The leaders of the great powers in the world have a lot to talk about it. But so far, it seems, they cannot agree on when they should speak, or even if they already have.
Over the past ten days or so, President Trump has sent conflicting messages about speaking to the best leader in China, Xi Jinping. Mr. Trump said on February 3 that they will have a call inside.24 hours“Then he reflected himself, saying that he was in”No rush“For the conversation. Recently, when he was asked if the two had spoken since he took office, Mr. Trump They said they have.
On the contrary, Mr. Shi said nothing about talking to Mr. Trump. On Tuesday, the Chinese Foreign Ministry suggested that such an invitation had not been conducted since Mr. Trump returned to the White House, apparently contradicts the demand of Mr. Trump, which he made during an interview with the Fox News Pret Bayer host, which was broadcast this week.
It seems that Mr. Xi is not in a hurry to engage, and progress has stopped in a number of thorny issues in competing with nations for global power. (Both sides say that the leaders spoke on January 17, before the inauguration of Mr. Trump.) Even when Mr. Trump imposed a directed tariff directly and Indirectly In China, Mr. Xi played this great, preferring to see a host of foreign doors at the opening of Asian winter games in the northeastern Chinese city of Harbin.
Analysts say that separation reflects, in part, how Mr. Xi is trying to show Mr. Trump and the Chinese people that he will not frighten him by the customs tariff. Mr. Shi does not want to confuse Prime Minister Justin Trudeau from Canada or President Claudia Shinbom from Mexico, both of them quickly Negotiating with Mr. Trump After threatening to slap 25 percent on their countries’ exports to the United States.
Chen Zhu, a Chinese foreign policy expert at the University of Pennsylvania, said that these leaders were “stolen to Trump and Trump’s victory.” “The eleventh will not let this happen. It would reflect very badly to it locally. I think the strategy is to wait and know what Trump can make before making a call.”
Mr. Zhou said that Mr. Shi can also be angry with a joint statement that was released by Mr. Trump and the Japanese Prime Minister, Shigro Eshiba, after that. Their meeting in Washington Last week, which addressed Taiwan, the island of autonomy claimed by Beijing.
Mr. Trump and Mr. Ishiba said they oppose any changes to the current situation in the Strait of Taiwan not only by force, but through coercion. The mention of coercion, which is believed to be the first, indicates China’s use of non -military means to pressure Taiwan, such as electronic attacks and commercial restrictions.
In order to throw any kind of dealings with Mr. Shi, Mr. Trump will certainly be pressured to reduce Washington’s position on Taiwan. This may include a pledge to reduce US arms sales to the island, or a statement that the United States “opposes” the official independence of Taiwan (currently, it “does not support”.
It is unclear whether the Trump administration will look at such concessions, which can be considered widely as a blow to Taiwan’s security.
The administration may also be reluctant to return on another large request from Mr. Xi: Reducing the United States’ restrictions on technology exports to China, such as semiconductors needed for the power of artificial intelligence, which is a major battlefield between the two best two economies in the world.
As for Mr. Trump, it wants China to reduce its trade surplus with the United States and do more to rid the undocumented immigration, as well as sell chemicals used to make fentanel. China has called for approval to sell Tiktok so that an American company can buy half of the video sharing platform, and suggested that Beijing help his administration to end the war in Ukraine.
Chinese analysts said that any promise of Mr. Trump should be seen skeptical. Relations between the two countries seemed stable when Mr. Trump visited Beijing in November 2017 and praised Mr. Shi, saying that he did not blame China for his trade deficit with the United States. Two months later, he launched his trade war with China.
“The important thing is how to translate them into work. His actions are the opposite. “
Other analysts have said that the clear lack of the call, so far, could be more easily explained.
John Gong, a professor of economics at the International Business University and Economics in Beijing, said that Chinese leaders usually do not meet or speak with their foreign counterparts even their “subordinates” carrying all thorny issues “of a joint agreement or statement.
However, Mr. Trump works more like an executive power, and is looking forward to negotiating with world leaders during flying, as he did during his first presidential term with Kim Jong Un, the North Korean leader.
Mr. Gong said: “Trump is a bit of some thing, meaning that he is thinking about his own way, in the western way, that somehow can do a sales and persuasion stadium,” to do what he wants. “This will not happen.”
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