American public opinion on Israel will change, the US policy will also have to Israel’s conflict and the two

The Zionist narration was a dominant force in the United States for more than seven decades. It was repeated by the strong pressure, which was sponsored by Christian Evangelists, and chanted by the main media, and remained greatly without limiting until the outbreak of genocide in Gaza.

During nearly two years, I created unjust pictures of terror, the size of destruction, and the horrific loss of human life is an invincible record of the horror that challenged the Zionist narration. After the poll, a poll records a shift in public opinion in Israel. On both sides of the political gap, Americans are getting less enthusiastic about comprehensive support for the ancient United States. So what does this mean for Israeli relations?

In the short and medium term, not much. American weapons, assistance, security cooperation, and diplomatic support for Israel are hardly affected. The support structure that has been built for approximately eight decades will evaporate overnight.

But in the long run, support will be reduced. This means that Israel will have to reconsider its aggressive situation in the region and its plans to judge all historical Palestine.

What do polls say

Opinion polls began to capture a shift in American public opinion, especially among the democratic youth, even before the October 7, 2023 attacks. But then, this change seemed to be greatly accelerated.

A reconnaissance Pio Research in March this year indicates that negative attitudes towards Israel have risen from 42 percent to 53 percent of all adults in the United States since 2022. The shift is more evident among Democrats, from 53 percent to 69 percent for the same period.

What is noticeable in this change is that it is crossed. Among the Democrats between the ages of 50 and above – people who are usually moderate in foreign policy issues – the negative attitudes of Israel increase from 43 percent to 66 percent.

Excessive sympathy has also changed. According to the August poll (PdfBy economists and Youssef, 44 percent of Democrats are more sympathetic to the Palestinians, compared to 15 percent with the Israelis; Among the independents, these numbers are 30 and 21 percent.

The same poll indicates that a large number of Americans believe that Israel’s continuous bombing in Gaza is unjustified, and that about 78 percent want an immediate ceasefire, including 75 percent of Republicans. The percentage of the respondents who said that Israel was committing the genocide against the Palestinians is 43 percent; Those who differed were only 28 percent.

More importantly, pluralism – 42 percent – prefers to decrease Israel’s support; Among Republicans, this number is 24 percent.

Harvard Harris poll (PdfFrom July, it may reveal the most interesting trend for Israel’s advocates: 40 percent of American young people now prefer Hamas, not Israel. While this is likely to be a reflection of public sympathy with the Palestinians, it shows great cracks in the dominance of the narration of “Palestinian terrorism” to Israel among the American youth.

The same poll indicated that the Israeli Prime Minister only supports Benjamin Netanyahu, a catastrophic vote that does not exceed confidence far from his welcome at the White House and Congress.

How can politics change

The elderly voters – the last of Israel’s electoral stronghold – gives way to younger voters more sympathetic to the issue of Palestinian rights, will turn political mathematics towards a deep political change. The question is no longer if the United States will rethink its own relationship with Israel, but when.

The special relationship with Israel is one of those rare issues that has support from the two parties. It will take a long time to change.

Of course, in the short term, there are some possible changes. If there is a sudden crack between Netanyahu and US President Donald Trump – perhaps even on a personal level – the latter will have the polls to justify the transition from Israel. The clear shift in public opinion will provide him with the political cover that he listens to to the American people. However, such a dramatic change is not likely.

The most likely is that, under the pressure of the public, members of Congress will grow increasingly in the shift in Palestine, Israel. Those who stubbornly refuse to face a challenge by the younger candidates who refuse to finance by pro -Israel organizations such as AIPAC.

However, the shift in Congress will take a lot of time, not at least because there will be severe resistance. This pro -Israel lobby groups are a pivotal moment in American -Israeli history. They will use their extensive resources to eliminate any candidate expressing his sympathy for the Palestinians or questioning automatic support for Israel.

Moreover, other issues, such as the different economy and social cans, will continue to control the schedules of political business; Foreign policy rarely constitutes the elections.

The transition from the two parties will not be in the short term. Republican support for Israel is more consistent. The democratic establishment has been under pressure from its base since the chairmanship of Joe Biden. As younger members gain from political ascension – as shown from the amazing victory of New York mayor’s candidate Zahran Mamdani in the democratic preliminary elections – the democratic leadership will have to change Tok.

With the election of more supporters of the Palestinians, especially in Congress, the progressive bloc will grow and intensify pressure to change the policy from within.

However, this process will not be fast enough to improve the situation in Palestine or even stop the ethnic cleansing that is waving on the horizon in Gaza. Relief is likely to come due to international pressure and developments on the ground instead of changing American policy.

However, in the long run, the low support for Israel from Congress or even an American president means that the Israeli government will have to put it overly aggressive in the region and curb the adventure militarization. It is also possible to be forced to make concessions on the Palestinian question. Whether this will be sufficient to create a Palestinian state that still should be seen.

The opinions expressed in this article are the author of the author and do not necessarily reflect the position of the editorial island.