Analysts say that the future future for the Gaza deal is dark

Despite the competition overnight Threats from Hamas and President Trump To obstruct the armistice in Gaza, officials and analysts in the area remained optimistic on Tuesday morning that this arrangement will remain after the weekend – although it may not have been much longer.

The deal seemed close to the collapse when Hamas said it would delay the next edition of Israeli hostages. Mr. Trump again launched a “all hell” pledging revenge. But within hours, Hamas seemed to reduce its position. Even Mr. Trump’s statement had a warning he suggested that he might not follow his threat.

However, the confrontation shed light on the fragility of the inherent deal and the decrease in the possibility that it will last longer than early March, when the ceasefire is set on the end of the end of Hamas and Israel to negotiate the extension.

It made all the main players difficult to happen.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu delayed negotiations, caution against an extension that would allow Hamas to remain the dominant military force in Gaza. Hamas, although it is nomineively ready to share administrative control with other Palestinian factions, has not given any sign that they will disarm them.

“They will reach a compromise before Saturday,” said Ibrahim Dallasha, director of the horizon center, a political research group in Ramallah, the West Bank. “But this crisis is an introduction to a much greater crisis that will come in early March.”

The current confrontation stems partially from Hamas accused Israel failed to support its promises to the first stage of the ceasefire-a six-week period that started on January 19. Under the conditions of the deal, Israel had to send hundreds of thousands of tents to Gaza, among other humanitarian supplies, and he promised that Hamas said that Israel had not kept it.

Speaking, provided that his identity is not disclosed to discuss a sensitive issue, three Israeli officials and two mediators said Hamas’s claims were accurate.

But Kogat, the Israeli military unit that supervises the delivery operations in Gaza, said in my book response that they are “completely wrong accusations. It entered hundreds of thousands of tents Gaza since the beginning of the agreement, as well as fuel and generators and everything that Israel has pledged.”

Regardless, officials and commentators say this aspect of the conflict can be relatively easily resolved if Israel allows more assistance to Gaza.

The most dangerous issue is the widespread vision that Mr. Netanyahu is trying to undermine negotiations on whether the truce will be extended after early March.

These talks were supposed to start early last week. Instead, Mr. Netanyahu was late to send a team to Qatar, which mediates between the two sides, until early this week.

This delegation consists of three officials who have not previously led Israel to negotiate, according to five Israeli officials and officials from the intermediate country. Their mandate was only to listen, not negotiation.

According to two officials, the Israeli delegation listened to Qatar’s proposal for a year about the next stage of negotiations, and then announced that it would return to Israel.

This perception that Mr. Netanyahu was playing for time instead of trying to seriously extend the truce.

All officials spoke on the condition that his identity is not disclosed to discuss the larger freedom talks.

In response to a question about the comment, Omar Duvry, a spokesman for the Prime Minister, said that Mr. Netanyahu “is working tirelessly to return all the hostages kept by the terrorist organization Hamas.” Mr. Dostry added that Israel will send a negotiation team to discuss the extension of the deal after the cabinet put the position of Israel.

But Mr. Netanyahu often said that Hamas will not remain in power at the end of the war. The main members of the coalition of Mr. Netanyahu repeatedly called for the war to resume the overthrow of Hamas, despite the calls of most of the Israeli public to obtain the extension of the armistice to liberate more hostages, even if Hamas is left in power.

Analysts said that the threat of Hamas on Monday was an attempt not only to accelerate the delivery operations to Gaza, but also to force Mr. Netanyahu to negotiate seriously.

It was also likely to respond to Mr. Trump’s recent statements about the collapse of Gaza, which did not imagine any future for the Palestinians, not to mention Hamas, in the post -war area.

Hamas did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

“There is anger between Hamas about the demands of both Netanyahu and Trump that Hamas will be expelled from Gaza,” said Michael Milchain, the Israeli analyst for Palestinian affairs.

“The announcement yesterday was a kind of indication that if it continues to claim this, there will be many dramatic crises.”

Natan Odinheimer and Gabi Sobilman The reports contributed.