Arrows are flat, as the latest Federal Reserve predictions with stagnation

The interest rates were largely a settlement issue. Instead, investors turned their attention to this year’s Federal Economic Reserve expectations.

The so -called DOT plot, which is released once every three months, summarizes the expectations of federal reserve officials for interest, inflation and growth prices, among other things. The Federal Reserve maintained its average dropping of quarter -price discounts for 2025.

Investors were sure that the Federal Reserve would retain interest calories, which means that it will not have a little impact on stock prices. However, the Dot plot did not move the markets.

All three main indicators decreased sharply at 2 pm. When the Federal Reserve released its outlook, after it rose in the morning hours. The rest of the afternoon was volatile among all three indicators. The stock charts were all the peaks and sharp valleys.

In the end, they settled almost where they started today.

Close the S&P 500 0.03 % and Dao Jones fell 0.1 %. the Nasdak He was the only one of the three who were in a positive area for today, as it ended 0.13 %. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ index remains positive from year to date, an increase of 1.9 % and 1.4 %, respectively.

This plot carried the last point to recession – among the most catastrophic economic scenarios. Investors were hoping that the worst market turmoil in the year was behind them. After the brutal month of April, which witnessed the shares, bonds and the US dollar, all of which decreased in the wake of the tariff policy of President Donald Trump, and the market time largely.

However, the latest expectations of the Fed Bank raised concerns that may not be. Expectations grew for inflation and unemployment, while those of growth were sank. Anything that carries even the recession suggestion can put the markets at a state of maximum alert. The DOT plot witnessed the basic inflation expectations to a peak of 3.1 % compared to 2.8 % in March, and the expected unemployment rate increased to 4.5 % of 4.4 %.

Jerome Powell, head of the Federal Reserve, said any expectations and plan were subject to change.

“These individual expectations are always under uncertainty, and as I have noticed, uncertainty is unusually high,” Powell said. “Of course, these expectations are not a committee plan or decision.”

The markets also wrestle with local uncertainty. They were received by another war in the Middle East. The increasing conflict between Israel and Iran has now added a major new booster that investors will consider in their decisions. Whenever the Middle East is in the question, the oil markets often take the lead. Both countries bombed oil refineries to each other in the early days of the war.

On Wednesday, future oil contracts decreased by 3 % in 25 minutes in the morning, before recovering throughout the day. Then they recovered about 2.3 %, returning to positive lands, before they went down in the late hours of the afternoon. At the time of publication, 0.1 % decreased.

Oil prices also go, as well as Greenback. At least, most of the time. The US dollar index (DXY) increased by 0.16 % a day. This track lasted for two days of the positive moves of the index, which fell to less than 98 on Monday.