The leaders of the “strong man” in Europe are not strong now

Analysts say that the so-called “strong man” in Europe-with most of them, is committed to the likes of US President Donald Trump and Russia Vladimir Putin-Hebdwan in an increasingly, as their popularity decreases before the main elections.

Trump’s inauguration was expected to present a shot in the arm of leaders and national parties such as Hungary Victor Urban, Robert Fico Slovakia, the right -wing AFD party in Germany, Marin Le Pen and its National Party in France. But such support is not an excessive result, as local pressures and economic challenges raise their popularity and strength.

“It seems that the re -election of Donald Trump for a second term in the United States was like Clarion’s call for a structural political transformation towards Maga style movements throughout Europe,” he said in the comments via e -mail on Thursday. Maga refers to “making America great again” – a slogan historically directed the Trump national campaign.

“In fact, what we see is a fairly mixed image throughout Europe, and in fact with many Trams on the back foot,” said.

Both leaders were also critical of providing more military and financial assistance to Ukraine and threatened to refuse to support sanctions on Russia despite last Monday, Urban retracted this position after giving energy security assurances by the bloc.

Orban and Fico sees popular classifications that diminish at home, and dissatisfaction with their leadership between the public and parliament. Urban survey categories were decreased, while the rankings of his main political rival Peter Magear were high. Meanwhile, Fico has narrowly avoided a vote of lack of confidence in January after its political opponents abandoned this step.

The two analysts say that both men may face defeat in the polling box in the short term, with parliamentary elections to be held next year in Hungary and in 2027 in Slovakia, although voting may happen earlier.

“The future of the Fico government is increasingly confirmed due to the slim parliamentary majority, which is more threatened by the differences between the ruling coalition parties as well as the Fico discourse and behavior increasingly,” he said in the comments via e -mail.

He added: “Fico himself stated the possibility of early parliamentary elections in the spring unless the coalition partners have resolved the internal differences.”

Orban’s Orban is exposed to increasing local pressure this year, with The rapid increase in the popularity of opposition leader Peter Magear and Tesza Party.

Various opinion polls have shown since November that TISza has been advancing on the Fidesz party in Orban, with 35 % -45 % support among voters who decided -about four to six percentage points before Fredesz. If this trend continues, the European Union anti -Euphoria may lose the 2026 elections.

“The media in Urban and Veestine is relentlessly focused on its international and diplomatic importance through his contacts with Trump, Russian President Vladimir Putin, Chinese President Xi Jinping, in addition to his” wise “peaceful efforts in the Ukraine war and great great great great, great, apparent. He said. Analysts of the Eurasia Group in a memorandum in January that the European Union presidency in Hungary, said analysts at the Eurasia Consulting Group of political dangers in a note in January.

“The truth is that Urban faces the most difficult year since he reached power for the first time in 2010. This will undermine his ability to kidnap – not to mention leadership – the European Union’s agenda as a prominent popular leader in the bloc,” they added.

The populist parties throughout the European Union have gained great popularity over the past decade, with the rise of the AFD party in Germany and the National Rally in France – both, both of them, After the uninterrupted electoral successesNow it is practicing great influence on the political trends concerned with its national governments.

Euruschets and the anti -immigration feelings were largely fuel due to the general dissatisfaction of the European Union’s response to the unconventional migration to the continent.

The upcoming elections in Germany, Austria and the Czech Republic can see the anti -European populist parties to gain more reasons this year, but the anti -European governments will remain much lower than the minority required in the European Council to take the European Union decisions seriously, Eurasia noticed the group:

“Where they are in the government, they tend to turn towards the political center, with a remarkable exception of Hungary. Therefore, many of the far -right horizons depend on whether governments can find more effective ways to deal with the slow immigration crisis. This is the strongest driver to support populist in The European Union, “said analysts.