It is clear that Ukraine acquired the attention of US President Donald Trump with its apparent willingness to exchange access to rare land resources with Washington, in exchange for its continued support and security.
Trump wants what he calls an “equation” of the support that the United States provided to Ukraine in the widespread invasion of Russia. This batch is in the form of rare land minerals in Ukraine and other things “as an American leader Put it last week.
US Treasury Secretary Scott Payette traveled to Ukraine to discuss the proposal that was He grew up for the first time with Trump last fallOn Wednesday, the journalists were hoping to reach a deal within a few days.
Pesin says that such a deal can provide a “security shield” in Ukraine after the war. Ukrainian President Folodimir Zellinski said at the same time, said, at the same time, In its daily title It will enhance Ukraine’s security and “give a new momentum to our economic relations.”
But to what extent can Kyiv put in Trump’s White House to provide support to Ukraine, and now and in the future? Ukraine may not be in a position that allows it to back down from the offer, with Trump’s interest and support for the remaining United States from Kwaif after nearly three years of a comprehensive war with Russia.
“I think the problem of Ukraine is that it does not have a lot of options,” said Oksana Sheville, Associate Professor of Political Science at the University of Tats in Boston.
If the United States abandoned its support, Sheville says it is possible that Russian President Vladimir Putin will be able to complete his primary goal “to eliminate the existence of independent Ukraine.
Beit Higseth says that NATO membership, before 2014, is not realistic for Ukraine in any ceasefire negotiations and that Europe must bear more expenses for defense in Ukraine.
Various data on US policy
Trump and the main officials managed to manage various public comments about Ukraine, leaving the matter is unclear about how the White House behaved.
However, the US President said on Wednesday that he spoke to both leaders, the first Putin, then Zelinski, about the possibility of ending the war.
Trump has long claimed that he could end the war in Ukraine Within 24 hours Although the conflict is still ready for several weeks in its new presidency. While Trump threatened Russia Penalties and definitionsThe president and senior US officials say that Ukraine is likely that Russia’s lands are now not recovered – whether it is recent, or during the events that have been revealed. Since 2014.
Then there is the issue of Ukrainian minerals, which must remain in the hands of Kiev so that the United States can reach them – a guarantee point with other officials in Ukraine.
there More than ten elements The Institute of Geology in Ukraine is considered, and the Geology Institute in Ukraine says that those that can be found in Ukraine include lantcomom, serum, noodimium, retrium. The European Union funded research also indicates that Ukraine has Scandium reserves. But the details of the data are classified.
Rare land is used to manufacture magnets that transform energy into electric cars, in mobile phones and other electronics, as well as for scientific and industrial applications.
US commander transactions
Sheville of the University of Tatsa sees Ukraine’s decision to intervene in reaching rare land minerals as a strategic step, and not necessarily a “unreasonable” proposal under these circumstances.
Sheville says that Ukraine realizes that she is dealing with an American president looking at things through a transaction lens, so its minerals to Trump are not a surprise.
Polish President Anderzig Doda Tell CNN this week People need to remember that Trump is a businessman, “first of all.”
“He has obtained a style similar to the conduct of politics, and has a method similar to business in talking about politics … and he immediately took a business -like approach.”
It is not the prior focus of Ukraine
Trump has He said he wanted to reward From $ 500 billion in the United States in rare land minerals.
Any effort to develop and extract these resources will not occur overnight, and it is not clear.
“The truth is that no one knows how much you have for sure there and what is the value of that,” he said in an interview.
“It will take years to do geological studies,” he said. “Years to build extraction facilities.”
Gorodnichenko says that Ukraine has not focused on developing these resources in recent decades, perhaps because it faces challenges in attracting foreign capital to do so.
He also said that even if the United States and Ukraine can reach such a deal, it is not clear whether any of the two countries will be satisfied with it, in the end.
“I am not sure that this will be a peace deal for everyone,” he said, noting that it can also create tensions with other Ukrainian allies who supported Kyiv.
Continuous risks and pressure
The comprehensive war is about to enter its fourth year and did not leave the pressure on Ukraine.
While Russia may have failed to overthrow the government in Kiev, it has reached a point where it now controls nearly five Ukrainian lands.
However, George Barros, Russia’s team at the United States Institute for the Study of War, says Russia’s position in Ukraine is growing more dangerous with the continuation of the war, and Ukraine can benefit from this-if it has help.
“The main thing that the Ukrainians need to preserve the Russians in this binding of their work is continuous military support,” he said.
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