A very important study that calculates your chance to kill by an asteroid for several other frightening things

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It seems first as if it is a somewhat satisfactory game of “what you prefer?” , The researchers issued a new study played by the possibility that the average person will die in the event of one of the car accidents, carbon monoxide poisoning, lightning strikes, or because the giant asteroid destroys the Earth.

The possibility of an asteroid on the planet that collides with the Earth is low, but it is not zero. In fact, the Earth was a recent document call when the newly discovered asteroid was calculated Get a chance 1 in 63 to influence our planet in 2032. Fortunately, the scientists later reviewed the chances of this To nearly zeroBut however, we reminded of the 2024 YR4 asteroid of the extent of our at risk.

In the new study, the researchers began to calculate the possibility that the asteroid hit the Earth during the medium human life, and the chances of killing us the influence, then compared this to other events of the deadly things that occur to people during their lives, and the possibility of meeting its end.

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The above graph shows the various causes of death compared to the effect of the asteroid. Credit: NUGENT ET. the

In a sudden discovery, the researchers found that in the event of an asteroid effect, it is more likely to kill you more than if you were contracting with rabies, according to TicketIt was published on Preprint Arxiv. They also found that the chance to infect the asteroid that strikes the ground is more likely than the chance of hitting a person due to lightning, but if you are lightning, it is more likely to be fatal.

Calculate the possibilities of the asteroid’s effect is difficult. In order to reach an estimate, the researchers analyzed data on the number of organisms close to the Earth, as well as assessments of previous risk of asteroids that are likely to be dangerous and other space rocks by showing more than 460 feet (140 meters). Then they calculated the frequency of the effects by these creatures, and compared this to the data about other horrific ways of death and the chances of their occurrence of an average person during their lives.

Of course, no person has ever died from the effect of the asteroid that hit the Earth, while 13 people died From lightning in 2024 in the United States alone. However, the study “puts an event that affects the planet (the influence of the new) in the context with the deadly events that can affect individuals,” the researchers wrote. “This serves the purpose of allowing experts and non -experts to develop the possibility of a new effect in a mental framework for events that may have some familiarity, such as car accidents and animal attacks.”

NASA is already planning such a shock The spacecraft in the asteroid In a designed test to see if we can distort any dangerous space rocks heading on our way. Known On his way to Rendzvous with the same asteroid In order to study the effect of work.



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