the Microsoft report as interfering with the tasks that Amnesty International can do: translators and historians.

Translation is more than just finding the correct words

Spanish is an official language in every or part of more than 20 countries worldwide. This means that there are more than 20 different different language – and even more when you think about local and regional publications. Andy Benzo understands how important these differences are. “I am talking Argentine,” told me. “I am not talking to the Spanish. ‘ There is no “Spanish”.

As a legal translator and the president of the national team American Translators AssociationBenzo must understand not only the basic Spanish words, but culture – and legal culture – behind them. Benzo, the lawyer, not only changes words and sentences from one language to another – the meaning must be correct. These translations may have serious repercussions for people or entities involved in legal procedures, and it is important to obtain a precise meaning.

Translators make more than just copying and transform documents. Medical translators help people communicate with doctors and nurses to ensure appropriate care. These are the cases of life and literal death. Financial transactions that are transmitted from one language to another must be clear, or a person or livelihood may be at stake.

Benzo said that professional translators are generally experts not only in the language, but in their specific field. She said, “You pay us for what we know.” “We say what we do is accurate.”

The translation tools in which the artificial intelligence operates increasingly skill in helping someone communicate in a language that he does not understand. You can carry your phone and allow it to explain it between you and the person who does not understand any language you understand, as it was tried by Apple with iOS 26 And Google’s twin. But professional translators and translators specialize in obtaining things are completely correct. You don’t want to translate it to make a good guess – all you get from artificial intelligence – when your money or your life is on the line. You want to translate the nuances that differ between languages. And you want someone who will be responsible if it is a mistake.

“If I make artificial intelligence, then who will be responsible for that?” Benzo said.

Language is also not fixed. While the artificial intelligence industry is rapidly moving, the language changes more quickly. Every day, someone somewhere finds a new way to the phrase of an idea. Cambridge dictionary, for example, only Words added Such as “Skibidi” and “BROLIGARCY”, which AI may not be able to with outdated training data set. But the human being, the coach properly, can keep up with these accurate adjustments.

“The language is developing all the time,” Benzo said. “The language belongs to people. No one is the head of the language. The only person who can realize the nuances of the language is a human being.”

History is more than just telling the same old story

Sarah Wixed is a dated that is difficult to find in books because it is not related to words. She is studying clothes, not the type that targeted ads get online. Her work (including a Next BookIt examines the physical clothes of the American Civil War era and how they reflected the economic and political conditions at that time. The study of 160 -year -old clothes necessitated drilling in parts of the archives that rarely appear for the museum’s display. (When the clothes come out to show, there are often there for a short time because they are decomposing quickly.) It also included looking at diaries and other historical documents and searching for references not to important changing events globally, but to pants and shirts.

“My search process was gathering parts of the mystery,” Weeksel, CEO of the American Historical Association.

But the artificial intelligence model cannot look at the collections of museum clothes or read all these civil diaries? not quite. The historian’s function is not to find what is clear, but find the basic story that is not necessarily on the surface. Weeksel looked at the clothes to look at how to help cut the coat on someone in a straight position, or different fabric textures. “Amnesty International cannot touch and feel things for me,” she said.

More importantly, weeksel called her research by trying to answer and understand specific questions that may not have been asked before. This is the essence of the historian’s work: the practice of judgment and creativity to discover new interpretations of the past.

Read more: Chatgpt cannot be fixed. Here are 11 times you will regret its use

Weeksel said that research like a Microsoft study, which looked at the AI’s ability to deal with the individual tasks performed by a professional historian, does not cover the full image. She said that historians maintain and edit documents and provide information to people, but those tasks are “not the essence of what you are a historian.”

“We are not just a set of tasks that we complete and produce separate things,” Wixel said. “We are very related to the ability to synthesize and expand the government and bring it, but also the creativity of these questions we ask.”

The big language model can provide you with a good report on a historical event. Asking Chatgpt To get a report on Defenetration of Prague in 1618, you may get a good summary – what is not. Hallucinogenic And he gets the confusion between other times when people were removed from the windows in Prague in 1419 and 1483. But he expected that AI could do the task of the historian because it can summarize or analyze a historical event that is getting things back. Amnesty International can summarize historical events because it stands on the shoulders of historians who dug the facts and wrote what happened.

Studying history helps our understanding of the past, but the trained device is to follow the previous trends may not find what is unexpected or help us avoid repeating the same mistakes.

“The great works of history cannot be predicted or clear,” Wixel said. “This makes them transformative. It cannot be replaced by trained technology to reproduce current patterns.”

What kind of work can artificial intelligence do?

There is a difference between the tasks that artificial intelligence can do and can help tasks in AI. The great language models have proven that they were intuitive in writing the symbol of software, which leads to the spread of “mobile coding”, as the human role is more than merely reaching the idea and exploring and repairing mistakes while artificial intelligence does most of the work. Artificial intelligence has also been used more and more in roles such as customer service, where more direct requests can be handled by Chatbot or something like that, leaving only those most complicated for humans.

accident paper By Stanford University researchers, who found a decrease in employment among young workers early in some industries sensitive to automation, and also found that these declines were primarily in roles where tasks could be automatically.

“While we find a decrease in employment for young workers in the professions carried out by artificial intelligence for automation in the first place, we find a growth in employment in professions where artificial intelligence is more promoted,” as it can make a person faster or more effective without replacing them. “These results are consistent with automatic uses to replace artificial intelligence to work while enhanced uses do not.”

West told me that the displacement of jobs already occurs in places where routine tasks could be automatic. Several layoffs have occurred among the program developers because this can be done somewhat reliable by artificial intelligence. “Most jobs will be affected by Amnesty International, but not every job will be replaced,” West said. “People should only look at the specific tasks associated with any function and thinking only about the capabilities of automation.”

The effect of artificial intelligence on jobs will be determined by people, not the capabilities

Most importantly, no one knows what will have the impact of artificial intelligence on the economy even a few years from now. Chatgpt became only familiar in 2022. The capabilities of these tools, and our understanding of what can and what they cannot do, change constantly.

But the effect of technology on jobs will not necessarily happen because of what you can do. This will happen because of what business leaders and executives believe can do. Currently, many CEOs seem more worried about losing opportunities to reduce jobs and save money using artificial intelligence more than they are concerned that artificial intelligence will not be able to do work. Clarna said, for example, in 2024 that his assistance to Amnesty International can do 700 customer service agencies, however She changed her opinion Earlier this year, use more people after not obtaining the results they expect.

There are already some doubts about the impact of artificial intelligence initiatives directed to companies. July Ticket Researchers at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology have found that 95 % of the artificial intelligence pilots in companies do not get a return on investment – largely because artificial intelligence tools do not learn, grow and develop as human employees do.

“Corporate leaders may end in the delivery of many people because of their optimism about artificial intelligence, and they may end up discovering that there is an important component missing,” West said. “The aspect of human rule will be critical.”

The human element – whether it is judgment, creativity, or culture – may prove that what makes the tool of artificial intelligence unable to do something, even if it seems that it may be able to do all tasks on paper.